Severe Storms

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0119 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Sabine Valley into the Ozarks and Mid-South. Additional isolated storms are possible in the Four Corners vicinity. Severe weather is not currently expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will traverse the Southwest on Friday with persistent lee surface troughing in the southern/central High Plains. This will result in a broad region of strengthening southerly flow across the southern Plains and into the Lower-Mid Mississippi Valley. Initially, moisture return will be above the surface with weak to moderate elevated instability expected Friday night across Arkansas and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. As the low-level jet and isentropic ascent strengthens, elevated thunderstorms are expected, particularly after 06Z. Isolated hail is possible, but forecast instability currently appears too weak for a more widespread large hail threat. Surface based convection is not anticipated as 60F dewpoints are only expected as far north as the AR/LA border by 12Z Saturday with minimal convection expected within the warm sector. Therefore, minimal severe weather threat is expected prior to 12Z Saturday and no Marginal Risk appears warranted. ..Bentley.. 02/12/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 02/12/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025/ ...Synopsis... Cold surface temperatures accompanying an expansive surface high over the central CONUS will limit fire-weather concerns on Day 2/Thursday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more