Severe Storms

WW 0081 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 81 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...RLX...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 81 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC019-043-089-127-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOYD CARTER GREENUP LAWRENCE OHC009-013-019-029-031-053-059-067-079-081-087-105-111-115-119- 121-127-157-163-167-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATHENS BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON GALLIA GUERNSEY HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MEIGS MONROE MORGAN MUSKINGUM NOBLE PERRY TUSCARAWAS VINTON WASHINGTON PAC003-007-059-125-030040- Read more

WW 81 TORNADO KY OH PA WV 022320Z - 030600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 81 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 720 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Kentucky Southern and Eastern Ohio Western Pennsylvania West Virginia * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 720 PM until 200 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms including a few supercells are expected to steadily spread east-northeastward across the region through evening, including the potential for tornadoes aside from large hail and damaging winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west northwest of Pittsburgh PA to 30 miles south southeast of Huntington WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 77...WW 78...WW 79...WW 80... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24045. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0080 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 80 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 80 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC001-007-009-011-013-025-029-057-059-063-065-067-073-089-093- 105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-179- 030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL CLAIBORNE COCKE GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON KNOX LOUDON MCMINN MARION MEIGS MONROE MORGAN POLK RHEA ROANE SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION WASHINGTON VAC105-169-195-720-030040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEE SCOTT WISE Read more

WW 80 TORNADO TN VA 022205Z - 030600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 80 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Tennessee Far Western Virginia * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 605 PM until 200 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Initially, a supercell near the Tennessee/Kentucky border vicinity will pose a tornado risk, while additional storms are expected to develop and intensify this evening as low-level winds strengthen. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north northeast of Hot Springs NC to 35 miles northwest of Chattanooga TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...WW 78...WW 79... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0079 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 79 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N UOX TO 35 SSE MKL TO 55 ENE MKL TO 15 NE CKV. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 79 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-059-077-079-083-089-103-030040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MORGAN MSC003-009-013-017-057-081-095-115-117-139-141-145-030040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LEE MONROE PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-051-055-061-071- 081-087-099-101-103-109-111-117-119-125-127-133-135-137-141-147- 149-159-165-169-175-177-181-185-187-189-030040- Read more

WW 79 TORNADO AL MS TN 022005Z - 030200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 79 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 305 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Alabama Northeast Mississippi Western and middle Tennessee * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...In the wake of earlier clouds/rainfall, cloud breaks are allowing destabilization across Tennessee where new storms could form this afternoon, while other storms spread northeastward from northeast Mississippi. The environment is favorable for supercells capable of producing tornadoes (including an isolated strong/EF2+ tornado or two), damaging gusts of 60-75 mph, and large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast of Nashville TN to 20 miles east of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...WW 78... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24045. ...Thompson Read more

WW 0078 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 78 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ENE CKV TO 35 E OWB TO 10 N SDF TO 40 WSW LUK TO 40 WNW LUK TO 25 S MIE. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-005-009-015-017-021-023-029-031-037-041-045-049-053- 057-061-067-073-077-079-081-085-087-093-097-099-103-111-113-117- 123-135-137-141-151-155-161-163-167-169-171-179-181-185-187-191- 201-207-209-211-213-215-217-227-229-239-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON BARREN BOONE BOURBON BOYLE BRACKEN BULLITT BUTLER CAMPBELL CARROLL CASEY CLARK CLINTON CUMBERLAND EDMONSON FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD GRANT GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN HARRISON HART HENRY JEFFERSON JESSAMINE KENTON LARUE LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN MADISON MARION MASON MEADE MERCER METCALFE MONROE NELSON NICHOLAS OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON RUSSELL SCOTT SHELBY Read more

WW 78 TORNADO IN KY OH 021945Z - 030200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 78 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 345 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana Central Kentucky Southwest Ohio * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Supercells are expected to form and intensify through the afternoon from Kentucky into southeast Indiana and eventually southwest Ohio. The storm environment favors the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes (EF2+), large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter, and occasional damaging gusts of 60-75 mph. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north of Cincinnati OH to 25 miles south southwest of Bowling Green KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 75...WW 76...WW 77... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24050. ...Thompson Read more

