Severe Storms

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST IN...NORTHERN KY...WESTERN/CENTRAL OH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the evening. A few tornadoes (some strong), large to very large hail, and severe/damaging winds are all possible. ...Ohio Valley vicinity into parts of the Mid South... Scattered supercells are ongoing early this evening from southeast lower MI into south-central/southeast IN. While the primary shortwave and attendant strong mid/upper-level jet will continue moving northeast into Ontario with time, a moderate southwesterly low-level jet will help to maintain convection as it moves into a larger part of OH/KY, with additional development possible later tonight into parts of the Mid South. A favorable supercell environment is expected to persist across parts of southern and eastern IN into KY and OH. While midlevel lapse rates are weak, relatively rich low-level moisture will continue to support moderate to locally strong MLCAPE (generally 1500-3000 J/kg), with only a gradual increase in MLCINH expected through the evening. Favorable low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH generally increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support a tornado threat, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Some severe threat will spread eastward late tonight toward WV and western PA, though a gradual weakening trend is expected as storms encounter decreasing instability. Also, while large-scale ascent will generally be weaker with southwestward extent, an isolated severe storm or two remains possible later tonight into parts of AR and perhaps into the ArkLaTex region. ...Southeast KS into southwest MO... Low-level moisture is expected to surge northward across OK into southeast KS into southwest MO late tonight. Guidance continues to suggest some potential for convection to develop near/north of the warm front prior to 12Z. Should this occur, strong MUCAPE and sufficient deep-layer would support a threat of isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 05/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST IN...NORTHERN KY...WESTERN/CENTRAL OH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the evening. A few tornadoes (some strong), large to very large hail, and severe/damaging winds are all possible. ...Ohio Valley vicinity into parts of the Mid South... Scattered supercells are ongoing early this evening from southeast lower MI into south-central/southeast IN. While the primary shortwave and attendant strong mid/upper-level jet will continue moving northeast into Ontario with time, a moderate southwesterly low-level jet will help to maintain convection as it moves into a larger part of OH/KY, with additional development possible later tonight into parts of the Mid South. A favorable supercell environment is expected to persist across parts of southern and eastern IN into KY and OH. While midlevel lapse rates are weak, relatively rich low-level moisture will continue to support moderate to locally strong MLCAPE (generally 1500-3000 J/kg), with only a gradual increase in MLCINH expected through the evening. Favorable low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH generally increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support a tornado threat, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Some severe threat will spread eastward late tonight toward WV and western PA, though a gradual weakening trend is expected as storms encounter decreasing instability. Also, while large-scale ascent will generally be weaker with southwestward extent, an isolated severe storm or two remains possible later tonight into parts of AR and perhaps into the ArkLaTex region. ...Southeast KS into southwest MO... Low-level moisture is expected to surge northward across OK into southeast KS into southwest MO late tonight. Guidance continues to suggest some potential for convection to develop near/north of the warm front prior to 12Z. Should this occur, strong MUCAPE and sufficient deep-layer would support a threat of isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 05/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST IN...NORTHERN KY...WESTERN/CENTRAL OH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the evening. A few tornadoes (some strong), large to very large hail, and severe/damaging winds are all possible. ...Ohio Valley vicinity into parts of the Mid South... Scattered supercells are ongoing early this evening from southeast lower MI into south-central/southeast IN. While the primary shortwave and attendant strong mid/upper-level jet will continue moving northeast into Ontario with time, a moderate southwesterly low-level jet will help to maintain convection as it moves into a larger part of OH/KY, with additional development possible later tonight into parts of the Mid South. A favorable supercell environment is expected to persist across parts of southern and eastern IN into KY and OH. While midlevel lapse rates are weak, relatively rich low-level moisture will continue to support moderate to locally strong MLCAPE (generally 1500-3000 J/kg), with only a gradual increase in MLCINH expected through the evening. Favorable low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH generally increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support a tornado threat, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Some severe threat will spread eastward late tonight toward WV and western PA, though a gradual weakening trend is expected as storms encounter decreasing instability. Also, while large-scale ascent will generally be weaker with southwestward extent, an isolated severe storm or two remains possible later tonight into parts of AR and perhaps into the ArkLaTex region. ...Southeast KS into southwest MO... Low-level moisture is expected to surge northward across OK into southeast KS into southwest MO late tonight. Guidance continues to suggest some potential for convection to develop near/north of the warm front prior to 12Z. Should this occur, strong MUCAPE and sufficient deep-layer would support a threat of isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 05/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST IN...NORTHERN KY...WESTERN/CENTRAL OH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the evening. A few tornadoes (some strong), large to very large hail, and severe/damaging winds are all possible. ...Ohio Valley vicinity into parts of the Mid South... Scattered supercells are ongoing early this evening from southeast lower MI into south-central/southeast IN. While the primary shortwave and attendant strong mid/upper-level jet will continue moving northeast into Ontario with time, a moderate southwesterly low-level jet will help to maintain convection as it moves into a larger part of OH/KY, with additional development possible later tonight into parts of the Mid South. A favorable supercell environment is expected to persist across parts of southern and eastern IN into KY and OH. While midlevel lapse rates are weak, relatively rich low-level moisture will continue to support moderate to locally strong MLCAPE (generally 1500-3000 J/kg), with only a