SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Risk for severe weather appears low at this time across the U.S. on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A very slowly progressing upper pattern -- featuring an eastern U.S. trough and a ridge over the interior West -- will persist across the U.S. Tuesday. Through the second half of the period, an eastern Pacific trough is forecast to impinge on the West Coast. At the surface, the primary/remnant surface baroclinic zone -- which will have moved off the eastern seaboard prior to the start of the period, is forecast to trail westward from Florida to Texas. At this time, it appears that showers and a few thunderstorms will affect roughly the southern half of Florida during the afternoon, in the vicinity of the surface front, and near sea-breeze boundaries south of the front. Gusty winds and small hail may occur with one or two of the stronger storms. Farther west, a very conditional risk for isolated storm development appears to exist across central and northern Texas during the afternoon. Steep lapse rates/ample CAPE, but modest flow aloft suggests disorganized storms, but low/conditional risk for near-severe hail and/or wind is apparent. Overnight, elevated convection may develop north of the surface front, over the Oklahoma vicinity. However, modest CAPE suggests that any hail should remain sub-severe. Elsewhere, a few lightning flashes may be possible near Pacific Northwest coastal ranges very late in the period, as the upper trough approaches. Severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Risk for severe weather appears low at this time across the U.S. on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A very slowly progressing upper pattern -- featuring an eastern U.S. trough and a ridge over the interior West -- will persist across the U.S. Tuesday. Through the second half of the period, an eastern Pacific trough is forecast to impinge on the West Coast. At the surface, the primary/remnant surface baroclinic zone -- which will have moved off the eastern seaboard prior to the start of the period, is forecast to trail westward from Florida to Texas. At this time, it appears that showers and a few thunderstorms will affect roughly the southern half of Florida during the afternoon, in the vicinity of the surface front, and near sea-breeze boundaries south of the front. Gusty winds and small hail may occur with one or two of the stronger storms. Farther west, a very conditional risk for isolated storm development appears to exist across central and northern Texas during the afternoon. Steep lapse rates/ample CAPE, but modest flow aloft suggests disorganized storms, but low/conditional risk for near-severe hail and/or wind is apparent. Overnight, elevated convection may develop north of the surface front, over the Oklahoma vicinity. However, modest CAPE suggests that any hail should remain sub-severe. Elsewhere, a few lightning flashes may be possible near Pacific Northwest coastal ranges very late in the period, as the upper trough approaches. Severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance toward the Atlantic and Gulf Coast before stalling across south-central TX this afternoon. A band of thunderstorms will move southeastward across portions of the Southeast with a risk for marginal damaging gusts and hail. ...Southern LA, to southwest GA and the western FL Panhandle... A band of loosely organized thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing this morning ahead of the increasingly zonal cold front across parts of southern LA, southern GA and the FL Panhandle. Moderate buoyancy and modestly strong westerly flow aloft may support a continued marginal hail and wind risk as these storms approach the Gulf Coast. The most likely area for this appears to be across far southern LA and MS. At least a couple hours of filtered diurnal heating is possible ahead of the band of storms, along with access to somewhat steeper mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/km) from the west. This could support a slight rejuvenation of convection for a few hours, with a risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, storms should move offshore by early afternoon while the front and the remaining unstable air mass stall just inland. Farther east into the Carolinas, the late return of the deeper surface moisture coupled with increasingly poor mid-level lapse rates ahead of the eastward moving cold front suggests buoyancy will not be large (< 500 J/kg MUCAPE). A few storms may still redevelop along the primary surface front, with potential for isolated gusty outflow winds. However, overall severe potential appears quite low given increasingly limited buoyancy. ...South-central TX... As the cold front stalls and begins to gradually lift northward, strong diurnal heating and deep surface moisture could support very isolated storm development across the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and south-central TX. Area RAP soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates (~8 C/km) and 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE, which could support a conditional severe risk for hail and damaging gusts. However, this appears unlikely given subtle mid-level height rises and little ascent away from the slow moving surface front. As such, probabilities will continue to be withheld given the low conditional risk. ..Lyons/Darrow.. 03/24/2025 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW SAT TO 20 SSE BAZ TO 35 E BAZ TO 45 ESE AUS TO 25 W CLL TO 30 NW CLL TO 40 N CLL TO 40 SSE TYR TO 35 SSW GGG. WW 62 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240600Z. ..JEWELL..03/24/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC041-051-055-185-187-225-289-313-395-455-471-477-240600- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL GRIMES GUADALUPE HOUSTON LEON MADISON ROBERTSON TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW SAT TO 20 SSE BAZ TO 35 E BAZ TO 45 ESE AUS TO 25 W CLL TO 30 NW CLL TO 40 N CLL TO 40 SSE TYR TO 35 SSW GGG. WW 62 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240600Z. ..JEWELL..03/24/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC041-051-055-185-187-225-289-313-395-455-471-477-240600- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL GRIMES GUADALUPE HOUSTON LEON MADISON ROBERTSON TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62 Status Reports

