SPC Jan 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon across parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... Severe probabilities have been decreased in the wake of a convective line moving across parts of central/southern AL. Despite some diurnal heating/destabilization downstream of the ongoing convection, decreasing large-scale ascent in the wake of a departing shortwave trough will likely tend to limit storm coverage/organization somewhat through the remainder of the afternoon. However, favorable deep-layer and low-level shear (as noted on the 18Z BMX sounding and regional VWPs) will support a threat of isolated damaging wind and perhaps a brief tornado with any stronger storms. See the previous discussion below and MCD 92 for more information. ..Dean.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024/ ...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley... A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting thermodynamic factor. Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight, with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians by late afternoon and evening. Read more

SPC Jan 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon across parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... Severe probabilities have been decreased in the wake of a convective line moving across parts of central/southern AL. Despite some diurnal heating/destabilization downstream of the ongoing convection, decreasing large-scale ascent in the wake of a departing shortwave trough will likely tend to limit storm coverage/organization somewhat through the remainder of the afternoon. However, favorable deep-layer and low-level shear (as noted on the 18Z BMX sounding and regional VWPs) will support a threat of isolated damaging wind and perhaps a brief tornado with any stronger storms. See the previous discussion below and MCD 92 for more information. ..Dean.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024/ ...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley... A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting thermodynamic factor. Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight, with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians by late afternoon and evening. Read more

SPC Jan 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon across parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... Severe probabilities have been decreased in the wake of a convective line moving across parts of central/southern AL. Despite some diurnal heating/destabilization downstream of the ongoing convection, decreasing large-scale ascent in the wake of a departing shortwave trough will likely tend to limit storm coverage/organization somewhat through the remainder of the afternoon. However, favorable deep-layer and low-level shear (as noted on the 18Z BMX sounding and regional VWPs) will support a threat of isolated damaging wind and perhaps a brief tornado with any stronger storms. See the previous discussion below and MCD 92 for more information. ..Dean.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024/ ...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley... A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting thermodynamic factor. Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight, with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians by late afternoon and evening. Read more

SPC Jan 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon across parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... Severe probabilities have been decreased in the wake of a convective line moving across parts of central/southern AL. Despite some diurnal heating/destabilization downstream of the ongoing convection, decreasing large-scale ascent in the wake of a departing shortwave trough will likely tend to limit storm coverage/organization somewhat through the remainder of the afternoon. However, favorable deep-layer and low-level shear (as noted on the 18Z BMX sounding and regional VWPs) will support a threat of isolated damaging wind and perhaps a brief tornado with any stronger storms. See the previous discussion below and MCD 92 for more information. ..Dean.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024/ ...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley... A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting thermodynamic factor. Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight, with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians by late afternoon and evening. Read more

SPC Jan 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon across parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... Severe probabilities have been decreased in the wake of a convective line moving across parts of central/southern AL. Despite some diurnal heating/destabilization downstream of the ongoing convection, decreasing large-scale ascent in the wake of a departing shortwave trough will likely tend to limit storm coverage/organization somewhat through the remainder of the afternoon. However, favorable deep-layer and low-level shear (as noted on the 18Z BMX sounding and regional VWPs) will support a threat of isolated damaging wind and perhaps a brief tornado with any stronger storms. See the previous discussion below and MCD 92 for more information. ..Dean.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024/ ...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley... A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting thermodynamic factor. Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight, with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians by late afternoon and evening. Read more

SPC Jan 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon across parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... Severe probabilities have been decreased in the wake of a convective line moving across parts of central/southern AL. Despite some diurnal heating/destabilization downstream of the ongoing convection, decreasing large-scale ascent in the wake of a departing shortwave trough will likely tend to limit storm coverage/organization somewhat through the remainder of the afternoon. However, favorable deep-layer and low-level shear (as noted on the 18Z BMX sounding and regional VWPs) will support a threat of isolated damaging wind and perhaps a brief tornado with any stronger storms. See the previous discussion below and MCD 92 for more information. ..Dean.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024/ ...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley... A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting thermodynamic factor. Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight, with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians by late afternoon and evening. Read more

SPC Jan 25, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible late this afternoon across parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... Severe probabilities have been decreased in the wake of a convective line moving across parts of central/southern AL. Despite some diurnal heating/destabilization downstream of the ongoing convection, decreasing large-scale ascent in the wake of a departing shortwave trough will likely tend to limit storm coverage/organization somewhat through the remainder of the afternoon. However, favorable deep-layer and low-level shear (as noted on the 18Z BMX sounding and regional VWPs) will support a threat of isolated damaging wind and perhaps a brief tornado with any stronger storms. See the previous discussion below and MCD 92 for more information. ..Dean.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024/ ...Central Gulf Coast States/Tennessee Valley... A linearly organized band of thunderstorms is ongoing late this morning across south-central/southeast Mississippi and southeast Louisiana, with some showers/thunderstorms also ongoing across the preceding warm sector across Alabama and eastern Mississippi. Cloud cover remains semi-prevalent in the warm sector, and this may tend to somewhat hinder parcel accelerations including the vigor of line-preceding storms, although additional low-level moistening will continue to occur during the day and be somewhat of an offsetting thermodynamic factor. Overall severe-conducive scenario is kinematically/dynamically supported by the steady northeastward ejection of a shortwave trough over the Ozarks toward the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through tonight, with a similar northeastward transition of strong 850 mb/700 mb winds (50+ kt in both cases) across Mississippi/Alabama toward eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. This will allow for the continuation of well-organized storms as additional heating destabilization occurs and some additional updraft intensification potentially materializes. Isolated damaging winds are expected today, particularly across southeast/east-central Mississippi into western Alabama, with tornadoes a possibility as well given the degree of shear/SRH within the lowest 1-2 km AGL. At least some severe risk, likely on a more isolated/marginal basis, could move into additional parts of the Tennessee Valley/southern Appalachians by late afternoon and evening. Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fuels are currently very wet across the entire CONUS. The only region with any drying fuels during the period should be across portions of Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. However, given the current state of very wet fuels, any drying of fuels will likely not be sufficient enough to warrant any fire-weather threat. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fuels are currently very wet across the entire CONUS. The only region with any drying fuels during the period should be across portions of Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. However, given the current state of very wet fuels, any drying of fuels will likely not be sufficient enough to warrant any fire-weather threat. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fuels are currently very wet across the entire CONUS. The only region with any drying fuels during the period should be across portions of Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. However, given the current state of very wet fuels, any drying of fuels will likely not be sufficient enough to warrant any fire-weather threat. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fuels are currently very wet across the entire CONUS. The only region with any drying fuels during the period should be across portions of Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. However, given the current state of very wet fuels, any drying of fuels will likely not be sufficient enough to warrant any fire-weather threat. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fuels are currently very wet across the entire CONUS. The only region with any drying fuels during the period should be across portions of Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. However, given the current state of very wet fuels, any drying of fuels will likely not be sufficient enough to warrant any fire-weather threat. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fuels are currently very wet across the entire CONUS. The only region with any drying fuels during the period should be across portions of Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. However, given the current state of very wet fuels, any drying of fuels will likely not be sufficient enough to warrant any fire-weather threat. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fuels are currently very wet across the entire CONUS. The only region with any drying fuels during the period should be across portions of Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. However, given the current state of very wet fuels, any drying of fuels will likely not be sufficient enough to warrant any fire-weather threat. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 11 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE MOB TO 45 NW GZH TO 35 SSE TCL. ..KERR..01/25/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC047-099-131-252040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DALLAS MONROE WILCOX THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 11 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE MOB TO 45 NW GZH TO 35 SSE TCL. ..KERR..01/25/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC047-099-131-252040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DALLAS MONROE WILCOX THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 11

1 year 8 months ago
WW 11 SEVERE TSTM AL MS 251655Z - 252200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 11 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 AM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Alabama Southeast Mississippi * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1055 AM until 400 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A linear cluster of storms will continue generally eastward across the region and pose a severe risk, with some possibility that a few line-preceding storms also pose a severe risk this afternoon. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles south southwest of Meridian MS to 40 miles north of Evergreen AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/ ...Synopsis... Westerly flow will further enhance across southern New Mexico into western/southwestern Texas on Friday. Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25 percent amid sustained winds 15-20 mph will likely overlap across the Texas/Mexico border just east of Big Bend and along the Rio Grande into south-central Texas. Widespread moist fuels will hinder fire spread potential, precluding the need to include any areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/ ...Synopsis... Westerly flow will further enhance across southern New Mexico into western/southwestern Texas on Friday. Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25 percent amid sustained winds 15-20 mph will likely overlap across the Texas/Mexico border just east of Big Bend and along the Rio Grande into south-central Texas. Widespread moist fuels will hinder fire spread potential, precluding the need to include any areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 PM CST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2024/ ...Synopsis... Westerly flow will further enhance across southern New Mexico into western/southwestern Texas on Friday. Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25 percent amid sustained winds 15-20 mph will likely overlap across the Texas/Mexico border just east of Big Bend and along the Rio Grande into south-central Texas. Widespread moist fuels will hinder fire spread potential, precluding the need to include any areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
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