SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

2 hours 19 minutes ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NEVADA... ...Synopsis... The upper-level trough in the Northwest will continue to dig southward through the day on Monday. Some increase in the mid-level jet is expected to occur from northwest Nevada into the northern Rockies. A surface low will deepen in the northern Great Basin. ...Central/northern Great Basin into western Wyoming... A broad area of elevated fire weather conditions are expected across these regions. Surface winds will reach 15-20 mph in most locations, though areas of higher speeds are possible in terrain-favored areas. Single digit RH is possible in parts of central/northern Nevada, but 15-20% will be more common elsewhere. Critical conditions are expected along the Sierra Front in northwest Nevada. Here, the mid-level jet will enhance winds aloft during the afternoon. While the surface low will not be overly deep, the combination of these factors will support winds around 20 mph near the terrain. Gusts to around 30 mph are also possible. There is some potential for high level clouds to limit RH reductions. Even with some of these marginal factors, wind speeds should be sufficient to promote rapid fire spread in fuels that are very dry (ERCs above 90th percentile). ..Wendt.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

2 hours 19 minutes ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NEVADA... ...Synopsis... The upper-level trough in the Northwest will continue to dig southward through the day on Monday. Some increase in the mid-level jet is expected to occur from northwest Nevada into the northern Rockies. A surface low will deepen in the northern Great Basin. ...Central/northern Great Basin into western Wyoming... A broad area of elevated fire weather conditions are expected across these regions. Surface winds will reach 15-20 mph in most locations, though areas of higher speeds are possible in terrain-favored areas. Single digit RH is possible in parts of central/northern Nevada, but 15-20% will be more common elsewhere. Critical conditions are expected along the Sierra Front in northwest Nevada. Here, the mid-level jet will enhance winds aloft during the afternoon. While the surface low will not be overly deep, the combination of these factors will support winds around 20 mph near the terrain. Gusts to around 30 mph are also possible. There is some potential for high level clouds to limit RH reductions. Even with some of these marginal factors, wind speeds should be sufficient to promote rapid fire spread in fuels that are very dry (ERCs above 90th percentile). ..Wendt.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 hours 20 minutes ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will begin to sag into northern California and the northern Great Basin today. A surface trough will develop from the Northwest into the central Great Basin. Elevated to locally critical conditions are possible from northern Nevada into the Snake River Plain and western Wyoming. RH will be lowest in Nevada where 10-20% is expected. Farther north and east, 15-20% will be more common. Surface wind speeds will generally range from 15-20 mph in most locations. With some terrain enhancement in the Snake River Plain, there is some potential for briefly stronger winds. This location has a greater probability for sustained critical conditions, though ensemble guidance continues to suggest it will remain quite localized. ..Wendt.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 hours 20 minutes ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will begin to sag into northern California and the northern Great Basin today. A surface trough will develop from the Northwest into the central Great Basin. Elevated to locally critical conditions are possible from northern Nevada into the Snake River Plain and western Wyoming. RH will be lowest in Nevada where 10-20% is expected. Farther north and east, 15-20% will be more common. Surface wind speeds will generally range from 15-20 mph in most locations. With some terrain enhancement in the Snake River Plain, there is some potential for briefly stronger winds. This location has a greater probability for sustained critical conditions, though ensemble guidance continues to suggest it will remain quite localized. ..Wendt.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 hours 20 minutes ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will begin to sag into northern California and the northern Great Basin today. A surface trough will develop from the Northwest into the central Great Basin. Elevated to locally critical conditions are possible from northern Nevada into the Snake River Plain and western Wyoming. RH will be lowest in Nevada where 10-20% is expected. Farther north and east, 15-20% will be more common. Surface wind speeds will generally range from 15-20 mph in most locations. With some terrain enhancement in the Snake River Plain, there is some potential for briefly stronger winds. This location has a greater probability for sustained critical conditions, though ensemble guidance continues to suggest it will remain quite localized. ..Wendt.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 hours 20 minutes ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will begin to sag into northern California and the northern Great Basin today. A surface trough will develop from the Northwest into the central Great Basin. Elevated to locally critical conditions are possible from northern Nevada into the Snake River Plain and western Wyoming. RH will be lowest in Nevada where 10-20% is expected. Farther north and east, 15-20% will be more common. Surface wind speeds will generally range from 15-20 mph in most locations. With some terrain enhancement in the Snake River Plain, there is some potential for briefly stronger winds. This location has a greater probability for sustained critical conditions, though ensemble guidance continues to suggest it will remain quite localized. ..Wendt.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2 hours 26 minutes ago
417
ABPZ20 KNHC 200544
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 19 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about
1350 miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula is associated
with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear only
marginally conducive for development during the next day or two as
the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. By the early to middle
part of next week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema
NHC Webmaster

