Severe Storms

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily from damaging winds, are possible on Monday into Monday evening across the Southeast. ...Southeast... A weakening MCS may be ongoing at 12Z Monday in the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Renewed intensification along its outflow is plausible by midday as the boundary layer warms ahead of it. The track and intensity of wind fields surrounding its parent MCV has above-average spread. Guidance also differs on the northern extent of moderate buoyancy in the TN Valley and across the Carolinas. Have tilted towards the more aggressive spectrum of guidance with the northern extent of the level 2-SLGT into TN/SC. Background wind fields outside of the influence of MCV are expected to be more muted relative to prior days, which could result in a more sporadic damaging-wind threat. ...OH Valley and central Appalachians vicinity... A belt of strong mid-level southwesterlies ahead of an upper Great Lakes vertically stacked cyclone should remain along to behind a weak cold front shifting east. MLCAPE ahead of the front appears weak with marginal mid-level lapse rates and a narrow plume of richer low-level moisture. As such, broad low severe probabilities remain appropriate for this time frame. ...Southern High Plains to TX... A potentially intense and large MCS is anticipated on D2. This should help drive the composite outflow/cold front well south into central/south TX and westward into central NM. Diurnal storm development will probably remain tied to the higher terrain of NM with an isolated severe hail/wind threat amid marginal deep-layer shear. Elevated convection may form downstream of this and/or separately with weak low-level warm theta-e advection north of the front. Sufficient effective bulk shear and elevated buoyancy exists for a risk of isolated large hail into Monday night. ..Grams.. 06/07/2025 Read more

MD 1168 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 381... FOR FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1168 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Areas affected...far northern Oklahoma and far southern Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 381... Valid 070547Z - 070715Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 381 continues. SUMMARY...75+ mph wind gusts are possible over the next 1 to 2 hours across far southern Kansas and far northern Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...A MCS with an embedded supercell is moving along the Kansas Oklahoma border in far northern Woods County. The VNX WSR-88D is sampling 90 to 95 knot inbound velocities moving across Woods county at around 4000 feet. While surface winds are likely not that strong, it is likely that 75+ mph winds are reaching the surface across this region. As this cluster continues east-southeast along a convergent frontal zone across northern Oklahoma where near 70F dewpoints are present, expect it to maintain intensity for at least the next 1 to 2 hours. ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC... LAT...LON 37329940 37289861 37149775 37059660 36799658 36539692 36469740 36559873 36679946 36889968 37329940 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0382 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 382 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..06/07/25 ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 382 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-070840- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON KSC019-021-035-077-099-125-191-070840- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY SUMNER MOC119-070840- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MCDONALD Read more

WW 0381 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 381 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..06/07/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 381 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-025-027-031-039-043-045-047-049-051- 055-059-073-075-081-083-087-093-103-109-119-123-125-129-133-139- 149-151-153-070840- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CIMARRON CLEVELAND COMANCHE CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GREER HARPER KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE TEXAS WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD TXC065-111-179-195-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-483-070840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will deepen across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region, promoting widespread showers/thunderstorms and/or the overspreading of rich low-level moisture across much of the Plains to the East Coast tomorrow (Sunday). As such, significant and widespread wildfire-spread conditions should be limited across most locales east of the Rockies. Similar to Day 1, dry conditions will prevail across the Southwest tomorrow, though surface winds appear too weak to warrant fire weather highlights. Widespread 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25 percent RH are likely in a post cold-frontal regime over the northern High Plains tomorrow (Sunday) afternoon. However, fuels in this region are less receptive, and have received relatively more recent rainfall compared to far northeast Montana. As such, fire weather highlights have been withheld for now. ..Squitieri.. 06/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will deepen across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region, promoting widespread showers/thunderstorms and/or the overspreading of rich low-level moisture across much of the Plains to the East Coast tomorrow (Sunday). As such, significant and widespread wildfire-spread conditions should be limited across most locales east of the Rockies. Similar to Day 1, dry conditions will prevail across the Southwest tomorrow, though surface winds appear too weak to warrant fire weather highlights. Widespread 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25 percent RH are likely in a post cold-frontal regime over the northern High Plains tomorrow (Sunday) afternoon. However, fuels in this region are less receptive, and have received relatively more recent rainfall compared to far northeast Montana. As such, fire weather highlights have been withheld for now. ..Squitieri.. 06/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will deepen across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region, promoting widespread showers/thunderstorms and/or the overspreading of rich low-level moisture across much of the Plains to the East Coast tomorrow (Sunday). As such, significant and widespread wildfire-spread conditions should be limited across most locales east of the Rockies. Similar to Day 1, dry conditions will prevail across the Southwest tomorrow, though surface winds appear too weak to warrant fire weather highlights. Widespread 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25 percent RH are likely in a post cold-frontal regime over the northern High Plains tomorrow (Sunday) afternoon. However, fuels in this region are less receptive, and have received relatively more recent rainfall compared to far northeast Montana. As such, fire weather highlights have been withheld for now. ..Squitieri.. 06/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will deepen across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region, promoting widespread showers/thunderstorms and/or the overspreading of rich low-level moisture across much of the Plains to the East Coast tomorrow (Sunday). As such, significant and widespread wildfire-spread conditions should be limited across most locales east of the Rockies. Similar to Day 1, dry conditions will prevail across the Southwest tomorrow, though surface winds appear too weak to warrant fire weather highlights. Widespread 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25 percent RH are likely in a post cold-frontal regime over the northern High Plains tomorrow (Sunday) afternoon. However, fuels in this region are less receptive, and have received relatively more recent rainfall compared to far northeast Montana. As such, fire weather highlights have been withheld for now. ..Squitieri.. 06/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more