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1 month ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1259 AM CDT Fri Aug 01 2025
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN SD
INTO THE NE PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST CO...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are possible across parts of the
High Plains this afternoon and evening. Storms capable of at least
isolated wind damage will be possible across South Carolina and
surrounding parts of North Carolina and Georgia.
...High Plains vicinity...
Thunderstorms are again expected to develop across the
central/northern High Plains and vicinity this afternoon and
evening. Low-level east-southeasterly flow will continue to
transport moisture into the region beneath steep midlevel lapse
rates, with moderate destabilization expected across a broad region,
and locally stronger buoyancy (MLCAPE of greater than 2000 J/kg)
expected from western SD into the NE Panhandle and northeast CO.
Midlevel flow will remain relatively modest, but backed low-level
flow beneath westerlies aloft will result in effective shear of
30-40 kt.
Initial storm development may be focused near the higher terrain,
and also potentially in the vicinity of an MCV that is forecast to
move slowly across northwest SD. A few supercells will be possible
initially, with a threat of large hail, localized severe gusts, and
possibly a tornado. Some clustering will be possible with time,
which may result in a somewhat greater coverage of strong to severe
gusts as convection spreads east-southeastward into the evening.
A Slight Risk has been added from western SD into northeast CO,
where confidence is currently greatest in a sufficient coverage of
severe storms. Some severe threat will extend into the southern High
Plains, though generally weaker deep-layer shear and somewhat
greater influence of the upper ridge may result in more isolated
coverage with southward extent. Isolated severe hail and wind will
also be possible into parts of MT, where deep-layer shear will
relatively weak, but moderate instability will support a few strong
storms in advance of a midlevel shortwave trough approaching the
northern Rockies.
...Carolinas into Georgia...
A broad mid/upper-level trough will persist over parts of the
eastern CONUS today. A seasonably strong surface ridge will drive a
cold front southward across the Mid Atlantic and eventually into the
Carolinas. Guidance generally suggests that a prefrontal wind shift
will move southward ahead of the primary front.
Deep-layer flow and midlevel lapse rates will be weak, but large PW
(greater than 2 inches) will support moderate buoyancy and potential
for localized wet microbursts. Outflow amalgamation may result in
some storm clustering, though potential for more concentrated areas
of wind damage will depend on mesoscale factors such as position of
the prefrontal wind shift and details regarding the timing and
placement of initial storm development. Greater wind probabilities
may eventually be needed if confidence increases in a more focused
corridor of wind-damage potential.
...Northeast TX vicinity...
Scattered storms will be possible this afternoon and evening from
central TX into the ArkLaTex region. Some 00Z CAM guidance suggests
a local maximum in storm coverage in the vicinity of northeast TX,
associated with an MCV. Deep-layer flow/shear will generally be
quite weak, but some severe probabilities may eventually be needed
for parts of this area, if trends support any notable MCV-related
enhancement to the flow and potential for more organized convection
later today.
..Dean/Weinman.. 08/01/2025
Read more
1 month ago
MD 1859 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN WYOMING INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1859
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0809 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Areas affected...Portions of central/northern Wyoming into far
southeastern Montana
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 010109Z - 010315Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should increase in coverage over the next
few hours. Severe wind gusts and isolated large hail may accompany
the stronger storms.
DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorms are developing within a
plume of steep deep-layer lapse rates in central WY (per RIW 00Z
sounding), with additional convective development evident along
differential heating zones/outflow boundaries and over the higher
terrain in northern WY. This uptick in convection may be aided by a
subtle/embedded midlevel impulse moving into the area. Over the next
few hours, these storms will continue tracking/developing
northeastward into an environment characterized by weak-moderate
surface-based buoyancy and around 30-40 kt of effective shear. This
should promote a few loosely organized cells and clusters, capable
of producing severe wind gusts and isolated large hail. Current
indications are that the severe risk will remain too brief/isolated
for a watch, though convective trends are being monitored.
..Weinman/Thompson.. 08/01/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...BYZ...RIW...