WW 0078 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 78 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE OWB TO 35 NNW SDF TO 55 N SDF TO 55 WNW LUK TO 30 SSW MIE. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-029-041-043-047-061-115-123-137-155-161-177-022340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK DEARBORN FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN HARRISON OHIO PERRY RIPLEY SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE KYC001-003-005-009-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-037-041-045-049- 053-057-061-067-073-077-079-081-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-111- 113-117-123-135-137-141-151-155-161-163-167-169-171-179-181-183- 185-187-191-201-207-209-211-213-215-217-223-227-229-239- 022340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON BARREN BOONE BOURBON BOYLE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER CAMPBELL CARROLL CASEY CLARK Read more

MD 0355 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN TENNESSEE AND FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
Mesoscale Discussion 0355 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0433 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee and far western North Carolina. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 022133Z - 022300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A tornado watch may be needed across eastern Tennessee and potentially into far western North Carolina. DISCUSSION...A supercell has moved east of watch 79 across eastern Tennessee. Additional storm development is questionable as widespread thunderstorms have developed to the west with anvil debris across much of eastern Tennessee. However, at least scattered supercell development remains possible through early evening. The MRX VWP currently shows less than 100 m2/s2 0-1km SRH with the stronger low-level jet to the west. This wind profile is expected to increase after 00Z as this low-level jet slowly moves east. A tornado watch will eventually be needed this evening, as low-level shear and storm coverage increases. ..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN... LAT...LON 36028533 36598459 36618330 36568208 36138184 35878242 35538324 35218386 34998426 34978477 34998542 34978579 35118597 36028533 Read more

MD 0356 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 78... FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY...NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST OHIO
Mesoscale Discussion 0356 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0434 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Central Kentucky...Northern Middle Tennessee...Southwest Ohio Concerning...Tornado Watch 78... Valid 022134Z - 022300Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 78 continues. SUMMARY...The potential for multiple discrete supercells and attendant tornadoes is increasing along an axis from southwest Ohio into central Kentucky and northern Middle Tennessee. DISCUSSION...Regional radars show a line of thunderstorms intensifying from southeast IN into west-central KY and northwest TN. Multiple cells in this line have developed mid-level rotation in the past 45 min, with reported tornadoes in the storm west of Cincinnati. Clouds have thinned ahead of this activity, where temperatures have locally warmed into the mid 70s along with dewpoints in the mid 60s. A 50+ knot southerly low-level jet is aiding in impressive shear parameters, with VAD profiles showing 0-3km SRH values of 300-500 m2/s2. Discrete supercells in this line appear to be the primary concern for tornadoes (potentially strong) during the next 1-2 hours. Steep mid-level lapse rates will also promote large hail in the stronger cells. ..Hart.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG... LAT...LON 36768743 39328510 39868390 39388352 37138532 35988714 35928849 36768743 Read more

MD 0353 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF WV INTO WESTERN VA
Mesoscale Discussion 0353 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of WV into western VA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 022038Z - 022215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A tornado, isolated large hail, and damaging winds appear possible with a supercell in West Virginia as it moves eastward. The need for a watch remains unclear, as the overall severe threat will likely remain isolated. DISCUSSION...From a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, a supercell has recently strengthened across WV. The thermodynamic environment across this area remains marginal to support robust convection, as earlier thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness have hindered destabilization to some extent. Still, modest airmass recovery has occurred this afternoon, with latest mesoanalysis estimates showing up to 500 J/kg of MLCAPE present along/downstream of the ongoing supercell. In addition, recent VWPs from KRLX show generally veered, southwesterly low-level flow that quickly strengthens with height through mid levels. Even with these potentially limiting factors, it appears that a TDS has occurred with a recent low-level circulation. In the short term, a tornado will remain possible, along with large hail and damaging winds. Given the isolated severe threat with just one supercell ongoing, the need for a watch downstream remains unclear. Regardless, trends will be closely monitored. ..Gleason/Thompson.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX... LAT...LON 38468109 38518008 38317870 37607886 37447927 37538015 37838106 38098130 38468109 Read more

WW 0079 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 79 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 79 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-059-077-079-083-089-103-022340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MORGAN MSC003-009-013-017-057-081-095-115-117-139-141-145-022340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LEE MONROE PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-051- 055-061-069-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-103-109-111-113- 117-119-125-127-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177- 181-185-187-189-022340- Read more

WW 0080 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 80 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 80 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC001-007-009-011-013-025-029-057-059-063-065-067-073-089-093- 105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-179- 022340- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL CLAIBORNE COCKE GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON KNOX LOUDON MCMINN MARION MEIGS MONROE MORGAN POLK RHEA ROANE SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION WASHINGTON VAC105-169-195-720-022340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEE SCOTT WISE Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more