SPC Tornado Watch 725 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0725 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 725 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW CTY TO 35 ESE VLD TO 45 ESE VLD TO 20 W SSI TO 35 NE SSI. ..DEAN..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 725 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-041-047-067-089-109-121-125- 291640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD CLAY COLUMBIA DIXIE DUVAL GILCHRIST HAMILTON LAFAYETTE NASSAU ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE UNION GAC039-049-127-291640- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAMDEN CHARLTON GLYNN AMZ450-452-GMZ765-291640- CW Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

7 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0914 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Gusty downslope winds (35-50 mph) may result in locally elevated conditions in portions of southern California extending southward along the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra into the western Mojave Desert. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are possible in portions of northern Arizona due to increasing winds, above normal temperatures, and minimum RH around 20%. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge across the western US will continue to build and shift eastward across the Rockies today as a mid-level trough exits the eastern US. A cool continental air mass will remain in place across much of the Plains, with generally light winds where the driest conditions are forecast in the southern High Plains. A few westerly downslope breezes will be possible across eastern New Mexico. Overall fire concerns will remain low with little overlap of dry/windy conditions and receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC MD 2318

7 months ago
MD 2318 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 724... FOR THE LOWER SAVANNAH VALLEY TO SOUTHERN NC
Mesoscale Discussion 2318 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0732 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Areas affected...the Lower Savannah Valley to southern NC Concerning...Tornado Watch 724... Valid 291332Z - 291500Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 724 continues. SUMMARY...A few brief tornadoes and sporadic strong gusts should remain possible through midday with an extensive narrow QLCS. A downstream WW issuance is possible by late morning. DISCUSSION...Forward motion of a long-lived QLCS has remained steadily eastward at 40-45 kts. Despite rather strong low-level flow, measured surface gusts have consistently peaked at around 40 kts across multiple sites in SC/GA (GMU, GSP, and AGS) during the past hour. The lack of stronger gusts is in part due to the scant instability and weak tropospheric lapse rates. Downstream 12Z soundings at CHS, MHX, and GSO sampled negligible buoyancy, suggesting that appreciable intensification is unlikely. Still, with 0-1 km shear of 40-50 kts per the CAE VWP, transient mesovortices will remain possible, yielding brief tornado potential. These may tend to be more focused from the Lower Savannah Valley across SC where mid 60s surface dew points are sustained. ..Grams.. 12/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP... LAT...LON 34668143 35228167 35538110 35608031 35317969 34867917 34217870 33887875 33117903 32487996 31938071 31678123 31998198 33368144 34668143 Read more

SPC MD 2317

7 months ago
MD 2317 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR THE FL KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH PENINSULA
Mesoscale Discussion 2317 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Areas affected...the FL Keys and extreme south Peninsula Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 291254Z - 291500Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A waterspout moving onshore as a tornado is possible across parts of the Keys into the far south Florida Peninsula through midday. DISCUSSION...An MCV has been drifting east in the offshore waters, west of the southern Everglades and north of the Lower Keys, this morning. The airmass to its south, across the Keys, has maintained mid to upper 70s surface temperatures coupled with low 70s dew points. The 12Z KEY sounding sampled this air mass well, which is characterized by poor mid-level lapse rates but MLCAPE near 1000 J/kg. While low-level shear within the sounding and BYX VWP data has been modest and is expected to remain so, veering of the wind profile with height is yielding a favorable environment for occasional supercell structures within a regenerative storm cluster. As this activity likely drifts closer to land through midday, a brief tornado is possible. ..Grams/Edwards.. 12/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY... LAT...LON 24938214 25198139 25298074 25338028 25168023 24898046 24588121 24428178 24618236 24938214 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 724 Status Reports

7 months ago
WW 0724 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE VDI TO 25 W CAE TO 20 ENE AVL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2318. ..GRAMS..12/29/24 ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 724 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-291440- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS JENKINS LIBERTY LONG MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL NCC003-023-025-035-045-059-071-097-109-119-159-161-179-291440- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER BURKE CABARRUS CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIE GASTON IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG ROWAN RUTHERFORD UNION Read more