Severe Storms

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. Saturday through Saturday night. ...New England... Models are varied in depiction of surface cyclogenesis east-northeast of the Great Lakes region into the upper St. Lawrence Valley through 12Z Saturday, and the merging of Debby's remnant low into this cyclonic regime. However, in general, it appears that one initial occluding cyclone may continue to weaken across western Quebec during the day Saturday, while another area of consolidating low pressure continues to deepen east-northeastward through the remainder of the St. Lawrence Valley and the Gulf of St. Lawrence by Saturday night. Regardless, most guidance indicates that the belt of seasonably strong southerly lower/mid-tropospheric flow and convective development associated with this regime will shift into the Canadian Maritimes early in the period, prior to any potential for appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. ...Elsewhere... Generally beneath mid-level ridging across the southern mid- and subtropical latitudes, while a plume of moisture emanating from the lower latitudes appears likely to shift east of the Atlantic Seaboard during this period, lingering boundary-layer moisture ahead of a surface cold front advancing toward the south Atlantic coast may support moderately large CAPE with daytime heating. This might be accompanied by widely scattered strong thunderstorm development Saturday afternoon. More widespread, but generally weaker, elevated thunderstorm development appears probable above the western flank of the front, across the Great Plains to the east of the southern Rockies, aided by forcing associated with low-level warm advection Saturday through Saturday night. A low-amplitude wave migrating around the periphery of the ridging may also contribute to widely scattered strong thunderstorm development, where boundary-layer instability becomes diurnally maximized across the eastern Great Basin into the Rockies late Saturday afternoon and evening. Although in each of these areas a few of the strongest storms could pose some risk for severe wind and/or hail, this still seems likely to remain sparse enough in coverage to maintain severe probabilities at less than 5 percent. However, it is possible that this could still change in later outlooks for this period. ..Kerr.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. Saturday through Saturday night. ...New England... Models are varied in depiction of surface cyclogenesis east-northeast of the Great Lakes region into the upper St. Lawrence Valley through 12Z Saturday, and the merging of Debby's remnant low into this cyclonic regime. However, in general, it appears that one initial occluding cyclone may continue to weaken across western Quebec during the day Saturday, while another area of consolidating low pressure continues to deepen east-northeastward through the remainder of the St. Lawrence Valley and the Gulf of St. Lawrence by Saturday night. Regardless, most guidance indicates that the belt of seasonably strong southerly lower/mid-tropospheric flow and convective development associated with this regime will shift into the Canadian Maritimes early in the period, prior to any potential for appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. ...Elsewhere... Generally beneath mid-level ridging across the southern mid- and subtropical latitudes, while a plume of moisture emanating from the lower latitudes appears likely to shift east of the Atlantic Seaboard during this period, lingering boundary-layer moisture ahead of a surface cold front advancing toward the south Atlantic coast may support moderately large CAPE with daytime heating. This might be accompanied by widely scattered strong thunderstorm development Saturday afternoon. More widespread, but generally weaker, elevated thunderstorm development appears probable above the western flank of the front, across the Great Plains to the east of the southern Rockies, aided by forcing associated with low-level warm advection Saturday through Saturday night. A low-amplitude wave migrating around the periphery of the ridging may also contribute to widely scattered strong thunderstorm development, where boundary-layer instability becomes diurnally maximized across the eastern Great Basin into the Rockies late Saturday afternoon and evening. Although in each of these areas a few of the strongest storms could pose some risk for severe wind and/or hail, this still seems likely to remain sparse enough in coverage to maintain severe probabilities at less than 5 percent. However, it is possible that this could still change in later outlooks for this period. ..Kerr.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. Saturday through Saturday night. ...New England... Models are varied in depiction of surface cyclogenesis east-northeast of the Great Lakes region into the upper St. Lawrence Valley through 12Z Saturday, and the merging of Debby's remnant low into this cyclonic regime. However, in general, it appears that one initial occluding cyclone may continue to weaken across western Quebec during the day Saturday, while another area of consolidating low pressure continues to deepen east-northeastward through the remainder of the St. Lawrence Valley and the Gulf of St. Lawrence by Saturday night. Regardless, most guidance indicates that the belt of seasonably strong southerly lower/mid-tropospheric flow and convective development associated with this regime will shift into the Canadian Maritimes early in the period, prior to any potential for appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. ...Elsewhere... Generally beneath mid-level ridging across the southern mid- and subtropical latitudes, while a plume of moisture emanating from