SPC MD 1734

2 hours 30 minutes ago
MD 1734 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 528... FOR SOUTHEAST MONTANA...SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1734 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1155 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Areas affected...Southeast Montana...southwest North Dakota...western South Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528... Valid 200455Z - 200600Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms will pose a risk for large hail and severe wind gusts through 06z. A local watch extension may be needed for portions of South Dakota beyond the scheduled expiration. DISCUSSION...Isolated severe thunderstorms were located over extreme northwest and southwest SD at 0450z, with a history of large hail and severe gusts. Latest mesoanalysis shows instability continuing to slowly diminish with the onset of nocturnal cooling and prior convective outflows, however there remains some potential for a severe threat to continue across western SD after the scheduled 06z expiration of WW 528. Thus, a local extension in time may be required prior to 06z. ..Bunting.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...UNR... LAT...LON 43080299 43570302 43810298 43960281 44010269 44000248 44010214 43710133 43060129 43080299 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC MD 1731

4 hours 10 minutes ago
MD 1731 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 529... FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 1731 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Areas affected...Central and eastern Nebraska/Kansas Border Region Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 529... Valid 200210Z - 200415Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 529 continues. SUMMARY...Severe/damaging winds are possible along the Nebraska/Kansas border over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A small bowing segment has developed from an earlier supercell and is moving east just west of Blue Hill. This has shown a stronger wind signal from KUEX velocity data with a small region of 60-70 kts at about 1500 ft. Measured gusts of 60-70 mph have occurred with this storm over the last hour. With the increase in the low-level jet this evening, additional storms have also develop ahead of and to the south of this storm. Severe/damaging winds are the primary hazard this evening, particularly with the storm west of Blue Hill. The downstream environment remains favorable with 40 kts of effective shear and 3500 J/kg of MLCAPE. However, MLCIN is also increasing. Another 2-3 hours of strong to severe storms appear possible. Whether additional watches will be needed into southeast Nebraska/northeast Kansas is not clear. ..Wendt.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...GLD... LAT...LON 39380000 40529930 40719750 40419670 39779662 39429758 39359884 39380000 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528 Status Reports

4 hours 39 minutes ago
WW 0528 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 528 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NW CDR TO 15 E MLS TO 90 ENE HVR. ..BUNTING..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...BIS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 528 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC011-019-021-025-055-079-083-085-091-105-109-200440- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER DANIELS DAWSON FALLON MCCONE PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT SHERIDAN VALLEY WIBAUX NDC001-007-011-033-041-087-089-200440- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BILLINGS BOWMAN GOLDEN VALLEY HETTINGER SLOPE STARK SDC019-033-063-081-093-102-103-105-200440- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528 Status Reports

4 hours 39 minutes ago
WW 0528 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 528 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NW CDR TO 15 E MLS TO 90 ENE HVR. ..BUNTING..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...BIS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 528 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC011-019-021-025-055-079-083-085-091-105-109-200440- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER DANIELS DAWSON FALLON MCCONE PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT SHERIDAN VALLEY WIBAUX NDC001-007-011-033-041-087-089-200440- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BILLINGS BOWMAN GOLDEN VALLEY HETTINGER SLOPE STARK SDC019-033-063-081-093-102-103-105-200440- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528 Status Reports

4 hours 39 minutes ago
WW 0528 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 528 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NW CDR TO 15 E MLS TO 90 ENE HVR. ..BUNTING..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...BIS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 528 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC011-019-021-025-055-079-083-085-091-105-109-200440- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER DANIELS DAWSON FALLON MCCONE PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT SHERIDAN VALLEY WIBAUX NDC001-007-011-033-041-087-089-200440- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BILLINGS BOWMAN GOLDEN VALLEY HETTINGER SLOPE STARK SDC019-033-063-081-093-102-103-105-200440- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528

