SPC MD 2316

7 months ago
MD 2316 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 723... FOR EASTERN FL PANHANDLE TO SOUTH GA
Mesoscale Discussion 2316 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0601 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Areas affected...eastern FL Panhandle to south GA Concerning...Tornado Watch 723... Valid 291201Z - 291300Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues. SUMMARY...Potential for strong to isolated severe gusts and a couple brief tornadoes will primarily be focused with the trailing portion of an extensive QLCS across the Florida Panhandle. It appears unlikely to exit WW 723 before 14Z expiration. A replacement WW that includes downstream areas in north Florida to southeast Georgia is being considered. DISCUSSION...The trailing portion of the extensive QLCS across the Southeast has been the lone area to produce a measured severe wind gust (50 kts at ECP) this morning. This portion of the line has sped up its forward progression, but still appears unlikely to exit WW 723 prior to the scheduled expiration of 14Z. This acceleration tendency appears to be coupled with a slowing of the west-southwest to east-northeast oriented, non-severe part of the QLCS in southwest GA. The inflection where the north/south oriented line progresses across the leading outflow may augment 0-1 km SRH above the background shear of about 25 kts per the TLH VWP. This should sustain a continued damaging-wind and brief-tornado threat through late morning. ..Grams/Edwards.. 12/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 30798491 30898445 30958411 31088374 31188337 31288300 31288272 31188246 30968233 30598241 30298264 30018303 29738340 29628469 29588499 29698553 30308534 30798491 Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

7 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0715 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Gulf Coast States this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Central and Southern Mississippi Western and Central Alabama Southeast Louisiana * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Tornadoes (some strong with at least EF-2 damage possible) and numerous severe/damaging wind gusts are expected this evening through tonight. The threat area will shift eastward across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley this evening, and continue overnight through early Sunday morning over portions of the Tennessee Valley, central Gulf Coast states, and western Georgia. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

7 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0715 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Gulf Coast States this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Central and Southern Mississippi Western and Central Alabama Southeast Louisiana * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Tornadoes (some strong with at least EF-2 damage possible) and numerous severe/damaging wind gusts are expected this evening through tonight. The threat area will shift eastward across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley this evening, and continue overnight through early Sunday morning over portions of the Tennessee Valley, central Gulf Coast states, and western Georgia. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

7 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0715 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Gulf Coast States this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Central and Southern Mississippi Western and Central Alabama Southeast Louisiana * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Tornadoes (some strong with at least EF-2 damage possible) and numerous severe/damaging wind gusts are expected this evening through tonight. The threat area will shift eastward across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley this evening, and continue overnight through early Sunday morning over portions of the Tennessee Valley, central Gulf Coast states, and western Georgia. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

7 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0715 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Gulf Coast States this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Central and Southern Mississippi Western and Central Alabama Southeast Louisiana * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Tornadoes (some strong with at least EF-2 damage possible) and numerous severe/damaging wind gusts are expected this evening through tonight. The threat area will shift eastward across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley this evening, and continue overnight through early Sunday morning over portions of the Tennessee Valley, central Gulf Coast states, and western Georgia. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