the lower latitudes appears likely to shift east of the Atlantic Seaboard during this period, lingering boundary-layer moisture ahead of a surface cold front advancing toward the south Atlantic coast may support moderately large CAPE with daytime heating. This might be accompanied by widely scattered strong thunderstorm development Saturday afternoon. More widespread, but generally weaker, elevated thunderstorm development appears probable above the western flank of the front, across the Great Plains to the east of the southern Rockies, aided by forcing associated with low-level warm advection Saturday through Saturday night. A low-amplitude wave migrating around the periphery of the ridging may also contribute to widely scattered strong thunderstorm development, where boundary-layer instability becomes diurnally maximized across the eastern Great Basin into the Rockies late Saturday afternoon and evening. Although in each of these areas a few of the strongest storms could pose some risk for severe wind and/or hail, this still seems likely to remain sparse enough in coverage to maintain severe probabilities at less than 5 percent. However, it is possible that this could still change in later outlooks for this period. ..Kerr.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. Saturday through Saturday night. ...New England... Models are varied in depiction of surface cyclogenesis east-northeast of the Great Lakes region into the upper St. Lawrence Valley through 12Z Saturday, and the merging of Debby's remnant low into this cyclonic regime. However, in general, it appears that one initial occluding cyclone may continue to weaken across western Quebec during the day Saturday, while another area of consolidating low pressure continues to deepen east-northeastward through the remainder of the St. Lawrence Valley and the Gulf of St. Lawrence by Saturday night. Regardless, most guidance indicates that the belt of seasonably strong southerly lower/mid-tropospheric flow and convective development associated with this regime will shift into the Canadian Maritimes early in the period, prior to any potential for appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. ...Elsewhere... Generally beneath mid-level ridging across the southern mid- and subtropical latitudes, while a plume of moisture emanating from the lower latitudes appears likely to shift east of the Atlantic Seaboard during this period, lingering boundary-layer moisture ahead of a surface cold front advancing toward the south Atlantic coast may support moderately large CAPE with daytime heating. This might be accompanied by widely scattered strong thunderstorm development Saturday afternoon. More widespread, but generally weaker, elevated thunderstorm development appears probable above the western flank of the front, across the Great Plains to the east of the southern Rockies, aided by forcing associated with low-level warm advection Saturday through Saturday night. A low-amplitude wave migrating around the periphery of the ridging may also contribute to widely scattered strong thunderstorm development, where boundary-layer instability becomes diurnally maximized across the eastern Great Basin into the Rockies late Saturday afternoon and evening. Although in each of these areas a few of the strongest storms could pose some risk for severe wind and/or hail, this still seems likely to remain sparse enough in coverage to maintain severe probabilities at less than 5 percent. However, it is possible that this could still change in later outlooks for this period. ..Kerr.. 08/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. Saturday through Saturday night. ...New England... Models are varied in depiction of surface cyclogenesis east-northeast of the Great Lakes region into the upper St. Lawrence Valley through 12Z Saturday, and the merging of Debby's remnant low into this cyclonic regime. However, in general, it appears that one initial occluding cyclone may continue to weaken across western Quebec during the day Saturday, while another area of consolidating low pressure continues to deepen east-northeastward through the remainder of the St. Lawrence Valley and the Gulf of St. Lawrence by Saturday night. Regardless, most guidance indicates that the belt of seasonably strong southerly lower/mid-tropospheric flow and convective development associated with this regime will shift into the Canadian Maritimes early in the period, prior to any potential for appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. ...Elsewhere... Generally beneath mid-level ridging across the southern mid- and subtropical latitudes, while a plume of moisture emanating from the lower latitudes appears likely to shift east of the Atlantic Seaboard during this period, lingering boundary-layer moisture ahead of a surface cold front advancing toward the south Atlantic coast may support moderately large CAPE with daytime heating. This might be accompanied by widely scattered strong thunderstorm development Saturday afternoon. More widespread, but generally weaker, elevated thunderstorm development appears probable above the western flank of the front, across the Great Plains to the east of the southern Rockies, aided by forcing associated with low-level warm advection Saturday through Saturday night. A low-amplitude wave migrating around the periphery of the ridging may also contribute to widely scattered strong thunderstorm development, where boundary-layer instability becomes diurnally maximized across the eastern Great Basin into the Rockies late Saturday afternoon and evening. Although in each of these areas a few of the strongest storms could pose some risk for severe wind and/or hail, this still seems likely to remain sparse enough in coverage to maintain severe probabilities at less than 5 percent. However, it is possible that this could still change in later outlooks for this period. ..Kerr.. 08/08/2024 Read more

WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 613 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 613 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-051-053-055-061-065-069-073-077-079- 083-085-091-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163- 177-181-183-185-187-191-195-080840- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR MARTIN NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL VANCE WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON VAC025-073-081-093-095-115-175-181-183-199-550-595-620-650-700- 710-735-740-800-810-830-080840- VA Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. Saturday through Saturday night. ...New England... Models are varied in depiction of surface cyclogenesis east-northeast of the Great Lakes region into the upper St. Lawrence Valley through 12Z Saturday, and the merging of Debby's remnant low into this cyclonic regime. However, in general, it appears that one initial occluding cyclone may continue to weaken across western Quebec during the day Saturday, while another area of consolidating low pressure continues to deepen east-northeastward through the remainder of the St. Lawrence Valley and the Gulf of St. Lawrence by Saturday night. Regardless, most guidance indicates that the belt of seasonably strong southerly lower/mid-tropospheric flow and convective development associated with this regime will shift into the Canadian Maritimes early in the period, prior to any potential for appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. ...Elsewhere... Generally beneath mid-level ridging across the southern mid- and subtropical latitudes, while a plume of moisture emanating from the lower latitudes appears likely to shift east of the Atlantic Seaboard during this period, lingering boundary-layer moisture ahead of a surface cold front advancing toward the south Atlantic coast may support moderately large CAPE with daytime heating. This might be accompanied by widely scattered strong thunderstorm development Saturday afternoon. More widespread, but generally weaker, elevated thunderstorm development appears probable above the western flank of the front, across the Great Plains to the east of the southern Rockies, aided by forcing associated with low-level warm advection Saturday through Saturday night. A low-amplitude wave migrating around the periphery of the ridging may also contribute to widely scattered strong thunderstorm development, where boundary-layer instability becomes diurnally maximized across the eastern Great Basin into the Rockies late Saturday afternoon and evening. Although in each of these areas a few of the strongest storms could pose some risk for severe wind and/or hail, this still seems likely to remain sparse enough in coverage to maintain severe probabilities at less than 5 percent. However, it is possible that this could still change in later outlooks for this period. ..Kerr.. 08/08/2024 Read more

WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 613 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..08/08/24 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 613 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-051-053-055-061-065-069-073-077-079- 083-085-091-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163- 177-181-183-185-187-191-195-080840- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR MARTIN NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL VANCE WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON VAC025-073-081-093-095-115-175-181-183-199-550-595-620-650-700- 710-735-740-800-810-830-080840- VA Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0155 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will traverse the northern periphery of the western US ridge on Friday with a modest increase in moisture across the Pacific Northwest, mainly west of the Cascades. Along the high terrain of the Cascades, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible with precipitable water values forecast to be around 0.50-0.75 in. While some mix of wet/dry thunderstorms may evolve, fuels in this region are critically dry and will support new ignitions. Further isolated thunderstorm development is expected across Idaho into southwestern Montana, western Wyoming, and northern Utah. Precipitable water values are expected to be around 0.50-0.60 inch with very dry low-level profiles. This will support high-based storms with little to no precipitation. Fuels within this region remain in the 80th-90th percentile for dryness and receptive to new ignitions. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0613 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... As a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains suppresses the western US ridge today, flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In these regions, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... As a trough moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains suppresses the western US ridge today, flow aloft will shift to become more northwesterly with monsoonal moisture shifting southward. Isolated dry thunderstorm chances will be possible along the fringes of the deeper monsoonal moisture across southern/central Utah into western Colorado and western Wyoming. In these regions, precipitable water values around 0.50-0.75 inch and mainly mid-level moisture will result in high-based convection, with potential for new ignitions amid receptive fuels, and little precipitation. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. ..Thornton.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more