LAT...LON 44290496 43810521 43250579 43000709 43240809 43780852
44250846 45160786 45540704 45590627 45310544 44930502
44290496
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
1 month ago
WW 0563 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 563
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E DEN TO
35 S BFF TO 50 ENE DGW.
..WEINMAN..08/01/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 563
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC087-010240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORGAN
NEC007-105-157-010240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 month ago
WW 563 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 312100Z - 010300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Colorado
Western Nebraska Panhandle
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and
intensify while moving east from the higher terrain and into the
adjacent plains. The stronger thunderstorms will be capable of a
threat for scattered severe gusts (60-70 mph) and isolated large
hail (1 to 1.5 inches in diameter). Upscale growth into a linear
cluster may occur this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Torrington WY to 30 miles east southeast of Fort Collins CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 562...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Smith
Read more
1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO NORTHEAST WY...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to potentially severe storms remain possible through this
evening across parts of the northern and central High Plains.
...Northern/central High Plains...
A cluster of strong to occasionally severe storms is ongoing across
the central High Plains. Storms from the NE Panhandle into northeast
CO should eventually weaken later tonight, as CINH increases with
time and eastward extent, but some threat for hail and strong to
severe gusts may continue through the evening.
Some increase in storm coverage and intensity remains possible from
north-central into northeast WY, as ongoing high-based convection
moves into an increasingly unstable environment, with very favorable
lapse rates noted on the 00Z RIW sounding. Some threat for hail and
severe wind could accompany the strongest storms this evening,
though longevity of the threat could be limited by increasing CINH.
...Southeast VA and vicinity...
A couple strong storms remain possible across southeast VA this
evening, within a moist and moderately buoyant environment.
Localized wind damage cannot be ruled out before storms weaken or
move offshore later tonight.
..Dean.. 08/01/2025
Read more
1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO NORTHEAST WY...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to potentially severe storms remain possible through this
evening across parts of the northern and central High Plains.
...Northern/central High Plains...
A cluster of strong to occasionally severe storms is ongoing across
the central High Plains. Storms from the NE Panhandle into northeast
CO should eventually weaken later tonight, as CINH increases with
time and eastward extent, but some threat for hail and strong to
severe gusts may continue through the evening.
Some increase in storm coverage and intensity remains possible from
north-central into northeast WY, as ongoing high-based convection
moves into an increasingly unstable environment, with very favorable
lapse rates noted on the 00Z RIW sounding. Some threat for hail and
severe wind could accompany the strongest storms this evening,
though longevity of the threat could be limited by increasing CINH.
...Southeast VA and vicinity...
A couple strong storms remain possible across southeast VA this
evening, within a moist and moderately buoyant environment.
Localized wind damage cannot be ruled out before storms weaken or
move offshore later tonight.
..Dean.. 08/01/2025
Read more
1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO NORTHEAST WY...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to potentially severe storms remain possible through this
evening across parts of the northern and central High Plains.
...Northern/central High Plains...
A cluster of strong to occasionally severe storms is ongoing across
the central High Plains. Storms from the NE Panhandle into northeast
CO should eventually weaken later tonight, as CINH increases with
time and eastward extent, but some threat for hail and strong to
severe gusts may continue through the evening.
Some increase in storm coverage and intensity remains possible from
north-central into northeast WY, as ongoing high-based convection
moves into an increasingly unstable environment, with very favorable
lapse rates noted on the 00Z RIW sounding. Some threat for hail and
severe wind could accompany the strongest storms this evening,
though longevity of the threat could be limited by increasing CINH.
...Southeast VA and vicinity...
A couple strong storms remain possible across southeast VA this
evening, within a moist and moderately buoyant environment.
Localized wind damage cannot be ruled out before storms weaken or
move offshore later tonight.
..Dean.. 08/01/2025
Read more
1 month ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO NORTHEAST WY...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to potentially severe storms remain possible through this
evening across parts of the northern and central High Plains.
...Northern/central High Plains...
A cluster of strong to occasionally severe storms is ongoing across
the central High Plains. Storms from the NE Panhandle into northeast
CO should eventually weaken later tonight, as CINH increases with
time and eastward extent, but some threat for hail and strong to
severe gusts may continue through the evening.
Some increase in storm coverage and intensity remains possible from
north-central into northeast WY, as ongoing high-based convection
moves into an increasingly unstable environment, with very favorable
lapse rates noted on the 00Z RIW sounding. Some threat for hail and
severe wind could accompany the strongest storms this evening,
though longevity of the threat could be limited by increasing CINH.
...Southeast VA and vicinity...