7 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0715 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Gulf Coast States this evening and overnight... * LOCATIONS... Central and Southern Mississippi Western and Central Alabama Southeast Louisiana * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Tornadoes (some strong with at least EF-2 damage possible) and numerous severe/damaging wind gusts are expected this evening through tonight. The threat area will shift eastward across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley this evening, and continue overnight through early Sunday morning over portions of the Tennessee Valley, central Gulf Coast states, and western Georgia. Preparedness actions... Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 724 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0724 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 724 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC029-031-033-043-051-073-103-105-109-137-147-165-179-181-183- 189-191-241-245-251-257-267-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRYAN BULLOCH BURKE CANDLER CHATHAM COLUMBIA EFFINGHAM ELBERT EVANS HABERSHAM HART JENKINS LIBERTY LINCOLN LONG MCDUFFIE MCINTOSH RABUN RICHMOND SCREVEN STEPHENS TATTNALL NCC003-023-025-035-045-059-071-097-109-119-149-159-161-179- 291240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE GASTON IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG POLK ROWAN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 724 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0724 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 724 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC029-031-033-043-051-073-103-105-109-137-147-165-179-181-183- 189-191-241-245-251-257-267-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRYAN BULLOCH BURKE CANDLER CHATHAM COLUMBIA EFFINGHAM ELBERT EVANS HABERSHAM HART JENKINS LIBERTY LINCOLN LONG MCDUFFIE MCINTOSH RABUN RICHMOND SCREVEN STEPHENS TATTNALL NCC003-023-025-035-045-059-071-097-109-119-149-159-161-179- 291240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE GASTON IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG POLK ROWAN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0723 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PFN TO 25 WSW MAI TO 45 NE ABY TO 50 SSE AHN TO 15 ENE AHN. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-291240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON GAC017-019-023-027-071-075-087-091-107-125-131-141-155-163-167- 173-175-185-205-209-235-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-301-303- 309-315-317-319-321-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY BROOKS COLQUITT COOK DECATUR DODGE EMANUEL GLASCOCK GRADY HANCOCK IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANIER LAURENS LOWNDES Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0723 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PFN TO 25 WSW MAI TO 45 NE ABY TO 50 SSE AHN TO 15 ENE AHN. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-291240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON GAC017-019-023-027-071-075-087-091-107-125-131-141-155-163-167- 173-175-185-205-209-235-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-301-303- 309-315-317-319-321-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY BROOKS COLQUITT COOK DECATUR DODGE EMANUEL GLASCOCK GRADY HANCOCK IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANIER LAURENS LOWNDES Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0723 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PFN TO 25 WSW MAI TO 45 NE ABY TO 50 SSE AHN TO 15 ENE AHN. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-291240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON GAC017-019-023-027-071-075-087-091-107-125-131-141-155-163-167- 173-175-185-205-209-235-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-301-303- 309-315-317-319-321-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY BROOKS COLQUITT COOK DECATUR DODGE EMANUEL GLASCOCK GRADY HANCOCK IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANIER LAURENS LOWNDES Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0723 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PFN TO 25 WSW MAI TO 45 NE ABY TO 50 SSE AHN TO 15 ENE AHN. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-291240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON GAC017-019-023-027-071-075-087-091-107-125-131-141-155-163-167- 173-175-185-205-209-235-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-301-303- 309-315-317-319-321-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY BROOKS COLQUITT COOK DECATUR DODGE EMANUEL GLASCOCK GRADY HANCOCK IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANIER LAURENS LOWNDES Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0723 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PFN TO 25 WSW MAI TO 45 NE ABY TO 50 SSE AHN TO 15 ENE AHN. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-291240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON GAC017-019-023-027-071-075-087-091-107-125-131-141-155-163-167- 173-175-185-205-209-235-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-301-303- 309-315-317-319-321-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY BROOKS COLQUITT COOK DECATUR DODGE EMANUEL GLASCOCK GRADY HANCOCK IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANIER LAURENS LOWNDES Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0723 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PFN TO 25 WSW MAI TO 45 NE ABY TO 50 SSE AHN TO 15 ENE AHN. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-291240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON GAC017-019-023-027-071-075-087-091-107-125-131-141-155-163-167- 173-175-185-205-209-235-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-301-303- 309-315-317-319-321-291240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY BROOKS COLQUITT COOK DECATUR DODGE EMANUEL GLASCOCK GRADY HANCOCK IRWIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANIER LAURENS LOWNDES Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723

7 months ago
WW 723 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 290655Z - 291400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 723 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeastern Alabama Florida Panhandle to Big Bend Georgia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning from 155 AM until 900 AM EST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A line of strong-severe thunderstorms will continue to move through an environment characterized by modest instability but favorable shear, and may produce occasional embedded tornadoes and/or damaging nontornadic winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles southwest of Apalachicola FL to 40 miles northeast of Atlanta GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 721...WW 722... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Edwards Read more

