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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains Friday evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will persist over the western half of the country Friday, amplifying with time as short-wave energy initially off the West Coast digs south-southeastward toward northern California through the period. At the surface, a cold front will shift across the Northwest and into the Great Basin and California, in tandem with the digging upper feature. Meanwhile, a remnant/west-to-east baroclinic zone will persist from the southeastern U.S. westward into the southern Plains. ...Southern High Plains... Ahead of the amplifying western U.S. upper trough, weak mid-level height falls will support a zone of low-level warm advection across the southern High Plains vicinity. Afternoon heating of a gradually moistening low-level airmass will result in modest destabilization, with 500 to 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE expected. Little nocturnal decrease in instability is expected, as low-level theta-e advection supported by persistent surface southeasterlies should offset any diurnal cooling effects. Given the modest but sufficient CAPE expected by afternoon, ascent should support gradual development of isolated to scattered storms -- initially in the vicinity of higher terrain. Aided by veering/moderately increasing flow with height, shear should support multicell organization and potentially some mid-level rotation. As such, risk for hail and/or wind reaching severe criteria exists locally, with a couple of the strongest storms. This potential should continue overnight, with a northward/northwestward expansion of convection as the low-level theta-e advection increases in tandem with a strengthening south-southeasterly low-level jet. ..Goss.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains Friday evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will persist over the western half of the country Friday, amplifying with time as short-wave energy initially off the West Coast digs south-southeastward toward northern California through the period. At the surface, a cold front will shift across the Northwest and into the Great Basin and California, in tandem with the digging upper feature. Meanwhile, a remnant/west-to-east baroclinic zone will persist from the southeastern U.S. westward into the southern Plains. ...Southern High Plains... Ahead of the amplifying western U.S. upper trough, weak mid-level height falls will support a zone of low-level warm advection across the southern High Plains vicinity. Afternoon heating of a gradually moistening low-level airmass will result in modest destabilization, with 500 to 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE expected. Little nocturnal decrease in instability is expected, as low-level theta-e advection supported by persistent surface southeasterlies should offset any diurnal cooling effects. Given the modest but sufficient CAPE expected by afternoon, ascent should support gradual development of isolated to scattered storms -- initially in the vicinity of higher terrain. Aided by veering/moderately increasing flow with height, shear should support multicell organization and potentially some mid-level rotation. As such, risk for hail and/or wind reaching severe criteria exists locally, with a couple of the strongest storms. This potential should continue overnight, with a northward/northwestward expansion of convection as the low-level theta-e advection increases in tandem with a strengthening south-southeasterly low-level jet. ..Goss.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains Friday evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will persist over the western half of the country Friday, amplifying with time as short-wave energy initially off the West Coast digs south-southeastward toward northern California through the period. At the surface, a cold front will shift across the Northwest and into the Great Basin and California, in tandem with the digging upper feature. Meanwhile, a remnant/west-to-east baroclinic zone will persist from the southeastern U.S. westward into the southern Plains. ...Southern High Plains... Ahead of the amplifying western U.S. upper trough, weak mid-level height falls will support a zone of low-level warm advection across the southern High Plains vicinity. Afternoon heating of a gradually moistening low-level airmass will result in modest destabilization, with 500 to 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE expected. Little nocturnal decrease in instability is expected, as low-level theta-e advection supported by persistent surface southeasterlies should offset any diurnal cooling effects. Given the modest but sufficient CAPE expected by afternoon, ascent should support gradual development of isolated to scattered storms -- initially in the vicinity of higher terrain. Aided by veering/moderately increasing flow with height, shear should support multicell organization and potentially some mid-level rotation. As such, risk for hail and/or wind reaching severe criteria exists locally, with a couple of the strongest storms. This potential should continue overnight, with a northward/northwestward expansion of convection as the low-level theta-e advection increases in tandem with a strengthening south-southeasterly low-level jet. ..Goss.