A couple strong storms remain possible across southeast VA this
evening, within a moist and moderately buoyant environment.
Localized wind damage cannot be ruled out before storms weaken or
move offshore later tonight.
..Dean.. 08/01/2025
Read more
1 month ago
MD 1857 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1857
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0552 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Areas affected...Parts of east-central and southeast Colorado
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 312252Z - 010115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Severe storm risk will increase over the next few hours.
The stronger storms will be capable of producing isolated large hail
and severe wind gusts. A watch is not currently expected, though
trends are being monitored.
DISCUSSION...A few thunderstorms are evolving along the higher
terrain west of the I-25 corridor in central/southern CO. Cool
temperatures aloft and an elongated hodograph (around 35 kt of 0-6
km shear per PUX VWP) will support isolated large hail with this
activity. Regional/upstream VWP data indicates modest strengthening
of west-southwesterly midlevel winds overspreading the area, which
will allow storms to gradually advance eastward into the CO Plains
tonight. Moist/east-southeasterly upslope flow beneath the
strengthening midlevel westerlies will yield an elongated/straight
hodograph amid sufficient surface-based buoyancy -- supportive of
loosely organized storm clusters.
Isolated large hail and locally severe gusts will be possible with
any clusters that evolve, though generally weak large-scale forcing
for ascent casts uncertainty on the coverage of storms. A watch is
not currently expected, though convective trends will be monitored.
..Weinman/Thompson.. 07/31/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 37400513 38620523 39320506 39930467 39970378 39610334
39060316 37980310 37420338 37110396 37120466 37400513
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
1 month ago
MD 1858 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 563... FOR SOUTHEAST WY...NORTHEASTERN CO...AND THE NE PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1858
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Areas affected...Southeast WY...northeastern CO...and the NE
Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 563...
Valid 312332Z - 010100Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 563
continues.
SUMMARY...The risk of severe wind gusts will continue expanding
eastward over the next several hours. A downstream watch is not
currently expected, though local spatial extensions of the watch may
be warranted.
DISCUSSION...Loosely organized storm clusters are tracking eastward
across southeastern WY and northeastern CO this evening, which will
continue posing a risk of severe wind gusts. These storms are
evolving along a larger-scale cold pool which is spreading/expanding
eastward into a moderately unstable air mass. Recent radar data
indicates new updrafts developing along the leading outflow
boundary, and around 40 kt of gust-front-orthogonal effective shear
may be supporting the development of a loosely organized MCS with
eastward extent. The risk of scattered severe wind gusts (60-70 mph)
is the primary concern, prior to increasing nocturnal static
stability/inhibition tonight. A downstream watch is not currently
expected, though local spatial extensions of Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 563 may be warranted.
..Weinman.. 07/31/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...UNR...BOU...CYS...RIW...
LAT...LON 40150456 41740457 42140493 42600610 42870609 43140569
43200458 43020361 42610295 41180268 40240304 40010371
40150456
Read more
1 month ago
WW 0563 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 563
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW DEN TO
25 SSW TOR TO 15 W TOR TO 15 WNW DGW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1858
..WEINMAN..08/01/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 563
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC087-123-010140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORGAN WELD
NEC007-105-157-010140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
WYC015-031-010140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN PLATTE
Read more
1 month ago
WW 0562 Status Updates
000-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E WAL TO
25 SSE NHK TO 20 NE NHK TO 15 NNW DOV TO 50 ESE NEL.
WW 562 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 010000Z.
..JEWELL..07/31/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...OKX...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-010000-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
MDC011-039-045-047-010000-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE SOMERSET WICOMICO
WORCESTER
NJC001-009-011-010000-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 month ago
WW 0562 Status Updates
000-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E WAL TO
25 SSE NHK TO 20 NE NHK TO 15 NNW DOV TO 50 ESE NEL.
WW 562 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 010000Z.