SPC MD 2315

7 months ago
MD 2315 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 723... FOR PARTS OF EASTERN GA AND SC
Mesoscale Discussion 2315 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Areas affected...parts of eastern GA and SC Concerning...Tornado Watch 723... Valid 291022Z - 291115Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues. SUMMARY...Northern portion of extensive QLCS should continue to move more quickly east and out of WW 723 into parts of eastern Georgia and South Carolina by sunrise. Sporadic damaging winds along with a couple brief tornadoes should remain possible. A downstream tornado watch will likely be coordinated within the hour. DISCUSSION...The northern portion of the Deep South QLCS has more rapidly progressed eastward from 40-45 kts across central GA. Downstream air mass is characterized by scant MLCAPE below 250 J/kg, amid weak tropospheric lapse rates but 62-64 F surface dew points. Thermodynamics are unlikely to appreciably improve over the next 3-4 hours. Still, the organized nature of the QLCS along with continued very strong low-level wind fields will support potential for a few transient mesovortices. A couple brief tornadoes and damaging gusts from 45-60 mph should remain possible through the mid to late morning. ..Grams/Edwards.. 12/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC... LAT...LON 32408242 32288392 32438408 33188370 33658391 33858418 34098352 34358272 34728165 35008075 34918023 34337999 33588003 33218041 32828143 32408242 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 723 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0723 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PNS TO 25 NW ABY TO 25 NNW MCN TO 30 NNE ATL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2315. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 723 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC069-291140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HOUSTON FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-291140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA WASHINGTON GAC007-009-017-019-021-023-027-037-071-075-079-081-087-091-093- 095-099-125-131-133-135-141-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177- 185-193-201-205-207-211-217-219-221-225-235-237-247-253-261-265- Read more

SPC MD 2314

7 months ago
MD 2314 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 723... FOR PARTS OF GA TO THE FL PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 2314 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0306 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Areas affected...parts of GA to the FL Panhandle Concerning...Tornado Watch 723... Valid 290906Z - 291030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues. SUMMARY...Potential for brief tornadoes and sporadic damaging winds from strong gusts should persist through sunrise as a QLCS progresses across Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. DISCUSSION...Overall severe potential has subdued slightly in the early morning hours as the faster-moving/north-south oriented portion of the QLCS spread into GA from AL. Despite the presence of a 60-kt rear inflow jet per the MXX and EOX VWP data, measured surface gusts have largely ranged from 40-55 mph. The forward motion of this line at around 45 kts appears to be outpacing MLCAPE in excess of 500 J/kg. Still, low to mid 60s surface dew points have become common across central GA and will support scant to meager buoyancy downstream. This should be sufficient for a sporadic wind damage and brief tornado threat given the strong low-level winds/SRH. The trailing portion of the QLCS in the western FL Panhandle has been steadily moving east at around 25 kts, lagging well behind the west-central GA portion. Rich low-level moisture combined with sufficient shear will support potential for tornadogenesis and occasional strong gusts. These threats may tend to be focused near the coast where inflection in the large-scale convective outflow is maintained. ..Grams.. 12/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 30208662 30838623 31228559 32158479 32988467 33738480 34028395 34028316 33898273 33558256 33168249 32638267 32148325 31488411 29808538 30208662 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

7 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 011200Z - 061200Z ...DISCUSSION... A broad/expansive upper-level trough will persist over much of the eastern U.S. during the upcoming week, while a ridge of high pressure will extend over the western portion of the CONUS. A series of surface high-pressure systems will result in generally dry/stable conditions and minimal to no chance for thunderstorms through Friday/Day 6. Towards Saturday/Sunday (Days 7 and 8), guidance is varied but does suggest some increase in thunderstorm potential over the south-central U.S. as an impulse over the western U.S. moves east of the Rockies. Uncertainty is high at this relatively extended range on the timing and degree of amplification of this feature, and therefore the overall potential for thunderstorms remains low with this outlook. Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

7 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 011200Z - 061200Z ...DISCUSSION... A broad/expansive upper-level trough will persist over much of the eastern U.S. during the upcoming week, while a ridge of high pressure will extend over the western portion of the CONUS. A series of surface high-pressure systems will result in generally dry/stable conditions and minimal to no chance for thunderstorms through Friday/Day 6. Towards Saturday/Sunday (Days 7 and 8), guidance is varied but does suggest some increase in thunderstorm potential over the south-central U.S. as an impulse over the western U.S. moves east of the Rockies. Uncertainty is high at this relatively extended range on the timing and degree of amplification of this feature, and therefore the overall potential for thunderstorms remains low with this outlook. Read more