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2 months ago
WW 0494 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 494
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S FAR TO
20 SE GFK TO 35 SE TVF.
WW 494 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 080300Z.
..THOMPSON..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 494
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-027-087-107-119-080300-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER CLAY MAHNOMEN
NORMAN POLK
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0494 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 494
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S FAR TO
20 SE GFK TO 35 SE TVF.
WW 494 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 080300Z.
..THOMPSON..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 494
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-027-087-107-119-080300-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER CLAY MAHNOMEN
NORMAN POLK
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 494 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 072030Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 494
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify across the watch
area this afternoon, with a few intense/supercell storms possible.
Large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado or two are all
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Hallock MN to 20 miles south of Fargo ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 492...WW 493...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0492 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E LAA TO
30 SSE GLD TO 30 W LBF.
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC109-153-193-203-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN RAWLINS THOMAS
WICHITA
NEC063-085-087-111-145-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRONTIER HAYES HITCHCOCK
LINCOLN RED WILLOW
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0492 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E LAA TO
30 SSE GLD TO 30 W LBF.
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC109-153-193-203-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN RAWLINS THOMAS
WICHITA
NEC063-085-087-111-145-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRONTIER HAYES HITCHCOCK
LINCOLN RED WILLOW
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0492 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E LAA TO
30 SSE GLD TO 30 W LBF.
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC109-153-193-203-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN RAWLINS THOMAS
WICHITA
NEC063-085-087-111-145-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRONTIER HAYES HITCHCOCK
LINCOLN RED WILLOW
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0492 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E LAA TO
30 SSE GLD TO 30 W LBF.
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC109-153-193-203-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN RAWLINS THOMAS
WICHITA
NEC063-085-087-111-145-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRONTIER HAYES HITCHCOCK
LINCOLN RED WILLOW
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0492 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E LAA TO
30 SSE GLD TO 30 W LBF.
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC109-153-193-203-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN RAWLINS THOMAS
WICHITA
NEC063-085-087-111-145-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRONTIER HAYES HITCHCOCK
LINCOLN RED WILLOW
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0492 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E LAA TO
30 SSE GLD TO 30 W LBF.
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 492
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC109-153-193-203-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN RAWLINS THOMAS
WICHITA
NEC063-085-087-111-145-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRONTIER HAYES HITCHCOCK
LINCOLN RED WILLOW
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 492 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE WY 071950Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 492
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Northwest Kansas
Southwest Nebraska
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase over northeast Colorado and
southeast Wyoming, spreading eastward across the watch area through
the early evening. Damaging wind gusts and hail will be possible in
the strongest storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northwest
of Sidney NE to 55 miles south southwest of Burlington CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0493 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE VTN TO
30 S YKN TO 20 NW SPW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC035-133-141-143-149-193-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE MONONA O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH WOODBURY
NEC003-009-011-017-021-039-043-051-071-089-115-119-139-149-167-
173-179-183-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE
BROWN BURT CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON GARFIELD
HOLT LOUP MADISON
PIERCE ROCK STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE WHEELER
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0493 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE VTN TO
30 S YKN TO 20 NW SPW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC035-133-141-143-149-193-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE MONONA O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH WOODBURY
NEC003-009-011-017-021-039-043-051-071-089-115-119-139-149-167-
173-179-183-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE
BROWN BURT CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON GARFIELD
HOLT LOUP MADISON
PIERCE ROCK STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE WHEELER
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0493 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE VTN TO
30 S YKN TO 20 NW SPW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC035-133-141-143-149-193-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE MONONA O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH WOODBURY
NEC003-009-011-017-021-039-043-051-071-089-115-119-139-149-167-
173-179-183-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE
BROWN BURT CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON GARFIELD
HOLT LOUP MADISON
PIERCE ROCK STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE WHEELER
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0493 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE VTN TO
30 S YKN TO 20 NW SPW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC035-133-141-143-149-193-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE MONONA O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH WOODBURY
NEC003-009-011-017-021-039-043-051-071-089-115-119-139-149-167-
173-179-183-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE
BROWN BURT CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON GARFIELD
HOLT LOUP MADISON
PIERCE ROCK STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE WHEELER
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0493 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE VTN TO
30 S YKN TO 20 NW SPW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC035-133-141-143-149-193-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE MONONA O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH WOODBURY
NEC003-009-011-017-021-039-043-051-071-089-115-119-139-149-167-
173-179-183-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE
BROWN BURT CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON GARFIELD
HOLT LOUP MADISON
PIERCE ROCK STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE WHEELER
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0493 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE VTN TO
30 S YKN TO 20 NW SPW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
..WEINMAN..07/08/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC035-133-141-143-149-193-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE MONONA O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH WOODBURY
NEC003-009-011-017-021-039-043-051-071-089-115-119-139-149-167-
173-179-183-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE
BROWN BURT CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON GARFIELD
HOLT LOUP MADISON
PIERCE ROCK STANTON
THURSTON WAYNE WHEELER
Read more
2 months ago
WW 493 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 072015Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 493
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Iowa
Southwest Minnesota
Northeat Nebraska
Southeast South Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying along a line across
southeast South Dakota. These storms will spread across the watch
area through the afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of
damaging winds and large hail. A tornado or two is possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles east of Sioux
Falls SD to 15 miles north northwest of Ainsworth NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 492...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Hart
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms will be concentrated across portions
of the central and northern Plains. Severe wind and large hail are
the main threats.
