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WW 0695 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N BVO TO 10 S CNU TO 40 N JLN TO 15 WSW SZL TO 30 SE OTM. ..LYONS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC099-125-133-310440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO MOC013-041-083-101-159-195-310440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATES CHARITON HENRY JOHNSON PETTIS SALINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0695 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N BVO TO 10 S CNU TO 40 N JLN TO 15 WSW SZL TO 30 SE OTM. ..LYONS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC099-125-133-310440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO MOC013-041-083-101-159-195-310440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATES CHARITON HENRY JOHNSON PETTIS SALINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0695 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW BVO TO 5 SW CNU TO 30 SSE OJC TO 15 SSW CDJ TO 30 SSW OTM. ..LYONS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC011-021-037-099-107-121-125-133-205-310340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE LINN MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON MOC011-013-025-033-037-041-083-095-097-101-107-115-117-145-159- 177-195-217-310340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON BATES CALDWELL CARROLL CASS CHARITON HENRY JACKSON JASPER JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINN LIVINGSTON NEWTON PETTIS RAY SALINE VERNON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 695 TORNADO KS MO 302135Z - 310300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 695 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 435 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Kansas Western Missouri * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 435 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Fast moving thunderstorms over eastern Kansas will track across the watch area through this evening. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes are the primary concerns with these storms. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Chanute KS to 60 miles north northeast of Saint Joseph MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 693...WW 694... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more

WW 0697 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0697 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 2172 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 696... FOR EASTERN OK
Mesoscale Discussion 2172 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0831 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...eastern OK Concerning...Tornado Watch 696... Valid 310131Z - 310230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 696 continues. SUMMARY...A sustained supercell or two is possible as storms over southeast Oklahoma potentially deepen while moving north-northeast. An extension of WW 696 or a new WW may be needed. DISCUSSION...Deepening warm-sector convection has increased across southeast OK into far north TX. Environment here is conditionally favorable for sustained supercell development with mid to upper 60s surface dew points and effective SRH around 250-350 m2/s2. Both HRRR and WoFS runs have largely been devoid of development here, but the RRFS has suggested some potential for a supercell or two to become sustained as activity moves north-northeast across eastern OK. With low-level forcing for ascent stronger to the north and west, it is uncertain whether these cells will truly deepen and sustain supercell structures. ..Grams/Hart.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 35919529 35679489 35319482 34799505 34359537 33779583 33799652 34529628 35449605 35869571 35919529 Read more

WW 0696 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 696 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2172. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 696 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC035-037-063-081-097-105-107-111-113-115-117-125-131-133-143- 145-147-310240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAIG CREEK HUGHES LINCOLN MAYES NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0696 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 696 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2172. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 696 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC035-037-063-081-097-105-107-111-113-115-117-125-131-133-143- 145-147-310240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAIG CREEK HUGHES LINCOLN MAYES NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0694 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW OKC TO 25 NNE OKC. WW 694 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310400Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2174. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC027-051-087-109-310400- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLEVELAND GRADY MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0694 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW OKC TO 25 NNE OKC. WW 694 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310400Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2174. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC027-051-087-109-310400- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLEVELAND GRADY MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0694 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW OKC TO 25 NNE OKC. WW 694 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310400Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2174. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC027-051-087-109-310400- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLEVELAND GRADY MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0694 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW OKC TO 25 NNE OKC. WW 694 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310400Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2174. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC027-051-087-109-310400- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLEVELAND GRADY MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0694 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW CHK TO 40 NW CQB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2174. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC015-017-027-051-083-087-109-119-310340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND GRADY LOGAN MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA PAYNE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0694 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CSM TO 15 S PNC. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC015-017-027-051-073-083-087-103-109-119-310240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND GRADY KINGFISHER LOGAN MCCLAIN NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 694 TORNADO KS OK 301905Z - 310200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 694 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of South-Central Kansas Western into Central/North-Central Oklahoma * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Developing supercells will pose a threat for large to very large hail initially (up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter). Later this afternoon into the evening, the threat for a few tornadoes will increase. A strong tornado or two appears possible, especially early this evening. Scattered severe/damaging winds will also become a concern later this evening as thunderstorms eventually form into a line. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Hutchinson KS to 35 miles east of Clinton OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 693... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0695 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW BVO TO 25 WSW CNU TO 15 SW FLV TO 15 ESE STJ TO 20 N LWD. ..LYONS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC001-003-011-019-021-037-059-091-099-103-107-121-125-133-205- 207-209-310240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON LABETTE LEAVENWORTH LINN MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE MOC011-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-081-095-097-145-165- 177-217-310240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON BATES BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY HARRISON JACKSON JASPER NEWTON PLATTE Read more

MD 2171 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 695... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 2171 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0736 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...portions of northeast Kansas and west-central Missouri Concerning...Tornado Watch 695... Valid 310036Z - 310130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 695 continues. SUMMARY...A bowing segment embedded within the QLCS has shown increased organization over the last 30 minutes. The risk for tornadoes and damaging winds may be increasing. DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery shows a north-south oriented line segment west of the KC metro has improved in organization rapidly over the last 30 minutes. A more favorable updraft/downdraft orientation appears to have developed with surging outflow. Though recent scans suggests outflow may have outrun it temporarily. While there remains some uncertainty, large low-level streamwise vorticity is evident on the EAX VAD with 180-200 m2/s2 of 0-500 m SRH. The strong low-level shear may support an enhanced tornado or strong damaging wind risk with the more favorably orientated and stronger line segment over the next hour as it moves through the KC Metro. While thermodynamics weaken considerably to the east, strong forcing for ascent along the front should allow for a continued severe risk farther east this evening. ..Lyons.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38509513 38679519 39349483 39599460 39689419 39649377 39559359 39379360 38879390 38709419 38589445 38519467 38499486 38499496 38509513 Read more

MD 2170 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 694...696... FOR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 2170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0729 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...north-central and northeast OK Concerning...Tornado Watch 694...696... Valid 310029Z - 310130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 694, 696 continues. SUMMARY...Severe wind and isolated hail threats should persist for the next several hours. The tornado threat may increase during the next few hours, ahead of the more intense linear segment over north-central Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...IR cloud tops and MRMS MESH signatures suggest the deepest core of the evening was centered on Logan/Noble counties border area within the extensive linear band. Surface dew points ahead of this part of the band are in the mid 60s (64-65 F), with this air mass well sampled by the 00Z OUN sounding. Despite weak 700-500 mb lapse rates around 6 C/km, MLCAPE of 1500 J/kg exists with a moderately enlarged, sickle-shaped hodograph. The low-level jet in the Twin Lakes VWP has increased during the past hour. It is plausible that a sustained swath of severe wind damage, along with low-level mesocyclones capable of a couple tornadoes may evolve from this portion of the line. This may eventually impact parts of the greater Tulsa metro area by late evening. ..Grams/Hart.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN... LAT...LON 36389705 36619671 36689657 36749615 36669590 36509558 36319545 35989568 35769618 35719666 35809711 36089744 36389705 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more