National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040551
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms is associated with
an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the
southern coast of Mexico. While this activity continues to show
signs of organization, it is unclear if a well-defined center has
formed with the system. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some additional development later today, and a short-lived
tropical depression could form during over the next day or so. By
Friday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and
development after that time is not expected. The disturbance is
forecast to move northward today and then turn northwestward by
Friday, remaining offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 032306
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of
Mexico continue to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some further development of this
system during the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical
depression could form during that time. On Friday, the system is
forecast to move over cooler waters and development after that time
is not expected. The disturbance is forecast to move northward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031732
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of
Mexico have become a little better organized this morning.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some further
development of this system during the next day or so, and a
short-lived tropical depression could form during that time. On
Friday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and
development after that time is not expected. The disturbance is
forecast to move northward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph,
remaining offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031128
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
offshore of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad
area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are conducive for
further development of this system, and a short-lived tropical
depression could form within the next day or so while it moves
northward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico. This system is forecast to move
over cooler waters on Friday, and thereafter further development is
not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 030549
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico is associated
with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are
conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form within a day or two while it moves northward
to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico. However, this system should move
over cooler waters on Friday, preventing further development
thereafter.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 022304
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico is associated
with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could
support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves
northward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Roberts

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021729
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico is associated
with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could
support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves
northward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021153
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
Satellite data indicate a broad area of low pressure is forming a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. The system
is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Environmental conditions could support some gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form
during the next few days while it moves northward to northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low....30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020541
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or so a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form during the next few days while it
moves west-northwestward between 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low....20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 012304
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or two a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form during the next few days while it
moves west-northwestward between 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low... 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011717
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or two a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form mid- to late-week while it moves
west-northwestward between 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low... 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011144
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or two a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form mid- to late-week while it moves
west-northwestward between 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 010527
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form early this week a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form mid- to late-week while it moves
west-northwestward between 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302325
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form early this week a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form around midweek while it moves
west-northwestward between 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301726
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form early this week a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could
form around midweek while the system moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301233
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form early this week a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.
Some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression
could form around midweek while the system moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301124
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form by early next week
a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could
form around midweek while the system moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300547
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form by early next week
a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could
form around midweek while the system moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292330
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some gradual
development is possible during the next several days while the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291742
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some gradual
development is possible during the next several days while the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts