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1 year 2 months ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0221 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 181200Z - 191200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER MUCH
OF MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms will be possible Tuesday afternoon
over parts of the upper Mississippi Valley southwestward toward the
middle Missouri Valley, or roughly from eastern Nebraska into
Minnesota.
...Synopsis...
On Tuesday, an upper trough will move eastward across the northern
Plains, then northeastward from the upper MS Valley into Ontario as
it impinges upon the upper ridge. Low pressure will move from ND
across northern MN and into western Ontario through 00Z, with a cold
front trailing southwestward across eastern NE and into
central/southwest KS. Southerly flow around the eastern ridge
maintain a moist air mass with mid to upper 60s F dewpoints common
over a very large region south of the cold front.
...Upper MS Valley into middle MO Valley...
Early day storms are forecast to quickly exit the ND/northern MN
region as the warm front pushes north into Canada. Thereafter,
modest heating along with the moist air mass, combined with minimal
cooling aloft, will yield 1500-2000 J/kg MUCAPE ahead of the front,
where midlevel winds will be roughly parallel to the boundary. This
may support a few linear structures moving quickly northeastward
with the mean flow, and producing locally damaging gusts and
marginal hail.
Farther south along the front and into the central Plains, isolated
strong storms are expected as low-level lapse rates will be steep
from NM into southwest KS. Forecast soundings in this area show
marginal shear but probably enough veering with height to support
slow-moving cells capable of locally large hail or gusty winds.
..Jewell.. 06/16/2024
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...SOUTHEASTERN UTAH...PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...
...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.
Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.
Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN UTAH...NORTHERN
ARIZONA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA...
...Synopsis...
A deepening western trough will bring an increase in southwesterly
flow across much of the desert Southwest this afternoon. Fuels in
this region have seen significant drying after several days of warm
and dry conditions. Guidance indicates fuels in this region are
critically dry, with recent ERCs data indicating 90th percentile for
dryness across much of northern and central Arizona. This is further
supported by active recent fire activity in this region. Relative
humidity reductions to 5-10 percent will overlap sustained winds
15-20 mph across central/northern Arizona, southern Utah, and far
southeastern Nevada where a Critical delineation was maintained with
this outlook. Outside of this region, a more broad area of Elevated
fire weather conditions will be possible across much of
central/southern Utah into southern Arizona, where there is less
confidence is sustained Critical wind speeds.
Elevated conditions may also extend into portions of western Nevada
in the lee of the Sierras. In this region, afternoon relative
humidity reductions to 15-20 percent will overlap sustained winds
10-15 mph (locally higher) amid modestly receptive fuels.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN UTAH...NORTHERN
ARIZONA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA...
...Synopsis...
A deepening western trough will bring an increase in southwesterly
flow across much of the desert Southwest this afternoon. Fuels in
this region have seen significant drying after several days of warm
and dry conditions. Guidance indicates fuels in this region are
critically dry, with recent ERCs data indicating 90th percentile for
dryness across much of northern and central Arizona. This is further
supported by active recent fire activity in this region. Relative
humidity reductions to 5-10 percent will overlap sustained winds
15-20 mph across central/northern Arizona, southern Utah, and far
southeastern Nevada where a Critical delineation was maintained with
this outlook. Outside of this region, a more broad area of Elevated
fire weather conditions will be possible across much of
central/southern Utah into southern Arizona, where there is less
confidence is sustained Critical wind speeds.
Elevated conditions may also extend into portions of western Nevada
in the lee of the Sierras. In this region, afternoon relative
humidity reductions to 15-20 percent will overlap sustained winds
10-15 mph (locally higher) amid modestly receptive fuels.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN UTAH...NORTHERN
ARIZONA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA...
...Synopsis...
A deepening western trough will bring an increase in southwesterly
flow across much of the desert Southwest this afternoon. Fuels in
this region have seen significant drying after several days of warm
and dry conditions. Guidance indicates fuels in this region are
critically dry, with recent ERCs data indicating 90th percentile for
dryness across much of northern and central Arizona. This is further
supported by active recent fire activity in this region. Relative
humidity reductions to 5-10 percent will overlap sustained winds
15-20 mph across central/northern Arizona, southern Utah, and far
southeastern Nevada where a Critical delineation was maintained with
this outlook. Outside of this region, a more broad area of Elevated
fire weather conditions will be possible across much of
central/southern Utah into southern Arizona, where there is less
confidence is sustained Critical wind speeds.
Elevated conditions may also extend into portions of western Nevada
in the lee of the Sierras. In this region, afternoon relative
humidity reductions to 15-20 percent will overlap sustained winds
10-15 mph (locally higher) amid modestly receptive fuels.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN UTAH...NORTHERN
ARIZONA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA...
...Synopsis...
A deepening western trough will bring an increase in southwesterly
flow across much of the desert Southwest this afternoon. Fuels in
this region have seen significant drying after several days of warm
and dry conditions. Guidance indicates fuels in this region are
critically dry, with recent ERCs data indicating 90th percentile for
dryness across much of northern and central Arizona. This is further
supported by active recent fire activity in this region. Relative
humidity reductions to 5-10 percent will overlap sustained winds
15-20 mph across central/northern Arizona, southern Utah, and far
southeastern Nevada where a Critical delineation was maintained with
this outlook. Outside of this region, a more broad area of Elevated
fire weather conditions will be possible across much of
central/southern Utah into southern Arizona, where there is less
confidence is sustained Critical wind speeds.
Elevated conditions may also extend into portions of western Nevada
in the lee of the Sierras. In this region, afternoon relative
humidity reductions to 15-20 percent will overlap sustained winds
10-15 mph (locally higher) amid modestly receptive fuels.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN UTAH...NORTHERN
ARIZONA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA...
...Synopsis...
A deepening western trough will bring an increase in southwesterly
flow across much of the desert Southwest this afternoon. Fuels in
this region have seen significant drying after several days of warm
and dry conditions. Guidance indicates fuels in this region are
critically dry, with recent ERCs data indicating 90th percentile for
dryness across much of northern and central Arizona. This is further
supported by active recent fire activity in this region. Relative
humidity reductions to 5-10 percent will overlap sustained winds
15-20 mph across central/northern Arizona, southern Utah, and far
southeastern Nevada where a Critical delineation was maintained with
this outlook. Outside of this region, a more broad area of Elevated
fire weather conditions will be possible across much of
central/southern Utah into southern Arizona, where there is less
confidence is sustained Critical wind speeds.
Elevated conditions may also extend into portions of western Nevada
in the lee of the Sierras. In this region, afternoon relative
humidity reductions to 15-20 percent will overlap sustained winds
10-15 mph (locally higher) amid modestly receptive fuels.
..Thornton.. 06/16/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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