Severe Storms

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0352 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 75...77... FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY
Mesoscale Discussion 0352 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of Middle/Eastern Tennessee into eastern Kentucky Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...77... Valid 021949Z - 022145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75, 77 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado potential will continue into the evening as additional storms do appear probable. Wind profiles will remain favorable, but thermodynamic profiles are less supportive. A new tornado watch will be needed. DISCUSSION...Storms have struggled to mature and organize across much of Tennessee into eastern Kentucky. The 18Z observed sounding from Nashville showed very favorable wind profile for rotating storms, though the thermodynamic profile indicated weak lapse rates due to the influence of earlier convection/precipitation. Lack of cloud cover near the surface boundary within the Mississippi Valley has allowed some destabilization to occur and cumulus continue to deepen in this area. Mid-level height falls will continue to increase into the evening and the wind profile should still favor tornado potential with any organized storms. That being said, additional storms appear probable later this afternoon into the evening either with the boundary or moving northeast out of Mississippi. The main question will be how intense this activity will be given the thermodynamic constraints. With WW 75 set to expire at 3 PM CDT, a new watch will be needed to account for some continued tornado potential into the evening. ..Wendt.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG... LAT...LON 35068608 34378780 34008884 33848921 33948966 34508972 35598884 35988846 36318806 36448725 37218542 37368439 37958315 38008309 37618250 37288254 36598295 36248369 35768468 35068608 Read more

WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PAH TO 35 SSW EVV TO 35 S BMG. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC033-035-047-059-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-233-022240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS HOPKINS LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG WEBSTER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more