...01z Update...
Mid-level short-wave trough is progressing across the upper Red
River Valley, and 500mb flow is gradually strengthening across the
northern/central Plains. Associated synoptic front currently extends
from eastern ND-central SD-near CYS. This boundary will advance
slowly into northern MN, but is not expected to move appreciably
across the central High Plains. Convection has largely concentrated
along/near the wind shift, but large convective-free gaps are noted,
especially over central NE. Even so, there is some expectation for
at least isolated robust convection to develop over central NE,
partially due to some influence in outflow aiding low-level
convergence near the frontal zone. Latest radar data suggests a
larger cluster of strong-severe thunderstorms near the SD/NE/IA
border will continue to propagate south-southeast, but LLJ is not
particularly strong into this complex. Higher-based convection is
also concentrated over southwest NE into northwest KS. This activity
will also propagate southeast with an attendant risk for wind/hail.
Overall, low-level convergence is seasonally weak and this will
likely result in scattered pockets of semi-organized convection much
of the evening.
..Darrow.. 07/08/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms will be concentrated across portions
of the central and northern Plains. Severe wind and large hail are
the main threats.
...01z Update...
Mid-level short-wave trough is progressing across the upper Red
River Valley, and 500mb flow is gradually strengthening across the
northern/central Plains. Associated synoptic front currently extends
from eastern ND-central SD-near CYS. This boundary will advance
slowly into northern MN, but is not expected to move appreciably
across the central High Plains. Convection has largely concentrated
along/near the wind shift, but large convective-free gaps are noted,
especially over central NE. Even so, there is some expectation for
at least isolated robust convection to develop over central NE,
partially due to some influence in outflow aiding low-level
convergence near the frontal zone. Latest radar data suggests a
larger cluster of strong-severe thunderstorms near the SD/NE/IA
border will continue to propagate south-southeast, but LLJ is not
particularly strong into this complex. Higher-based convection is
also concentrated over southwest NE into northwest KS. This activity
will also propagate southeast with an attendant risk for wind/hail.
Overall, low-level convergence is seasonally weak and this will
likely result in scattered pockets of semi-organized convection much
of the evening.
..Darrow.. 07/08/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025
Valid 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms will be concentrated across portions
of the central and northern Plains. Severe wind and large hail are
the main threats.
...01z Update...
Mid-level short-wave trough is progressing across the upper Red
River Valley, and 500mb flow is gradually strengthening across the
northern/central Plains. Associated synoptic front currently extends
from eastern ND-central SD-near CYS. This boundary will advance
slowly into northern MN, but is not expected to move appreciably
across the central High Plains. Convection has largely concentrated
along/near the wind shift, but large convective-free gaps are noted,
especially over central NE. Even so, there is some expectation for
at least isolated robust convection to develop over central NE,
partially due to some influence in outflow aiding low-level
convergence near the frontal zone. Latest radar data suggests a
larger cluster of strong-severe thunderstorms near the SD/NE/IA
border will continue to propagate south-southeast, but LLJ is not
particularly strong into this complex. Higher-based convection is
also concentrated over southwest NE into northwest KS. This activity
will also propagate southeast with an attendant risk for wind/hail.
Overall, low-level convergence is seasonally weak and this will
likely result in scattered pockets of semi-organized convection much
of the evening.
..Darrow.. 07/08/2025
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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