4 hours 39 minutes ago
WW 528 SEVERE TSTM MT ND SD WY 192210Z - 200600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 528 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 410 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Montana Southwest North Dakota Western South Dakota Northeast Wyoming * Effective this Saturday afternoon from 410 PM until Midnight MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to develop across parts of eastern Montana and northeast Wyoming. This activity will spread east-southeastward through the evening, posing a risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast of Glasgow MT to 30 miles south southeast of Rapid City SD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 526...WW 527... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28030. ...Hart Read more

SPC MD 1732

5 hours 31 minutes ago
MD 1732 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 528... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MONTANA...NORTHEAST WYOMING...SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1732 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0911 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Areas affected...Portions of eastern Montana...northeast Wyoming...southwest North Dakota...western South Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528... Valid 200211Z - 200315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528 continues. SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will continue across the watch area, with large to very large hail, and strong/damaging gusts as the primary severe hazards. DISCUSSION...Regional radar composite at 0205z shows three areas of severe thunderstorms across the watch area and in the general vicinity of a northwest-southeast oriented boundary/instability gradient. One area of storms has recently developed/strengthened over northeast MT, where subtle ascent from an embedded shortwave trough continues to contribute to storm development. Severe storms over east-central/southeast MT have begun to evolve into a small cluster, while storms over western SD remain more isolated. The environment across the watch area remains moderately unstable with MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg, and effective shear of 40-50 kts. These storms were also along the eastern periphery of a plume of steeper mid-level lapse rates. Latest hi-res guidance suggests these storms should continue to move generally east across the watch area through 06z and pose a continued risk for large/isolated very large hail with the more discrete cells and damaging gusts. ..Bunting.. 07/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW... LAT...LON 43120306 43740428 46320563 47400658 48620706 49060657 49050603 48990504 48830452 46970278 45990201 43340221 43120306 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528 Status Reports

5 hours 32 minutes ago
WW 0528 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 528 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1732 ..BUNTING..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...BIS...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 528 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC011-017-019-021-025-033-055-069-071-079-083-085-091-105-109- 200340- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARTER CUSTER DANIELS DAWSON FALLON GARFIELD MCCONE PETROLEUM PHILLIPS PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT SHERIDAN VALLEY WIBAUX NDC001-007-011-033-041-087-089-200340- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BILLINGS BOWMAN GOLDEN VALLEY HETTINGER SLOPE STARK SDC019-033-047-063-081-093-102-103-105-200340- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 529 Status Reports

5 hours 52 minutes ago
WW 0529 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW HLC TO 15 NNW HLC TO 45 NE HLC TO 15 SW EAR TO 20 SSE GRI TO 30 SW OLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1731 ..WENDT..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC065-089-123-141-147-163-183-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GRAHAM JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-035-061-099-129-181-200340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAY FRANKLIN KEARNEY NUCKOLLS WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 529 Status Reports

5 hours 52 minutes ago
WW 0529 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW HLC TO 15 NNW HLC TO 45 NE HLC TO 15 SW EAR TO 20 SSE GRI TO 30 SW OLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1731 ..WENDT..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC065-089-123-141-147-163-183-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GRAHAM JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-035-061-099-129-181-200340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAY FRANKLIN KEARNEY NUCKOLLS WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 529 Status Reports

5 hours 52 minutes ago
WW 0529 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW HLC TO 15 NNW HLC TO 45 NE HLC TO 15 SW EAR TO 20 SSE GRI TO 30 SW OLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1731 ..WENDT..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC065-089-123-141-147-163-183-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GRAHAM JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-035-061-099-129-181-200340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAY FRANKLIN KEARNEY NUCKOLLS WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 529 Status Reports

5 hours 52 minutes ago
WW 0529 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW HLC TO 15 NNW HLC TO 45 NE HLC TO 15 SW EAR TO 20 SSE GRI TO 30 SW OLU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1731 ..WENDT..07/20/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 529 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC065-089-123-141-147-163-183-200340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GRAHAM JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-035-061-099-129-181-200340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAY FRANKLIN KEARNEY NUCKOLLS WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 529

5 hours 52 minutes ago
WW 529 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 192235Z - 200500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 529 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 535 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of North Central Kansas South Central Nebraska * Effective this Saturday afternoon from 535 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A cluster of intense supercell storms over west-central Nebraska will track southeastward into the watch area, while other storms over northwest Kansas spread eastward. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible with this activity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles southwest of Mccook NE to 45 miles southeast of Hastings NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 526...WW 527...WW 528... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Hart Read more