National Hurricane Center (NHC) Atlantic Map

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 426 WTNT41 KNHC 031446 TCDAT1 Potential Tropical Cyclone One Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the circulation associated with the disturbance has become a little better defined over the Gulf of Mexico north of the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, and that the central pressure is near 1002 mb. However, the associated convection is poorly organized, with radar data from Cuba and Mexico showing that the strong convection over the northwestern Caribbean Sea more resembles a mid-latitude squall line than a tropical cyclone rain band. In addition, the airplane has yet to report tropical-storm force winds, although it has not yet sampled the areas of stronger convection. Based on the current data, the system has not yet become a tropical storm and will remain a potential tropical cyclone on this advisory. The initial motion is an uncertain 035/4 kt. The system is about to encounter the southern edge of the mid-latitude westerlies, and the guidance is in good agreement that a faster motion toward the northeast should begin later today and continue through about 72 h. Based on this, the forecast track continues to bring the system across the southern or central Florida Peninsula on Saturday. After 72 h, the system should move east-northeastward across the western Atlantic. The track guidance is in good agreement with this scenario, and the new forecast track is little changed from the previous forecast. It should be noted that due to the poor organization, there is the possibility of the center re-forming due to convective bursts, which would cause some erratic motion to occur. Although 20-30 kt of westerly shear is forecast to continue until the system reaches Florida, it is likely that convective bursts near the center will create enough organized convection for the system to become a tropical storm in the next 12-24 h. This could also cause slight strengthening before the system reaches Florida. A little more strengthening is forecast over the Atlantic, due primarily to interaction with a mid-latitude trough. This interaction will eventually lead to extratropical transition, which is forecast to be complete at about 96 h. The new intensity forecast has only minor tweaks from the previous forecast. The main impact from this system continues to be widespread heavy rain that is expected to spread over portions of western Cuba, the southern Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas during the next couple of days. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Heavy rain associated with the system is expected across western Cuba, where life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides are possible. 2. Heavy rain will affect portions of Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys today and continue through Saturday. Considerable flash and urban flooding is possible across South Florida and in the Keys. Flash and urban flooding is also possible across the northwestern Bahamas. 3. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in western Cuba today and tonight, in Florida tonight and on Saturday, and in the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in the watch area in western Cuba today and tonight. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 22.3N 86.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 04/0000Z 23.9N 85.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE 24H 04/1200Z 25.8N 82.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 05/0000Z 27.7N 79.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 05/1200Z 29.7N 76.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 06/0000Z 31.4N 72.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 06/1200Z 32.7N 68.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 07/1200Z 34.0N 61.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 08/1200Z 35.5N 56.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Beven

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 426 WTNT41 KNHC 031446 TCDAT1 Potential Tropical Cyclone One Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the circulation associated with the disturbance has become a little better defined over the Gulf of Mexico north of the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, and that the central pressure is near 1002 mb. However, the associated convection is poorly organized, with radar data from Cuba and Mexico showing that the strong convection over the northwestern Caribbean Sea more resembles a mid-latitude squall line than a tropical cyclone rain band. In addition, the airplane has yet to report tropical-storm force winds, although it has not yet sampled the areas of stronger convection. Based on the current data, the system has not yet become a tropical storm and will remain a potential tropical cyclone on this advisory. The initial motion is an uncertain 035/4 kt. The system is about to encounter the southern edge of the mid-latitude westerlies, and the guidance is in good agreement that a faster motion toward the northeast should begin later today and continue through about 72 h. Based on this, the forecast track continues to bring the system across the southern or central Florida Peninsula on Saturday. After 72 h, the system should move east-northeastward across the western Atlantic. The track guidance is in good agreement with this scenario, and the new forecast track is little changed from the previous forecast. It should be noted that due to the poor organization, there is the possibility of the center re-forming due to convective bursts, which would cause some erratic motion to occur. Although 20-30 kt of westerly shear is forecast to continue until the system reaches Florida, it is likely that convective bursts near the center will create enough organized convection for the system to become a tropical storm in the next 12-24 h. This could also cause slight strengthening before the system reaches Florida. A little more strengthening is forecast over the Atlantic, due primarily to interaction with a mid-latitude trough. This interaction will eventually lead to extratropical transition, which is forecast to be complete at about 96 h. The new intensity forecast has only minor tweaks from the previous forecast. The main impact from this system continues to be widespread heavy rain that is expected to spread over portions of western Cuba, the southern Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas during the next couple of days. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Heavy rain associated with the system is expected across western Cuba, where life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides are possible. 2. Heavy rain will affect portions of Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys today and continue through Saturday. Considerable flash and urban flooding is possible across South Florida and in the Keys. Flash and urban flooding is also possible across the northwestern Bahamas. 3. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in western Cuba today and tonight, in Florida tonight and on Saturday, and in the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in the watch area in western Cuba today and tonight. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 22.3N 86.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 04/0000Z 23.9N 85.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE 24H 04/1200Z 25.8N 82.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 05/0000Z 27.7N 79.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 05/1200Z 29.7N 76.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 06/0000Z 31.4N 72.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 06/1200Z 32.7N 68.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 07/1200Z 34.0N 61.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 08/1200Z 35.5N 56.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Beven