gradual increase in MLCINH expected through the evening. Favorable low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH generally increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support a tornado threat, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Some severe threat will spread eastward late tonight toward WV and western PA, though a gradual weakening trend is expected as storms encounter decreasing instability. Also, while large-scale ascent will generally be weaker with southwestward extent, an isolated severe storm or two remains possible later tonight into parts of AR and perhaps into the ArkLaTex region. ...Southeast KS into southwest MO... Low-level moisture is expected to surge northward across OK into southeast KS into southwest MO late tonight. Guidance continues to suggest some potential for convection to develop near/north of the warm front prior to 12Z. Should this occur, strong MUCAPE and sufficient deep-layer would support a threat of isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 05/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST IN...NORTHERN KY...WESTERN/CENTRAL OH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the evening. A few tornadoes (some strong), large to very large hail, and severe/damaging winds are all possible. ...Ohio Valley vicinity into parts of the Mid South... Scattered supercells are ongoing early this evening from southeast lower MI into south-central/southeast IN. While the primary shortwave and attendant strong mid/upper-level jet will continue moving northeast into Ontario with time, a moderate southwesterly low-level jet will help to maintain convection as it moves into a larger part of OH/KY, with additional development possible later tonight into parts of the Mid South. A favorable supercell environment is expected to persist across parts of southern and eastern IN into KY and OH. While midlevel lapse rates are weak, relatively rich low-level moisture will continue to support moderate to locally strong MLCAPE (generally 1500-3000 J/kg), with only a gradual increase in MLCINH expected through the evening. Favorable low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH generally increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support a tornado threat, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Some severe threat will spread eastward late tonight toward WV and western PA, though a gradual weakening trend is expected as storms encounter decreasing instability. Also, while large-scale ascent will generally be weaker with southwestward extent, an isolated severe storm or two remains possible later tonight into parts of AR and perhaps into the ArkLaTex region. ...Southeast KS into southwest MO... Low-level moisture is expected to surge northward across OK into southeast KS into southwest MO late tonight. Guidance continues to suggest some potential for convection to develop near/north of the warm front prior to 12Z. Should this occur, strong MUCAPE and sufficient deep-layer would support a threat of isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 05/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST IN...NORTHERN KY...WESTERN/CENTRAL OH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the evening. A few tornadoes (some strong), large to very large hail, and severe/damaging winds are all possible. ...Ohio Valley vicinity into parts of the Mid South... Scattered supercells are ongoing early this evening from southeast lower MI into south-central/southeast IN. While the primary shortwave and attendant strong mid/upper-level jet will continue moving northeast into Ontario with time, a moderate southwesterly low-level jet will help to maintain convection as it moves into a larger part of OH/KY, with additional development possible later tonight into parts of the Mid South. A favorable supercell environment is expected to persist across parts of southern and eastern IN into KY and OH. While midlevel lapse rates are weak, relatively rich low-level moisture will continue to support moderate to locally strong MLCAPE (generally 1500-3000 J/kg), with only a gradual increase in MLCINH expected through the evening. Favorable low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH generally increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support a tornado threat, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Some severe threat will spread eastward late tonight toward WV and western PA, though a gradual weakening trend is expected as storms encounter decreasing instability. Also, while large-scale ascent will generally be weaker with southwestward extent, an isolated severe storm or two remains possible later tonight into parts of AR and perhaps into the ArkLaTex region. ...Southeast KS into southwest MO... Low-level moisture is expected to surge northward across OK into southeast KS into southwest MO late tonight. Guidance continues to suggest some potential for convection to develop near/north of the warm front prior to 12Z. Should this occur, strong MUCAPE and sufficient deep-layer would support a threat of isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 05/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST IN...NORTHERN KY...WESTERN/CENTRAL OH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the evening. A few tornadoes (some strong), large to very large hail, and severe/damaging winds are all possible. ...Ohio Valley vicinity into parts of the Mid South... Scattered supercells are ongoing early this evening from southeast lower MI into south-central/southeast IN. While the primary shortwave and attendant strong mid/upper-level jet will continue moving northeast into Ontario with time, a moderate southwesterly low-level jet will help to maintain convection as it moves into a larger part of OH/KY, with additional development possible later tonight into parts of the Mid South. A favorable supercell environment is expected to persist across parts of southern and eastern IN into KY and OH. While midlevel lapse rates are weak, relatively rich low-level moisture will continue to support moderate to locally strong MLCAPE (generally 1500-3000 J/kg), with only a gradual increase in MLCINH expected through the evening. Favorable low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH generally increasing above 200 m2/s2) will support a tornado threat, including some potential for strong tornadoes. Some severe threat will spread eastward late tonight toward WV and western PA, though a gradual weakening trend is expected as storms encounter decreasing instability. Also, while large-scale ascent will generally be weaker with southwestward extent, an isolated severe storm or two remains possible later tonight into parts of AR and perhaps into the ArkLaTex region. ...Southeast KS into southwest MO... Low-level moisture is expected to surge northward across OK into southeast KS into southwest MO late tonight. Guidance continues to suggest some potential for convection to develop near/north of the warm front prior to 12Z. Should this occur, strong MUCAPE and sufficient deep-layer would support a threat of isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. ..Dean.. 05/08/2024 Read more