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0062 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW SAT TO 20 SSE BAZ TO 35 E BAZ TO 45 ESE AUS TO 25 W CLL TO 30 NW CLL TO 40 N CLL TO 40 SSE TYR TO 35 SSW GGG. WW 62 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240600Z. ..JEWELL..03/24/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 62 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC041-051-055-185-187-225-289-313-395-455-471-477-240600- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL GRIMES GUADALUPE HOUSTON LEON MADISON ROBERTSON TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 62 SEVERE TSTM TX 232250Z - 240600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 62 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and Monday morning from 550 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue developing along a cold front through the evening, while posing a threat for mainly scattered large hail up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter. Some risk for strong to severe winds, potentially up to 60-70 mph, will also exist if small clusters can form. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles west of Austin TX to 70 miles north northeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 60...WW 61... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63 Status Reports

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S TYR TO 15 SSW SHV TO 40 ENE SHV TO 25 SE ELD TO 35 S LLQ. WW 63 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240600Z. ..JEWELL..03/24/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-119- 127-240600- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WEBSTER WINN TXC005-073-347-365-403-405-419-240600- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA CHEROKEE NACOGDOCHES PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63 Status Reports

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S TYR TO 15 SSW SHV TO 40 ENE SHV TO 25 SE ELD TO 35 S LLQ. WW 63 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240600Z. ..JEWELL..03/24/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-119- 127-240600- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WEBSTER WINN TXC005-073-347-365-403-405-419-240600- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA CHEROKEE NACOGDOCHES PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63 Status Reports

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S TYR TO 15 SSW SHV TO 40 ENE SHV TO 25 SE ELD TO 35 S LLQ. WW 63 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240600Z. ..JEWELL..03/24/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-119- 127-240600- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WEBSTER WINN TXC005-073-347-365-403-405-419-240600- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA CHEROKEE NACOGDOCHES PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 63 SEVERE TSTM AR LA TX 232320Z - 240600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 63 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 620 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southen and East-Central Arkansas Northern Louisiana East Texas * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 620 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop along and ahead of a cold front this evening. Supercells will be capable of producing scattered large hail, with the largest stones potentially reaching up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter. Damaging winds may also occur with any clusters that form later this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north northeast of Monroe LA to 40 miles south southwest of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 60...WW 61...WW 62... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26030. ...Gleason Read more

SPC MD 258

5 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0258 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 62...63... FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0258 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0824 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025 Areas affected...parts of central Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62...63... Valid 240124Z - 240330Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62, 63 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail will likely remain a threat for a few more hours this evening from the San Antonio area northeastward into east-central Texas and northern Louisiana. DISCUSSION...Slow-moving cells continue to evolve from northwest of San Antonio toward Austin, with an overall increase in areal coverage. Given these trends, it appears likely the hail threat in general will continue to propagate south over the next couple hours, posing a damaging hail risk with up to 2.00" diameter possible. The combination of the front, various outflow boundaries, and the diurnally deepened moist boundary layer all suggest storms will persist despite a slow increase in CIN. To the northeast, other clusters of storms were gradually increasing in size entering into northern Limestone and Freestone counties with hail and gusty wind risk. Given the unstable air mass across the entire area ahead of the cold front, additional storms may develop this evening, with localized hail risk. ..Jewell.. 03/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX... LAT...LON 29959970 30309851 30859779 31379722 31639691 31839644 32179566 32069532 31769499 31319474 30969482 30639518 29919711 29089840 29409924 29669963 29959970 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63 Status Reports

5 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0063 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW TYR TO 20 ESE TYR TO 10 WSW SHV TO 35 SSW ELD TO 35 N MLU TO 10 E GLH. ..JEWELL..03/24/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-119- 127-240340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WEBSTER WINN TXC005-073-347-365-401-403-405-419-240340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA CHEROKEE NACOGDOCHES PANOLA RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more
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