Severe Storms

WW 0032 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW HUM TO 30 ESE MCB TO 40 E PIB TO 40 SE MEI AND 15 ESE MSY TO 35 SSW PIB TO 60 SSE MEI TO 60 ESE MEI. ..KERR..03/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...LCH...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-025-097-129-090140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CLARKE MOBILE WASHINGTON LAC051-071-087-090140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE JEFFERSON ORLEANS ST. BERNARD MSC039-041-045-047-059-111-131-090140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON PERRY Read more

WW 0032 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW HUM TO 30 ESE MCB TO 40 E PIB TO 40 SE MEI AND 15 ESE MSY TO 35 SSW PIB TO 60 SSE MEI TO 60 ESE MEI. ..KERR..03/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...LCH...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-025-097-129-090140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CLARKE MOBILE WASHINGTON LAC051-071-087-090140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE JEFFERSON ORLEANS ST. BERNARD MSC039-041-045-047-059-111-131-090140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON PERRY Read more

WW 32 TORNADO AL LA MS CW 081955Z - 090300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 32 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 PM CST Fri Mar 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Alabama Southern Louisiana Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until 900 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to gradually develop and intensify across the Watch area this afternoon into the evening. The stronger storms will potentially be capable of large hail, damaging gusts, and a tornado risk with the more intensely rotating thunderstorms. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north northwest of Lafayette LA to 50 miles east northeast of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Smith Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Mar 8 23:17:01 UTC 2024.

WW 0032 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW HUM TO 30 ESE MCB TO 40 E PIB TO 40 SE MEI. ..KERR..03/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...LCH...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-025-097-129-090040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CLARKE MOBILE WASHINGTON LAC051-071-087-089-093-095-103-117-090040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE JEFFERSON ORLEANS ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY WASHINGTON MSC035-039-041-045-047-059-109-111-131-090040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORREST GEORGE GREENE Read more

WW 32 TORNADO AL LA MS CW 081955Z - 090300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 32 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 PM CST Fri Mar 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Alabama Southern Louisiana Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until 900 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to gradually develop and intensify across the Watch area this afternoon into the evening. The stronger storms will potentially be capable of large hail, damaging gusts, and a tornado risk with the more intensely rotating thunderstorms. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north northwest of Lafayette LA to 50 miles east northeast of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Smith Read more

MD 0207 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 32... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0207 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern Louisiana...southern Mississippi...and southwest Alabama Concerning...Tornado Watch 32... Valid 082142Z - 082315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues. SUMMARY...The environment remains broadly favorable for damaging gusts and a tornado or two this afternoon across WW032. DISCUSSION...Across Tornado Watch 32, widespread convection is ongoing along a southward surging outflow across parts of southern MS and eastern LA. Transient supercell structures and bowing segments have been noted with this activity over the past several hours. The environment remains broadly favorable for damaging gusts of 50-60 mph and/or a brief tornado, given ~1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 50-60+ kt of effective shear. However, the surging nature of outflow and numerous storm interactions may continue to limit greater severe potential within this broader cluster. Farther south, more discrete convection is ongoing across southeastern LA and far southern MS. An impressive kinematic parameter space with strong low-level shear (0-1 km SRH of 300-400 m2/s2) remains in place along with minimal inhibition. WOFS and other hi-res guidance continue to suggest a favorable environment for damaging gusts of 55-65 mph and a tornado, should better organized supercells emerge. With this in mind, the severe risk will likely continue as storms track east/northeastward the warm front over parts of southern AL. ..Lyons.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH... LAT...LON 29699036 29689161 29949189 30459163 31509034 31878881 31858770 31638746 30788748 30088750 29699036 Read more

MD 0206 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF NORTH TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0206 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0312 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Areas affected...Parts of north TX Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 082112Z - 082315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A couple strong storms are possible through late afternoon, with an isolated hail threat. DISCUSSION...A thunderstorm has recently developed near the southwest Metroplex, with building cumulus noted along a cold front that is moving southeastward across the region. Despite rather modest low-level moisture, diurnal heating and relatively cool midlevel temperatures are supporting MLCAPE of around 500 J/kg immediately ahead of the front. Rather strong flow above 3 km AGL is resulting in effective shear of 40+ kt, and a couple more organized storms (including potential for a transient/marginal supercell) may evolve out of developing convection. Weak buoyancy will tend to limit the overall hail risk, but isolated instances of hail between 0.75-1.5 inches in diameter cannot be ruled out through late afternoon. Relatively steep low-level lapse rates could support outflow gusts of 50-60 mph if any stronger storms can be sustained. With the threat expected to remain rather limited in magnitude and areal extent, watch issuance is unlikely. ..Dean/Smith.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD... LAT...LON 32139754 32649709 32819656 32819624 32399614 31969620 31709627 31369644 31249681 31469747 31789755 32139754 Read more

WW 0032 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW HUM TO 40 NNE LFT TO 35 SSW HEZ TO 5 WSW PIB TO 35 S MEI. ..KERR..03/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...LCH...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-025-097-129-082340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CLARKE MOBILE WASHINGTON LAC005-007-033-037-047-051-063-071-077-087-089-091-093-095-103- 105-117-121-125-082340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON ORLEANS POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA MSC005-035-039-041-045-047-059-067-073-091-109-111-113-131-147- Read more

WW 0032 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E 7R4 TO 25 NNE LFT TO 40 N LFT TO 40 NW LFT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0207 ..LYONS..03/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...LCH...LIX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 32 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-025-097-129-082240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CLARKE MOBILE WASHINGTON LAC005-007-033-037-045-047-051-063-071-077-087-089-091-093-095- 099-101-103-105-117-121-125-082240- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON ORLEANS POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. MARTIN ST. MARY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CST Fri Mar 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z Mid-level ridging will translate across the central CONUS this weekend with a progressive pattern with multiple mid-level shortwave troughs expected to move through the Southwest and southern Plains. This will lead to periods of elevated to critical fire weather concerns Monday to Wednesday. ...D4/Mon - TX/OK Panhandle into southwest Kansas, northeast New Mexico and far southeast Colorado.... Weak lee troughing will resume across the central High Plains on Monday as a mid-level shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin and into the central Rockies. This will tighten the pressure gradient and lead to strengthening southwesterly flow. In addition, deep mixing will also bring some stronger mid-level flow to the surface. Where this deeply mixed airmass and stronger mid-level flow overlaps the strong surface winds is where Critical conditions are most likely, from northeast New Mexico into far southwest Kansas. ...D6/Wed - Southern High Plains... Some critical fire weather conditions are possible on Day5/Tue, but are more likely on Day6/Wed when a strong mid-level jet moves across the southern High Plains. A surface cyclone and associated strong pressure gradient is expected across the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a deeply mixed airmass is expected with temperatures in the 70s to 80s. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely in this region. However, there will also be a more favorable corridor for even stronger winds where the mid-level jet overspreads this deeply mixed airmass. ..Bentley.. 03/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more