Aggregator

WW 0724 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE SAV TO 40 NNE CHS. ..HART..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS AMZ350-370-372-374-291740- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC TO EDISTO BEACH SC EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 40 NM WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 40 NM WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0724 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE SAV TO 40 NNE CHS. ..HART..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS AMZ350-370-372-374-291740- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC TO EDISTO BEACH SC EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 40 NM WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 40 NM WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 724 TORNADO GA NC SC CW 291100Z - 291800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 724 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 600 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Georgia Southwestern North Carolina South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 600 AM until 100 PM EST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...The faster-moving northern part of a line of strong-severe thunderstorms will move northeastward across the watch area thriough midday, offering sporadic damaging to severe gusts and potential for a few embedded tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles either side of a line from 35 miles east southeast of Savannah GA to 45 miles north of Greenville SC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 723... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 23040. ...Edwards Read more

WW 0725 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 725 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CTY TO 30 W JAX TO 40 SE SSI. ..HART..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 725 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-007-019-031-089-109-125-291740- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BRADFORD CLAY DUVAL NASSAU ST. JOHNS UNION AMZ452-291740- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0726 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 726 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CHS TO 5 E SOP TO 20 W DAN. ..HART..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 726 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-017-019-033-037-047-051-063-085-093-101-105-129-135-141- 155-163-183-191-291740- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE BLADEN BRUNSWICK CASWELL CHATHAM COLUMBUS CUMBERLAND DURHAM HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON LEE NEW HANOVER ORANGE PENDER ROBESON SAMPSON WAKE WAYNE SCC033-043-051-067-291740- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DILLON GEORGETOWN HORRY MARION AMZ250-252-254-256-291740- Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields overspreading much of the eastern US. A pre-frontal squall line has advanced eastward into central NC and eastern SC, well ahead of the primary surface cold front and considerably faster than model guidance had predicted. This line is moving through weak instability, with very limited lightning being observed. Nevertheless, low-level winds and convergence along the line are quite strong, leading to gusty and occasional damaging winds. This trend will continue through the afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/VA This Evening... Behind this line, widespread clouds and dewpoints in the 50s will result in continued weak thermodynamic profiles for deep convection. However, given the large-scale ascent and strong winds aloft, there remains some chance of re-development of showers and occasional thunderstorms from central NC into VA this evening. If this scenario unfolds, isolated damaging wind gusts could occur. ...OH/PA... A deep surface low currently over southern IN will track into northwest OH today, with a occluded front extending eastward from the low across OH. Widespread cloud cover will limit CAPE to 100-200 J/kg this afternoon ahead of the front. However, very strong winds aloft and large scale forcing for ascent is expected to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms. This fast-moving convection may result in locally damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado as it affects much of OH and western PA through early evening. ...FL Keys... An east-west band of thunderstorms is sagging southward across the FL Keys today. Several areas of rotation have been noted all morning along the line, which may pose a risk of gusty winds or waterspout/brief tornado activity. ..Hart/Lyons.. 12/29/2024 Read more

WW 0726 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 726 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2319 ..DEAN..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 726 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC001-007-017-019-033-037-047-051-057-063-067-081-085-093-101- 105-123-125-129-135-141-151-153-155-157-163-165-167-169-171-183- 191-193-197-291740- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ANSON BLADEN BRUNSWICK CASWELL CHATHAM COLUMBUS CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DURHAM FORSYTH GUILFORD HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE NEW HANOVER ORANGE PENDER RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON ROCKINGHAM SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES SURRY WAKE WAYNE WILKES YADKIN SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-291740- SC Read more

WW 0724 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE SSI TO 30 W CHS TO 20 NW FLO. ..DEAN..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS SCC015-019-035-291640- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY CHARLESTON DORCHESTER AMZ330-350-352-354-370-372-374-291640- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHARLESTON HARBOR COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM ...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC TO EDISTO BEACH SC EXTENDING Read more