..JEWELL..07/31/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...OKX...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-010000-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
MDC011-039-045-047-010000-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE SOMERSET WICOMICO
WORCESTER
NJC001-009-011-010000-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 month ago
WW 562 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD NJ NY PA VA WV CW 311715Z - 010000Z
CWZ000-010000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 562
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
115 PM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Maryland
New Jersey
Southeast New York
Southern into Eastern Pennsylvania
Northern and Eastern Virginia
Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast to
develop and intensify this afternoon. Several clusters of
thunderstorms will likely focus a risk for strong to severe wind
gusts capable of wind damage. This activity will likely persist
into the early evening before diminishing or moving east of the
coast.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast
of Allentown PA to 50 miles southwest of Patuxent River MD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Smith
Read more
1 month ago
MD 1858 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 563... FOR SOUTHEAST WY...NORTHEASTERN CO...AND THE NE PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1858
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Areas affected...Southeast WY...northeastern CO...and the NE
Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 563...
Valid 312332Z - 010100Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 563
continues.
SUMMARY...The risk of severe wind gusts will continue expanding
eastward over the next several hours. A downstream watch is not
currently expected, though local spatial extensions of the watch may
be warranted.
DISCUSSION...Loosely organized storm clusters are tracking eastward
across southeastern WY and northeastern CO this evening, which will
continue posing a risk of severe wind gusts. These storms are
evolving along a larger-scale cold pool which is spreading/expanding
eastward into a moderately unstable air mass. Recent radar data
indicates new updrafts developing along the leading outflow
boundary, and around 40 kt of gust-front-orthogonal effective shear
may be supporting the development of a loosely organized MCS with
eastward extent. The risk of scattered severe wind gusts (60-70 mph)
is the primary concern, prior to increasing nocturnal static
stability/inhibition tonight. A downstream watch is not currently
expected, though local spatial extensions of Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 563 may be warranted.
..Weinman.. 07/31/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...UNR...BOU...CYS...RIW...
LAT...LON 40150456 41740457 42140493 42600610 42870609 43140569
43200458 43020361 42610295 41180268 40240304 40010371
40150456
Read more
1 month ago
MD 1857 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1857
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0552 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025
Areas affected...Parts of east-central and southeast Colorado
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 312252Z - 010115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Severe storm risk will increase over the next few hours.
The stronger storms will be capable of producing isolated large hail
and severe wind gusts. A watch is not currently expected, though
trends are being monitored.
DISCUSSION...A few thunderstorms are evolving along the higher
terrain west of the I-25 corridor in central/southern CO. Cool
temperatures aloft and an elongated hodograph (around 35 kt of 0-6
km shear per PUX VWP) will support isolated large hail with this
activity. Regional/upstream VWP data indicates modest strengthening
of west-southwesterly midlevel winds overspreading the area, which
will allow storms to gradually advance eastward into the CO Plains
tonight. Moist/east-southeasterly upslope flow beneath the
strengthening midlevel westerlies will yield an elongated/straight
hodograph amid sufficient surface-based buoyancy -- supportive of
loosely organized storm clusters.
Isolated large hail and locally severe gusts will be possible with
any clusters that evolve, though generally weak large-scale forcing
for ascent casts uncertainty on the coverage of storms. A watch is
not currently expected, though convective trends will be monitored.
..Weinman/Thompson.. 07/31/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 37400513 38620523 39320506 39930467 39970378 39610334
39060316 37980310 37420338 37110396 37120466 37400513
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
1 month ago
WW 0563 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 563
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW DEN TO
10 E CYS TO 35 SW TOR TO 15 WNW DGW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1858
..WEINMAN..07/31/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 563
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC087-123-010040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORGAN WELD
NEC007-105-157-010040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
WYC015-031-010040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN PLATTE
Read more
1 month ago
WW 563 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 312100Z - 010300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Colorado
Western Nebraska Panhandle
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and
intensify while moving east from the higher terrain and into the
adjacent plains. The stronger thunderstorms will be capable of a
threat for scattered severe gusts (60-70 mph) and isolated large
hail (1 to 1.5 inches in diameter). Upscale growth into a linear
cluster may occur this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Torrington WY to 30 miles east southeast of Fort Collins CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 562...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Smith
Read more
1 month 1 week ago
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Jul 31 22:40:17 UTC 2025.
1 month 1 week ago
WW 0562 Status Updates
000-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E WAL TO
25 SSE NHK TO 20 NE NHK TO 15 NNW DOV TO 50 ESE NEL.
WW 562 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 010000Z.
..JEWELL..07/31/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...OKX...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-010000-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
MDC011-039-045-047-010000-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE SOMERSET WICOMICO
WORCESTER
NJC001-009-011-010000-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
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Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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