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains Friday evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will persist over the western half of the country Friday, amplifying with time as short-wave energy initially off the West Coast digs south-southeastward toward northern California through the period. At the surface, a cold front will shift across the Northwest and into the Great Basin and California, in tandem with the digging upper feature. Meanwhile, a remnant/west-to-east baroclinic zone will persist from the southeastern U.S. westward into the southern Plains. ...Southern High Plains... Ahead of the amplifying western U.S. upper trough, weak mid-level height falls will support a zone of low-level warm advection across the southern High Plains vicinity. Afternoon heating of a gradually moistening low-level airmass will result in modest destabilization, with 500 to 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE expected. Little nocturnal decrease in instability is expected, as low-level theta-e advection supported by persistent surface southeasterlies should offset any diurnal cooling effects. Given the modest but sufficient CAPE expected by afternoon, ascent should support gradual development of isolated to scattered storms -- initially in the vicinity of higher terrain. Aided by veering/moderately increasing flow with height, shear should support multicell organization and potentially some mid-level rotation. As such, risk for hail and/or wind reaching severe criteria exists locally, with a couple of the strongest storms. This potential should continue overnight, with a northward/northwestward expansion of convection as the low-level theta-e advection increases in tandem with a strengthening south-southeasterly low-level jet. ..Goss.. 10/31/2024 Read more

Drought was intensifying in Oklahoma with 34 counties under burn bans. In Cotton County, a wheat grower dusted in his crop in early September. The hot weather in September and October stressed the small plants and some were dying. Stocker cattle would normally graze on the young wheat, but were being fed stockpiled forages and grasses instead. Other area cow/calf operators were also out of forage pasture for the year and were feeding stockpiled hay. The little existing grass that had not yet gone dormant was drought-stressed and could be high in nitrates, which are harmful to cattle health. Water sources need to be monitored for quality when drought dries up ponds. Producers were not restocking their cattle herds, and the Oklahoma cattle herd has been low over the past three years. Pastures and other resources have not yet recovered from previous drought as a new episode of drought gripped the state. Cattle numbers were so low that the dry conditions were not forcing ranchers to sell any additional cattle. Farm Progress (St. Charles, Ill.), Oct 31, 2024

The 200-year-old Great Crossings Bridge at Youghiogheny River Lake in Somerset County has reemerged as drought lowered the water level. The bridge is normally 50 feet underwater. The three arches of the Great Crossings Bridge were last visible in 1998. WTAE-TV (Pittsburg, Pa.), Oct 31, 2024

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong thunderstorms capable of producing occasional wind gusts remain possible today from parts of east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. ...ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South... A small area of low wind probabilities has been maintained with this update from northeast TX to western TN. An ongoing, loosely organized squall line will continue to move east-southeastward this afternoon across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley. Widespread cloud cover is hindering daytime heating to some extent, and poor mid-level lapse rates should also limit the degree of MLCAPE available for convection. The stronger low/mid-level flow associated with an ejecting cyclone over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes is expected to remain displaced well to the north of the ongoing convection through this afternoon. While modest deep-layer shear will exist across the lower MS Valley vicinity, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain muted by weak instability. Further reduction and/or removal of the Marginal Risk will be considered with the next scheduled update (20Z). ...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes... Destabilization ahead of an eastward-moving cold front is forecast to remain rather limited this afternoon. While stronger low/mid-level flow will be present over the OH Valley and Great Lakes in association with an ejecting upper trough, potential for gusty winds with thunderstorms should remain low. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong thunderstorms capable of producing occasional wind gusts remain possible today from parts of east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. ...ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South... A small area of low wind probabilities has been maintained with this update from northeast TX to western TN. An ongoing, loosely organized squall line will continue to move east-southeastward this afternoon across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley. Widespread cloud cover is hindering daytime heating to some extent, and poor mid-level lapse rates should also limit the degree of MLCAPE available for convection. The stronger low/mid-level flow associated with an ejecting cyclone over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes is expected to remain displaced well to the north of the ongoing convection through this afternoon. While modest deep-layer shear will exist across the lower MS Valley vicinity, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain muted by weak instability. Further reduction and/or removal of the Marginal Risk will be considered with the next scheduled update (20Z). ...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes... Destabilization ahead of an eastward-moving cold front is forecast to remain rather limited this afternoon. While stronger low/mid-level flow will be present over the OH Valley and Great Lakes in association with an ejecting upper trough, potential for gusty winds with thunderstorms should remain low. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong thunderstorms capable of producing occasional wind gusts remain possible today from parts of east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. ...ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South... A small area of low wind probabilities has been maintained with this update from northeast TX to western TN. An ongoing, loosely organized squall line will continue to move east-southeastward this afternoon across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley. Widespread cloud cover is hindering daytime heating to some extent, and poor mid-level lapse rates should also limit the degree of MLCAPE available for convection. The stronger low/mid-level flow associated with an ejecting cyclone over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes is expected to remain displaced well to the north of the ongoing convection through this afternoon. While modest deep-layer shear will exist across the lower MS Valley vicinity, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain muted by weak instability. Further reduction and/or removal of the Marginal Risk will be considered with the next scheduled update (20Z). ...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes... Destabilization ahead of an eastward-moving cold front is forecast to remain rather limited this afternoon. While stronger low/mid-level flow will be present over the OH Valley and Great Lakes in association with an ejecting upper trough, potential for gusty winds with thunderstorms should remain low. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong thunderstorms capable of producing occasional wind gusts remain possible today from parts of east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. ...ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South... A small area of low wind probabilities has been maintained with this update from northeast TX to western TN. An ongoing, loosely organized squall line will continue to move east-southeastward this afternoon across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley. Widespread cloud cover is hindering daytime heating to some extent, and poor mid-level lapse rates should also limit the degree of MLCAPE available for convection. The stronger low/mid-level flow associated with an ejecting cyclone over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes is expected to remain displaced well to the north of the ongoing convection through this afternoon. While modest deep-layer shear will exist across the lower MS Valley vicinity, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain muted by weak instability. Further reduction and/or removal of the Marginal Risk will be considered with the next scheduled update (20Z). ...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes... Destabilization ahead of an eastward-moving cold front is forecast to remain rather limited this afternoon. While stronger low/mid-level flow will be present over the OH Valley and Great Lakes in association with an ejecting upper trough, potential for gusty winds with thunderstorms should remain low. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong thunderstorms capable of producing occasional wind gusts remain possible today from parts of east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. ...ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South... A small area of low wind probabilities has been maintained with this update from northeast TX to western TN. An ongoing, loosely organized squall line will continue to move east-southeastward this afternoon across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley. Widespread cloud cover is hindering daytime heating to some extent, and poor mid-level lapse rates should also limit the degree of MLCAPE available for convection. The stronger low/mid-level flow associated with an ejecting cyclone over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes is expected to remain displaced well to the north of the ongoing convection through this afternoon. While modest deep-layer shear will exist across the lower MS Valley vicinity, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain muted by weak instability. Further reduction and/or removal of the Marginal Risk will be considered with the next scheduled update (20Z). ...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes... Destabilization ahead of an eastward-moving cold front is forecast to remain rather limited this afternoon. While stronger low/mid-level flow will be present over the OH Valley and Great Lakes in association with an ejecting upper trough, potential for gusty winds with thunderstorms should remain low. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong thunderstorms capable of producing occasional wind gusts remain possible today from parts of east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. ...ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South... A small area of low wind probabilities has been maintained with this update from northeast TX to western TN. An ongoing, loosely organized squall line will continue to move east-southeastward this afternoon across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley. Widespread cloud cover is hindering daytime heating to some extent, and poor mid-level lapse rates should also limit the degree of MLCAPE available for convection. The stronger low/mid-level flow associated with an ejecting cyclone over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes is expected to remain displaced well to the north of the ongoing convection through this afternoon. While modest deep-layer shear will exist across the lower MS Valley vicinity, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain muted by weak instability. Further reduction and/or removal of the Marginal Risk will be considered with the next scheduled update (20Z). ...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes... Destabilization ahead of an eastward-moving cold front is forecast to remain rather limited this afternoon. While stronger low/mid-level flow will be present over the OH Valley and Great Lakes in association with an ejecting upper trough, potential for gusty winds with thunderstorms should remain low. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong thunderstorms capable of producing occasional wind gusts remain possible today from parts of east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South. ...ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South... A small area of low wind probabilities has been maintained with this update from northeast TX to western TN. An ongoing, loosely organized squall line will continue to move east-southeastward this afternoon across parts of the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley. Widespread cloud cover is hindering daytime heating to some extent, and poor mid-level lapse rates should also limit the degree of MLCAPE available for convection. The stronger low/mid-level flow associated with an ejecting cyclone over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes is expected to remain displaced well to the north of the ongoing convection through this afternoon. While modest deep-layer shear will exist across the lower MS Valley vicinity, the overall severe wind threat will likely remain muted by weak instability. Further reduction and/or removal of the Marginal Risk will be considered with the next scheduled update (20Z). ...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes... Destabilization ahead of an eastward-moving cold front is forecast to remain rather limited this afternoon. While stronger low/mid-level flow will be present over the OH Valley and Great Lakes in association with an ejecting upper trough, potential for gusty winds with thunderstorms should remain low. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low. In the wake of the strong cold front moving through the central US, a much cooler air mass is expected over the West and the Plains. High pressure will develop behind the front keeping winds relatively light. Some strong flow aloft will remain over parts of the Southwest and southern Great Basin within zonal flow. However, the cooler temperatures will favor only marginally low RH around 20-25%. Additionally, recent precipitation has depleted fuels over much of the area. Thus, locally dry and breezy conditions are possible, but widespread elevated or critical fire-weather conditions are not expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low. In the wake of the strong cold front moving through the central US, a much cooler air mass is expected over the West and the Plains. High pressure will develop behind the front keeping winds relatively light. Some strong flow aloft will remain over parts of the Southwest and southern Great Basin within zonal flow. However, the cooler temperatures will favor only marginally low RH around 20-25%. Additionally, recent precipitation has depleted fuels over much of the area. Thus, locally dry and breezy conditions are possible, but widespread elevated or critical fire-weather conditions are not expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low. In the wake of the strong cold front moving through the central US, a much cooler air mass is expected over the West and the Plains. High pressure will develop behind the front keeping winds relatively light. Some strong flow aloft will remain over parts of the Southwest and southern Great Basin within zonal flow. However, the cooler temperatures will favor only marginally low RH around 20-25%. Additionally, recent precipitation has depleted fuels over much of the area. Thus, locally dry and breezy conditions are possible, but widespread elevated or critical fire-weather conditions are not expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low. In the wake of the strong cold front moving through the central US, a much cooler air mass is expected over the West and the Plains. High pressure will develop behind the front keeping winds relatively light. Some strong flow aloft will remain over parts of the Southwest and southern Great Basin within zonal flow. However, the cooler temperatures will favor only marginally low RH around 20-25%. Additionally, recent precipitation has depleted fuels over much of the area. Thus, locally dry and breezy conditions are possible, but widespread elevated or critical fire-weather conditions are not expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low. In the wake of the strong cold front moving through the central US, a much cooler air mass is expected over the West and the Plains. High pressure will develop behind the front keeping winds relatively light. Some strong flow aloft will remain over parts of the Southwest and southern Great Basin within zonal flow. However, the cooler temperatures will favor only marginally low RH around 20-25%. Additionally, recent precipitation has depleted fuels over much of the area. Thus, locally dry and breezy conditions are possible, but widespread elevated or critical fire-weather conditions are not expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low. In the wake of the strong cold front moving through the central US, a much cooler air mass is expected over the West and the Plains. High pressure will develop behind the front keeping winds relatively light. Some strong flow aloft will remain over parts of the Southwest and southern Great Basin within zonal flow. However, the cooler temperatures will favor only marginally low RH around 20-25%. Additionally, recent precipitation has depleted fuels over much of the area. Thus, locally dry and breezy conditions are possible, but widespread elevated or critical fire-weather conditions are not expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low. In the wake of the strong cold front moving through the central US, a much cooler air mass is expected over the West and the Plains. High pressure will develop behind the front keeping winds relatively light. Some strong flow aloft will remain over parts of the Southwest and southern Great Basin within zonal flow. However, the cooler temperatures will favor only marginally low RH around 20-25%. Additionally, recent precipitation has depleted fuels over much of the area. Thus, locally dry and breezy conditions are possible, but widespread elevated or critical fire-weather conditions are not expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more