Severe Storms

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast. On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the south-central states. Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains buoyancy plume. Read more