Severe Storms

WW 0493 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 493 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW PIR TO 5 E MHE TO 5 WSW FSD TO 10 WNW RWF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1598 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC035-119-141-143-149-167-193-080040- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEROKEE LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX WOODBURY MNC101-105-133-080040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MURRAY NOBLES ROCK NEC003-009-015-017-027-043-051-071-089-103-107-115-139-149-179- 183-080040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

MD 1598 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 493... FOR SOUTHEAST SD...NORTHEAST NE...AND FAR NORTHWEST IA
Mesoscale Discussion 1598 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0552 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Areas affected...Southeast SD...northeast NE...and far northwest IA Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 493... Valid 072252Z - 080015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 493 continues. SUMMARY...Risk of large hail and severe wind gusts will continue spreading/expanding southward in Severe Thunderstorm Watch 493. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm clusters are spreading slowly southward along a composite outflow-front in southeastern SD, which will continue to pose a risk of severe wind gusts. Ahead of the front, differential heating amid rich boundary-layer moisture (upper 60s/lower 70s dewpoints) is supporting discrete supercell development within a strongly unstable air mass. Given around 40 kt of effective shear and modest clockwise hodograph curvature (per nearby VWP), discrete supercells will be capable of producing large hail (potentially up to 2 inches in diameter) and locally severe wind gusts. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...UNR... LAT...LON 43269974 43299875 43749697 43749648 43629604 43299588 42889582 42279674 41989815 41979922 42149980 42480007 42920013 43269974 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

MD 1597 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492... FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST CO...SOUTHWEST NE...AND FAR NORTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1597 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0528 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Areas affected...Parts of northeast CO...southwest NE...and far northwest KS Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 492... Valid 072228Z - 080000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 492 continues. SUMMARY...The risk of large hail and severe wind gusts continue across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 492. Some localized upscale growth may support an increasing severe-wind risk into this evening. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are gradually increasing in intensity and coverage across parts of northeastern CO into the southwestern NE Panhandle as they impinge on a moderate to strongly unstable boundary layer. Steep deep-layer lapse rates and a long/straight hodograph (around 40 kt of deep-layer shear per mesoanalysis/VWP) will continue to support embedded supercell structures and organized clusters capable of producing large hail and locally severe wind gusts. With time, continued storm mergers amid strong convective outflow may favor some localized upscale growth into one or more coherent clusters into this evening. This evolution would support an increasing risk of severe wind gusts (some upwards of 75 mph). ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 39430288 40560321 41340327 41680313 41890277 41880219 41520179 40100142 39460166 39350241 39430288 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 493 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 072015Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 493 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 315 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Iowa Southwest Minnesota Northeat Nebraska Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying along a line across southeast South Dakota. These storms will spread across the watch area through the afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of damaging winds and large hail. A tornado or two is possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles east of Sioux Falls SD to 15 miles north northwest of Ainsworth NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 492... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0494 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW FAR TO 40 NW GFK TO 30 ESE HCO. ..THOMPSON..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...FGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC005-027-087-089-107-113-119-125-080040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKER CLAY MAHNOMEN MARSHALL NORMAN PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE NDC017-035-091-097-099-080040- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CASS GRAND FORKS STEELE TRAILL WALSH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 494 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 072030Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 494 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Minnesota Eastern North Dakota * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify across the watch area this afternoon, with a few intense/supercell storms possible. Large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado or two are all possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Hallock MN to 20 miles south of Fargo ND. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 492...WW 493... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28030. ...Hart Read more

MD 1596 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 494... FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1596 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0457 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Areas affected...Eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494... Valid 072157Z - 072330Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for a tornado or two and occasional large hail/wind damage will persist. DISCUSSION...A few supercells are ongoing across east central and northeast ND. The more favorable zone for a tornado or two will remain along the northwest-southeast oriented baroclinic zone across extreme northeast ND, where both vertical shear/buoyancy and vertical vorticity are maximized along and to the immediate cool side of the front. Farther south, a couple of storms are ongoing immediately ahead of the surface wind shift/trough. Moderate buoyancy is present through this zone where surface temperatures have warmed into the mid-upper 70s with mid 60s dewpoints, but relatively straight hodographs support some potential for large hail. Overall, storms are expected to remain semi-discrete and the severe threat should peak between now and 00z in the zone of modest forcing for ascent with a midlevel shortwave trough now moving over northeast ND. ..Thompson.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FGF... LAT...LON 48559704 48019652 47659661 47209705 47099739 47159806 47649791 48189811 48439842 48659834 48699780 48559704 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0492 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 492 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W PUB TO 30 SW LIC TO 5 WNW LIC TO 35 S TOR TO 35 WNW TOR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1597 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 492 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC017-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-125-080040- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA KSC023-071-109-153-181-193-199-203-080040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE GREELEY LOGAN RAWLINS SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA NEC005-007-029-033-049-057-069-085-087-101-105-123-135-157- 080040- Read more

WW 492 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE WY 071950Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 492 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 150 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Northwest Kansas Southwest Nebraska Southeast Wyoming * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase over northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming, spreading eastward across the watch area through the early evening. Damaging wind gusts and hail will be possible in the strongest storms. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northwest of Sidney NE to 55 miles south southwest of Burlington CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0494 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE JMS TO 40 NE DVL TO 45 WNW HCO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1596 ..THOMPSON..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...FGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 494 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC005-027-069-087-089-107-113-119-125-072340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKER CLAY KITTSON MAHNOMEN MARSHALL NORMAN PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE NDC003-017-035-039-063-067-091-097-099-072340- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARNES CASS GRAND FORKS GRIGGS NELSON PEMBINA STEELE TRAILL WALSH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z ...Day 3/Wednesday... Stronger west winds with the arrival of a mid-level short wave trough and attendant cold front are expected across the Columbia Basin where fuels remain dry. Although cooler temperatures and slightly higher humidity arrive with the cold front, sustained west winds of 15-25 mph will continue to support a fire weather threat amid dry fuels across the Columbia Basin. A mid-level short wave trough will translate over a broad ridge situated over the Southwestern U.S. Collocation of ascent ahead of a mid-level jet max and antecedent mid-level moisture should support isolated thunderstorms with limited rainfall across southeastern OR/southwestern ID on Day 3/Wednesday. The accelerated mid-level flow on the southern periphery of the aforementioned short wave along with a deep/well-mixed boundary layer will promote elevated west-southwest winds across much of the Great Basin and portions of southern Idaho. The breezy and very dry conditions support at least a 40% probability for critical fire weather conditions across the region amid an expected dry fuelscape. ...Day 4/Thursday... The mid-level short wave edges eastward into the Southern Rockies bringing elevated west winds to the Intermountain West and great Four Corners region Day 4/Thursday. A 40% probability for critical fire weather was introduced into southern UT and northern AZ where fuels will go under several days of drying through midweek, becoming more receptive to wildfire spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat is expected across much of the Western U.S. through the weekend under an expanding mid-level ridge over southern CA which will promote a limited wind threat across the region. Monsoon moisture and associated thunderstorms will remain confined to southern AZ and NM through the weekend. ..Williams.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more