SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Dec 29, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

7 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains, contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%. Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should preclude thunderstorm potential. ..Bunting.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 722 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0722 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 722 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE SEM TO 25 SSE BHM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2312. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 722 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-005-011-015-017-019-027-029-037-049-051-055-071-081-085- 087-095-101-109-111-113-115-121-123-290740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH JACKSON LEE LOWNDES MACON MARSHALL MONTGOMERY PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TNC051-290740- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FRANKLIN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 722 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0722 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 722 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE SEM TO 25 SSE BHM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2312. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 722 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-005-011-015-017-019-027-029-037-049-051-055-071-081-085- 087-095-101-109-111-113-115-121-123-290740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH JACKSON LEE LOWNDES MACON MARSHALL MONTGOMERY PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TNC051-290740- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FRANKLIN Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 722 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0722 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 722 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE SEM TO 25 SSE BHM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2312. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 722 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-005-011-015-017-019-027-029-037-049-051-055-071-081-085- 087-095-101-109-111-113-115-121-123-290740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DEKALB ELMORE ETOWAH JACKSON LEE LOWNDES MACON MARSHALL MONTGOMERY PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TNC051-290740- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FRANKLIN Read more