Severe Storms

WW 610 TORNADO NC SC CW 072000Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 610 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 400 PM EDT Wed Aug 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Coastal North Carolina Far Northern Coastal South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible SUMMARY...Rain bands continue to rotate around Tropical Storm Debby. A few stronger thunderstorms with the potential to produce brief tornadoes are possible within these bands. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west southwest of Myrtle Beach SC to 25 miles southeast of New Bern NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 14030. ...Mosier Read more

WW 0611 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ITR TO 40 N ITR TO 30 WSW IML TO 35 WNW IML TO 25 NNE SNY. ..SPC..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC063-125-080340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KIT CARSON YUMA KSC023-039-153-179-181-193-080340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS NEC005-029-049-057-063-069-085-087-101-111-117-135-145-080340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR CHASE DEUEL DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK KEITH Read more

WW 0611 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ITR TO 40 N ITR TO 30 WSW IML TO 35 WNW IML TO 25 NNE SNY. ..SPC..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC063-125-080340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KIT CARSON YUMA KSC023-039-153-179-181-193-080340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS NEC005-029-049-057-063-069-085-087-101-111-117-135-145-080340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR CHASE DEUEL DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK KEITH Read more

WW 0611 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ITR TO 40 N ITR TO 30 WSW IML TO 35 WNW IML TO 25 NNE SNY. ..SPC..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC063-125-080340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KIT CARSON YUMA KSC023-039-153-179-181-193-080340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS NEC005-029-049-057-063-069-085-087-101-111-117-135-145-080340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR CHASE DEUEL DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK KEITH Read more

WW 0611 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ITR TO 40 N ITR TO 30 WSW IML TO 35 WNW IML TO 25 NNE SNY. ..SPC..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 611 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC063-125-080340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KIT CARSON YUMA KSC023-039-153-179-181-193-080340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS NEC005-029-049-057-063-069-085-087-101-111-117-135-145-080340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR CHASE DEUEL DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK KEITH Read more

WW 611 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE WY 072015Z - 080400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 611 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM MDT Wed Aug 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Far Northwest Kansas Western Nebraska Far Southeast Wyoming * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected to continue across the southeastern Wyoming and northeastern Colorado, with these storms then moving downstream into western Nebraska and far northwest Kansas. The environment supports large hail with the early, more cellular storms, with a trend towards a more linear mode anticipated thereafter. Damaging gusts are the more likely threat as the line of storms moves into western Nebraska and far northwest Kansas. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south southwest of Cheyenne WY to Mccook NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 610... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Mosier Read more

MD 1861 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 610... FOR COASTAL CAROLINAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1861 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Areas affected...coastal Carolinas Concerning...Tornado Watch 610... Valid 072356Z - 080200Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 610 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado threat will continue within WW610. DISCUSSION...Recent radar across the coastal Carolinas has shown weak circulations off shore and within a band extending inland across southern North Carolina from Wilmington to the South Carolina border. Overall, the inland environment is characterized by weak thermodynamic profiles, given MLCAPE around 500-1000 J/kg and poor lapse rates (around 5 C/km). The most favorable low-level shear remains further inland, where around 150 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH is observed in objective analysis. Given the poor overlap of low-level shear with instability and generally weak lapse rates, a continuation of occasional weak circulations and potential for a tornado could not be ruled out in the short term. Further north across the northern portion of WW610 near the Outer Banks, warming has occurred with temperatures in the low to mid 80s yielding MLCAPE around 1500-2000 J/kg. RAP forecast indicate that shear may increase across this region over the next several hours. Should a band of cells move into this region, there may be a more favorable corridor for tornadoes later in the watch period. ..Thornton.. 08/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM... LAT...LON 34257932 34537893 34727831 34827771 34757728 34517690 34287696 33807745 33557776 33447838 33407881 33467916 33617979 33797979 34257932 Read more

MD 1860 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 611... FOR CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 1860 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Areas affected...Central High Plains Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 611... Valid 072330Z - 080130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 611 continues. SUMMARY...Hail and wind threat will spread east with convection this evening. DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery suggests a weak disturbance may be encouraging upscale convective growth over the central High Plains early this evening. Upper anticyclone remains positioned over the Great Basin and northwesterly 500mb flow should strengthen a bit over northeast CO into western NE tonight. Scattered robust convection is gradually increasing in areal coverage as it propagates downstream into somewhat more buoyant airmass, especially along/south of the synoptic front that currently extends across the NE Panhandle into southeast WY. Prefrontal wind shift is also aiding convection across northeast CO and this activity should gradually advance toward northwest KS later this evening. Several supercells are noted within the larger convective complex, but mixed storm mode should linger for several hours before possible MCS evolves over northeast CO/southwest NE after sunset. ..Darrow.. 08/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 41760499 41120056 39250057 39870500 41760499 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PART OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will continue across parts of the central High Plains this evening. An isolated tornado threat will also continue along and near the Atlantic Coast in North Carolina. ...Coastal North Carolina/Far Eastern South Carolina... Tropical Storm Debby will continue move slowly northwestward, moving inland this evening into eastern South Carolina. Rainbands currently extend from near the center of Debby into eastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina. The WSR-88D VWP near Wilmington, North Carolina has 0-1 km storm-relative helicity near 200 ms2/s2 with gradually veering winds in the low to mid-levels. This, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 70s F, will support a tornado threat this evening. Tornadoes will be possible mainly with cells that can become semi-discrete within the rainbands of Debby. The threat could continue into the late evening and early overnight as Debby moves across South Carolina. ...Central High Plains... The latest water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over the central High Plains. Near this feature, scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from western Nebraska into eastern Colorado. The storms are located along the western edge of a pocket of moderate instability, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. RAP forecast soundings near the instability axis early this evening have 0-6 km hear in the 30 to 40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates of 7 to 8 C/km. This will continue to support isolated large hail within rotating cells this evening. Severe wind gusts will also be possible near and just ahead of the more intense line segments. The potential for severe wind gusts should continue for much of the evening as the cluster of storms moves across southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas. ..Broyles.. 08/08/2024 Read more

WW 0610 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 610 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1861 ..THORNTON..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...ILM...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 610 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC019-031-047-049-061-103-129-133-137-141-080140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRUNSWICK CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN DUPLIN JONES NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER SCC051-080140- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HORRY AMZ137-156-158-250-252-254-080140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0610 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 610 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1861 ..THORNTON..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...ILM...MHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 610 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC019-031-047-049-061-103-129-133-137-141-080140- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRUNSWICK CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN DUPLIN JONES NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER SCC051-080140- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HORRY AMZ137-156-158-250-252-254-080140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE Read more