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 542 WTNT31 KNHC 031446 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 ...DISTURBANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 86.8W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Florida Keys including the Dry Tortugas * Florida Bay * West coast of Florida south of the Middle of Longboat Key to Card Sound Bridge * East coast of Florida south of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to Card Sound Bridge * Lake Okeechobee * Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio, Artemisa, La Habana, and Mayabeque * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Matanzas and the Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible somewhere within the watch area within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 86.8 West. The system is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed starting later today. On the forecast track, the system should move across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight, across the southern and central portions of the Florida Peninsula on Saturday, and then over the southwestern Atlantic north of the northwestern Bahamas Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected to develop a well-defined center and become a tropical storm later today, and some slight strengthening is possible while it approaches Florida today and tonight. Additional strengthening is possible after the system moves east of Florida over the western Atlantic late Saturday and Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone One can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: The potential tropical cyclone will continue to produce heavy rains across western Cuba through today. Heavy rain will begin to affect Central Florida, South Florida and the Keys today through Saturday, and affect northwestern Bahamas tonight through Saturday. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Western Cuba: 6 to 10 inches, with isolated maxima of 14 inches. This rain may cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys: 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12 inches across South Florida and in the Keys This rain may produce considerable flash and urban flooding. Northwestern Bahamas: 3 to 6 inches with maxima of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Cuba today and tonight, in Florida tonight and on Saturday, and in the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Cuba today and tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Marco Island, FL to Card Sound Bridge...1-3 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Marco Island, FL...1-2 ft Charlotte Harbor...1-2 ft Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas...1-2 ft Card Sound Bridge to North Miami Beach, FL including Biscayne Bay...1-2 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible over South Florida beginning this evening and continuing through Saturday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 542 WTNT31 KNHC 031446 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022 1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022 ...DISTURBANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 86.8W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Florida Keys including the Dry Tortugas * Florida Bay * West coast of Florida south of the Middle of Longboat Key to Card Sound Bridge * East coast of Florida south of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to Card Sound Bridge * Lake Okeechobee * Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio, Artemisa, La Habana, and Mayabeque * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Matanzas and the Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible somewhere within the watch area within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 86.8 West. The system is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed starting later today. On the forecast track, the system should move across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight, across the southern and central portions of the Florida Peninsula on Saturday, and then over the southwestern Atlantic north of the northwestern Bahamas Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is expected to develop a well-defined center and become a tropical storm later today, and some slight strengthening is possible while it approaches Florida today and tonight. Additional strengthening is possible after the system moves east of Florida over the western Atlantic late Saturday and Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone One can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: The potential tropical cyclone will continue to produce heavy rains across western Cuba through today. Heavy rain will begin to affect Central Florida, South Florida and the Keys today through Saturday, and affect northwestern Bahamas tonight through Saturday. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Western Cuba: 6 to 10 inches, with isolated maxima of 14 inches. This rain may cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Central Florida, South Florida, and the Florida Keys: 4 to 8 inches with maxima of 12 inches across South Florida and in the Keys This rain may produce considerable flash and urban flooding. Northwestern Bahamas: 3 to 6 inches with maxima of 10 inches. This rain may produce flash and urban flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Cuba today and tonight, in Florida tonight and on Saturday, and in the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Cuba today and tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Marco Island, FL to Card Sound Bridge...1-3 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Marco Island, FL...1-2 ft Charlotte Harbor...1-2 ft Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas...1-2 ft Card Sound Bridge to North Miami Beach, FL including Biscayne Bay...1-2 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible over South Florida beginning this evening and continuing through Saturday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

...DISTURBANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA... As of 10:00 AM CDT Fri Jun 3 the center of One was located near 22.3, -86.8 with movement NE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

...DISTURBANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA... As of 10:00 AM CDT Fri Jun 3 the center of One was located near 22.3, -86.8 with movement NE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 000 FONT11 KNHC 031446 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X 5( 5) 23(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 6( 6) 15(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MIAMI FL 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MARATHON FL 34 1 14(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) KEY WEST FL 34 1 20(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) NAPLES FL 34 X 37(37) 18(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) NAPLES FL 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT MYERS FL 34 X 9( 9) 17(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) VENICE FL 34 X 12(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) X(22) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 000 FONT11 KNHC 031446 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X 5( 5) 23(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 6( 6) 15(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MIAMI FL 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MARATHON FL 34 1 14(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) KEY WEST FL 34 1 20(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) NAPLES FL 34 X 37(37) 18(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) NAPLES FL 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT MYERS FL 34 X 9( 9) 17(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) VENICE FL 34 X 12(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) X(22) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 000 WTNT21 KNHC 031445 TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...ARTEMISA...LA HABANA...AND MAYABEQUE * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 87.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.9N 85.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.8N 82.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.7N 79.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.7N 76.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 80SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.4N 72.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.7N 68.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 34.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 35.5N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 86.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 03/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 000 WTNT21 KNHC 031445 TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022 1500 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...ARTEMISA...LA HABANA...AND MAYABEQUE * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 87.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.9N 85.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.8N 82.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.7N 79.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.7N 76.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 80SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.4N 72.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.7N 68.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 34.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 35.5N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 86.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 03/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

000
ABNT20 KNHC 031155
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 3 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula and the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: The
National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone One, located near the northeastern portion of the
Yucatan Peninsula. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical
storm over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

In the Western Atlantic west-southwest of Bermuda:
A small area of low pressure located more than 200 miles
west-southwest of Bermuda is producing a small area of showers and
thunderstorms. This system only has a brief window for further
development today before environmental conditions become
increasingly unfavorable by this weekend. This system is expected to
move generally eastward to the south of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Bucci

400
ABNT20 KNHC 021150
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located over the northeastern portion
of the Yucatan Peninsula continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula. Despite strong upper-level
winds, this system is likely to become a tropical depression or
tropical storm while it moves slowly northeastward over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico during
the next day or two. Interests in western Cuba, the Florida Keys,
and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this
system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required
for some of these areas later today.

Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely
across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba during
the next day or so, spreading across southern and central Florida
and the Florida Keys Friday and Friday night, and the northwestern
Bahamas on Saturday. These heavy rains could cause scattered to
numerous flash floods across South Florida and the Florida Keys.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Southwestern Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with a weak surface trough located about
200 miles east-northeast of the northwestern Bahamas has
diminished, and upper-level winds remain strong in the area.
Development of this system is not expected while it moves
northeastward at 5 to 10 mph over the southwestern Atlantic during
the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

000
ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 1 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula is
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and this
system is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves
northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern
Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of
southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, and Belize during the
next day or so, spreading across western Cuba, South Florida, and
the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday. Interests in the Yucatan
Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Southwestern Atlantic northeast of the Bahamas:
A weak surface trough located around 200 miles northeast of the
central Bahamas is producing disorganized shower activity as it
interacts with an upper-level trough. Surface pressures are
currently high across the area, and significant development of this
system appears unlikely as it moves generally east-northeastward
over the next several days away from the southeastern United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3,
respectively.

The list of names for 2022 is as follows:

Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Alex AL-leks Lisa LEE-suh
Bonnie BAH-nee Martin MAR-tin
Colin KAH-lihn Nicole nih-KOHL
Danielle dan-YELL Owen OH-uhn
Earl URR-ull Paula PAHL-luh
Fiona fee-OH-nuh Richard RIH-churd
Gaston ga-STAWN Shary SHAHR-ee
Hermine her-MEEN Tobias toh-BEE-uss
Ian EE-an Virginie vir-JIN-ee
Julia JOO-lee-uh Walter WALL-tur
Karl KAR-ull

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the
change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7
AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.

All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information
on NHC text products can be found at
https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcprod.shtml, while more
information about NHC graphical products can be found at
https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcgraphics.shtml.

You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via
Twitter when select National Hurricane Center products are issued.
Information about our Atlantic Twitter feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is
available at https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.php.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Bucci

000
ABNT20 KNHC 311119
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue May 31 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple
of days, partially related to the remnants of Agatha from the
eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the area,
this system could become a tropical depression while it moves
northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern
Gulf of Mexico late this week. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the
Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize during the next few days,
spreading across western Cuba, southern Florida, and the Florida
Keys by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Bucci

000
ABNT20 KNHC 301120
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon May 30 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop
across Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, and the southwest
Gulf of Mexico in a few days, partially related to the remnants of
Hurricane Agatha from the eastern Pacific. Some gradual development
is possible within this system in the far southwest Gulf of Mexico
around mid-week or in the northwest Caribbean by the latter part of
this week as it drifts eastward or northeastward. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains will be possible across southern
Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize through the
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

000
ABNT20 KNHC 291129
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun May 29 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwest Gulf of Mexico and Northwest Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea by the
middle of the week. Some gradual development is possible
thereafter while the system drifts generally eastward or
northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
ABNT20 KNHC 281121
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat May 28 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwest Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southern part of the Bay of Campeche by the middle of next week.
Afterward, some gradual development is possible while the system
drifts generally eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

700
ABNT20 KNHC 271133
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

603
ABNT20 KNHC 261141
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu May 26 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABNT20 KNHC 251120
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 25 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Papin