WW 0198 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 198 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 198 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-081-087-127-151-153-165-181-185-191- 193-199-080240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON INC019-025-037-043-051-061-077-117-123-125-129-143-147-163-173- 175-080240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK CRAWFORD DUBOIS FLOYD GIBSON HARRISON JEFFERSON ORANGE PERRY PIKE POSEY SCOTT SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK WASHINGTON Read more

WW 0197 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E IND TO 40 SSE MIE TO 30 WNW DAY TO 40 NNW DAY TO 30 ESE FWA. ..BENTLEY..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC029-031-041-047-079-115-137-139-155-161-177-080140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEARBORN DECATUR FAYETTE FRANKLIN JENNINGS OHIO RIPLEY RUSH SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-135-161-187-191-201-080140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT KENTON LEWIS MASON OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-045-047-049-057-061- 065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-135-141-145-149-159- 165-080140- Read more

WW 0197 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E IND TO 40 SSE MIE TO 30 WNW DAY TO 40 NNW DAY TO 30 ESE FWA. ..BENTLEY..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC029-031-041-047-079-115-137-139-155-161-177-080140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEARBORN DECATUR FAYETTE FRANKLIN JENNINGS OHIO RIPLEY RUSH SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-135-161-187-191-201-080140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT KENTON LEWIS MASON OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-045-047-049-057-061- 065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-135-141-145-149-159- 165-080140- Read more

WW 0197 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E IND TO 40 SSE MIE TO 30 WNW DAY TO 40 NNW DAY TO 30 ESE FWA. ..BENTLEY..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 197 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC029-031-041-047-079-115-137-139-155-161-177-080140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEARBORN DECATUR FAYETTE FRANKLIN JENNINGS OHIO RIPLEY RUSH SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-135-161-187-191-201-080140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT KENTON LEWIS MASON OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-045-047-049-057-061- 065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-135-141-145-149-159- 165-080140- Read more

WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE AZO TO 10 SSW LAN TO 15 N FNT. ..BENTLEY..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...CLE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC001-003-009-033-075-151-179-080140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD DE KALB JAY STEUBEN WELLS MIC023-025-045-059-065-075-091-115-161-080140- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRANCH CALHOUN EATON HILLSDALE INGHAM JACKSON LENAWEE MONROE WASHTENAW OHC003-033-039-051-063-069-095-101-117-123-125-137-143-147-161- 171-173-175-080140- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW SLO TO 10 NW HUF TO 20 S MIE. ..SPC..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...IND...IWX...GRR...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC025-033-101-159-080240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAWFORD LAWRENCE RICHLAND INC005-013-021-027-055-059-071-081-083-093-097-101-105-109-119- 145-153-080240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLAY DAVIESS GREENE HANCOCK JACKSON JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN OWEN SHELBY SULLIVAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW SLO TO 10 NW HUF TO 20 S MIE. ..SPC..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...IND...IWX...GRR...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC025-033-101-159-080240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAWFORD LAWRENCE RICHLAND INC005-013-021-027-055-059-071-081-083-093-097-101-105-109-119- 145-153-080240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLAY DAVIESS GREENE HANCOCK JACKSON JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN OWEN SHELBY SULLIVAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW SLO TO 10 NW HUF TO 20 S MIE. ..SPC..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...IND...IWX...GRR...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC025-033-101-159-080240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAWFORD LAWRENCE RICHLAND INC005-013-021-027-055-059-071-081-083-093-097-101-105-109-119- 145-153-080240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLAY DAVIESS GREENE HANCOCK JACKSON JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN OWEN SHELBY SULLIVAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW SLO TO 10 NW HUF TO 20 S MIE. ..SPC..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...IND...IWX...GRR...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC025-033-101-159-080240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAWFORD LAWRENCE RICHLAND INC005-013-021-027-055-059-071-081-083-093-097-101-105-109-119- 145-153-080240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLAY DAVIESS GREENE HANCOCK JACKSON JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN OWEN SHELBY SULLIVAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW SLO TO 25 E SLO TO 10 SSE HUF TO 10 WSW IND TO 20 W MIE TO 15 WNW FWA TO 10 E AZO TO 20 ESE GRR. ..BENTLEY..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...IND...IWX...GRR...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC025-033-101-159-080140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAWFORD LAWRENCE RICHLAND INC005-013-021-027-053-055-059-071-081-083-093-095-097-101-105- 109-119-145-153-080140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLAY DAVIESS GRANT GREENE HANCOCK JACKSON JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN OWEN SHELBY SULLIVAN Read more

WW 195 TORNADO IL IN MI WI LM 071825Z - 080100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 195 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Northern Illinois Central and Northern Indiana Southwest Lower Michigan Southeast Wisconsin Lake Michigan * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to continue to develop and intensify this afternoon into the early evening. The environment will continue to destabilize through the mid to late afternoon across much of the Watch area. The stronger storms will likely become supercellular and pose a risk for large to very large hail, severe gusts, and tornadoes. A couple of the more intense supercells may yield the potential for a strong tornado. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Racine WI to 60 miles southwest of Bloomington IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Smith Read more

MD 0684 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR OHIO VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 0684 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Areas affected...Ohio Valley Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 072336Z - 080030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Severe threat appears to be increasing across the southern Ohio Valley this evening. New watch appears warranted and may be issued by soon. DISCUSSION...Persistent corridor of low-level confluence extends along the confluence of the MS/OH River into southern IN. Agitated cu field is gradually deepening across southern IL/IN into western KY where MLCAPE values are in excess of 3000 J/kg. Given the strong, deep-layer shear across this region, robust updrafts may evolve over the next few hours. Supercell risk is increasing and a new ww appears warranted. ..Darrow/Hart.. 05/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH... LAT...LON 38118851 38848542 38318387 37448453 36668753 37068870 38118851 Read more

MD 0683 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 196... FOR SOUTHERN LOWER MI...NORTHEAST IN...NORTHWEST OH
Mesoscale Discussion 0683 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0546 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Areas affected...Southern Lower MI...Northeast IN...Northwest OH Concerning...Tornado Watch 196... Valid 072246Z - 080015Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 196 continues. SUMMARY...Supercells will spread northeast this evening. Tornado threat continues, along with large hail. DISCUSSION...Exit region of mid-level speed max is spreading across the central Great Lakes region early this evening. Approaching short wave/speed max is contributing to a slow northward advance of surface warm front that currently drapes across northern OH into southern MI. No less than half a dozen long-lived supercells are currently noted near this warm front, several of which are, or have been tornadic. Additionally, very large hail has been noted at times. This activity will continue spreading northeast over the next few hours. Greatest tornado threat will be near and just south of this warm front as buoyancy drops considerably north of the wind shift. A bit south of the warm front, discrete supercells are gradually increasing in intensity across eastern IN. Longer-lived updrafts will spread into the OH portion of ww196 in the next 1-2 hours. ..Darrow.. 05/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR... LAT...LON 40608515 43108537 43118340 40618326 40608515 Read more