Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z The previous forecast is largely on track. The Isolated Dry Thunder area was expanded to account for drier conditions across parts of western Colorado with receptive fuels in the region. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for further details. ..Supinie.. 08/07/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will suppress the western US ridge on Thursday. Flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly, with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In this region, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

No watches are valid as of Wed Aug 7 19:43:02 UTC 2024.

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the south Atlantic coast. ...NC/VA... Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks northward across the Carolinas on Thursday. Strong southeasterly low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable shear profiles for a few tornadoes. So far with this system, a lack of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall tornado potential. However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk. ...Southwest... Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin, and Four Corners regions. Pockets of strong daytime heating and steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of these risk areas is low at this time. Portions of this region may need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates. ..Hart.. 08/07/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the south Atlantic coast. ...NC/VA... Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks northward across the Carolinas on Thursday. Strong southeasterly low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable shear profiles for a few tornadoes. So far with this system, a lack of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall tornado potential. However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk. ...Southwest... Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin, and Four Corners regions. Pockets of strong daytime heating and steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of these risk areas is low at this time. Portions of this region may need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates. ..Hart.. 08/07/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the south Atlantic coast. ...NC/VA... Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks northward across the Carolinas on Thursday. Strong southeasterly low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable shear profiles for a few tornadoes. So far with this system, a lack of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall tornado potential. However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk. ...Southwest... Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin, and Four Corners regions. Pockets of strong daytime heating and steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of these risk areas is low at this time. Portions of this region may need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates. ..Hart.. 08/07/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the south Atlantic coast. ...NC/VA... Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks northward across the Carolinas on Thursday. Strong southeasterly low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable shear profiles for a few tornadoes. So far with this system, a lack of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall tornado potential. However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk. ...Southwest... Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin, and Four Corners regions. Pockets of strong daytime heating and steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of these risk areas is low at this time. Portions of this region may need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates. ..Hart.. 08/07/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the south Atlantic coast. ...NC/VA... Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks northward across the Carolinas on Thursday. Strong southeasterly low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable shear profiles for a few tornadoes. So far with this system, a lack of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall tornado potential. However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk. ...Southwest... Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin, and Four Corners regions. Pockets of strong daytime heating and steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of these risk areas is low at this time. Portions of this region may need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates. ..Hart.. 08/07/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the south Atlantic coast. ...NC/VA... Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks northward across the Carolinas on Thursday. Strong southeasterly low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable shear profiles for a few tornadoes. So far with this system, a lack of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall tornado potential. However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk. ...Southwest... Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin, and Four Corners regions. Pockets of strong daytime heating and steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of these risk areas is low at this time. Portions of this region may need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates. ..Hart.. 08/07/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Thursday across the coastal plain of eastern North Carolina through southern Virginia may be accompanied by potential for a few tornadoes, as Debby moves inland across the south Atlantic coast. ...NC/VA... Debby will likely remain a Tropical Storm as the system tracks northward across the Carolinas on Thursday. Strong southeasterly low-level winds in the eastern semi-circle will result in favorable shear profiles for a few tornadoes. So far with this system, a lack of heating in the more strongly sheared areas has limited overall tornado potential. However, 12z CAM solutions suggest the potential for more heating across parts of central NC and southern VA tomorrow, lending some concern for an uptick in risk. ...Southwest... Scattered or greater coverage of thunderstorms is expected on Thursday across much of the southern Rockies, southern Great Basin, and Four Corners regions. Pockets of strong daytime heating and steep lapse rates will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts in some areas, although confidence in the mesoscale details of these risk areas is low at this time. Portions of this region may need an upgrade to MRGL risk in subsequent outlook updates. ..Hart.. 08/07/2024 Read more