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1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes. See previous discussion below.
..Bentley.. 01/25/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the Southern Plains and into the
Mississippi River Valley today. Enhancement of westerly
downslope flow across far western Texas is expected, though relative
humidity should remain above 25-30 percent amid moist fuels. In
addition, recent rainfall on Wednesday and moist fuels suggest fire
spread potential will be low. Given cool and moist conditions across
much of the rest of the US, fire weather concerns remain low across
the CONUS on Thursday.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
1 year 8 months ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are possible across the central Gulf Coast
States and Tennessee Valley today, especially across parts of
southern/eastern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana into Alabama.
...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley...
A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this
morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the
preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud
cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend
to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of
line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will
continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting
thermodynamic factor.
Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically
supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough
over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight,
with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb
winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward
eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for
the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating
destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification
potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected
today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into
western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the
degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some
severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move
into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians
by late afternoon and evening.
..Guyer/Lyons.. 01/25/2024
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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