Severe Storms

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER SABINE RIVER VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and several tornadoes are expected from the Sabine River Valley northeastward into the lower to mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe gusts will be possible in parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. ...Sabine River Valley to Kentucky... Seasonally strong upper trough is digging southeast across the southwestern U.S./northern Mexico. This feature should shift east into the southern Plains during the latter half of the period as a 500mb speed max translates through the base of the trough into south-central TX by 06/00z, then into western AR by the end of the period. In response to this feature, a weak surface low is expected to develop in the lee of the higher terrain over the lower Rio Grande Valley, then track northeast along the boundary into the lower Sabine River Valley by late afternoon. High-PW air mass extends across the northwestern Gulf Basin, arcing northeast across the lower MS Valley into the TN Valley. Surface dew points are well into the lower 70s into western MS, and this will lead to a corridor of SBCAPE on the order of 3000 J/kg across this portion of the warm sector. Early this morning, an expansive corridor of convection extends along/north of the front from AR into western KY. This zone will gradually sag southeast through the period and will continue to serve as a focus for robust convection. Additionally, an expanding area of elevated convection is maturing ahead of the main short wave across west TX, and these storms will spread northeast with an attendant threat for hail into the early part of the period. Very strong shear is noted along/ahead of the frontal zone, and will continue to support organized, long-lived supercells. Current thinking is convection will be most concentrated along the warm front early, but diurnal heating will contribute to destabilization such that scattered-numerous storms should evolve along the cold front as it surges east across TX into LA, during the evening hours. Environmental parameters favor tornadic supercells, and strong tornadoes are certainly possible, in addition to large hail and wind. ..Darrow/Supinie.. 04/05/2025 Read more

WW 0121 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 121 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 121 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-027-029-031-049-053-081-083-091-093-095-099-105-137-171- 193-209-235-259-265-267-271-281-299-307-319-325-327-333-385-399- 411-413-431-435-451-453-463-465-491-050640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BELL BEXAR BLANCO BROWN BURNET COKE COLEMAN COMAL COMANCHE CONCHO CORYELL CROCKETT EDWARDS GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS IRION KENDALL KERR KIMBLE KINNEY LAMPASAS LLANO MCCULLOCH MASON MEDINA MENARD MILLS REAL RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN TRAVIS UVALDE VAL VERDE WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0119 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW TYR TO 25 SSW HOT TO 30 E HOT TO 30 ESE BVX TO 20 NNE JBR TO 30 ESE POF. ..KERR..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-021-025-027-031-037-039-053-055-057-059-067-069-073- 085-091-093-099-103-111-117-145-147-050640- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK CLAY CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CRAIGHEAD CROSS DALLAS GRANT GREENE HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LONOKE MILLER MISSISSIPPI NEVADA OUACHITA POINSETT PRAIRIE WHITE WOODRUFF LAC015-017-119-050640- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BOSSIER CADDO WEBSTER Read more

WW 0120 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 120 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE DYR TO 35 NW HOP TO 25 NE OWB. ..KERR..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 120 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC035-047-059-075-083-105-149-177-219-221-050640- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN MCLEAN MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0121 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 121 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GUYER..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 121 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-027-029-031-049-053-081-083-091-093-095-099-105-137-171- 193-209-235-259-265-267-271-281-299-307-319-325-327-333-385-399- 411-413-431-435-451-453-463-465-491-050540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BELL BEXAR BLANCO BROWN BURNET COKE COLEMAN COMAL COMANCHE CONCHO CORYELL CROCKETT EDWARDS GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS IRION KENDALL KERR KIMBLE KINNEY LAMPASAS LLANO MCCULLOCH MASON MEDINA MENARD MILLS REAL RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN TRAVIS UVALDE VAL VERDE WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0119 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E DEQ TO 25 NNW LIT TO 5 W ARG TO 20 SSE POF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0404 ..GUYER..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-021-025-027-031-037-039-045-051-053-055-057-059-063- 067-069-073-075-085-091-093-099-103-111-117-119-125-145-147- 050540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK CLAY CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CRAIGHEAD CROSS DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT GREENE HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LONOKE MILLER MISSISSIPPI NEVADA OUACHITA POINSETT PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE WHITE WOODRUFF LAC015-017-119-050540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0120 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 120 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE POF TO 30 NE PAH TO 20 NE EVV. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0405 ..GUYER..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 120 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC127-050540- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MASSAC INC147-163-173-050540- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145- 149-157-177-219-221-225-233-050540- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY Read more

WW 0120 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 120 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GUYER..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 120 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-050440- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE INC129-147-163-173-050440- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145- 149-157-177-219-221-225-233-050440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY Read more

WW 0119 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GUYER..04/05/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-051-053-055-057- 059-063-067-069-073-075-085-091-093-099-103-105-111-117-119-121- 125-135-145-147-050440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK CLAY CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CROSS DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT GREENE HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE JACKSON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LONOKE MILLER MISSISSIPPI NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY POINSETT PRAIRIE PULASKI RANDOLPH SALINE SHARP WHITE WOODRUFF LAC015-017-119-050440- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE Read more

MD 0402 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...FAR SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0402 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0923 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Areas affected...parts of western Kentucky...southern Illinois...far southwest Indiana...and far southeast Missouri Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 050223Z - 050330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Damaging winds and embedded tornadoes are possible across parts of western Kentucky, southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far southwest Indiana with a line of storms. A watch will be needed soon. DISCUSSION...A line of storms with several bowing segments is ongoing across southeast Missouri and southern Illinois near a warm front moving slowly northward. Buoyancy has diurnally waned, but some low-level buoyancy exists per Mesoanalysis. Additionally, a strong low-level jet exists, providing very strong low-level shear (54 kts of 0-1 km shear per the PAH VWP). Given the baroclinic zone in the area, this may provide some vorticity for circulations on the leading edge of the bowing segments, some tornado threat is apparent. Additionally, the strong boundary layer flow associated with the strong low-level jet may lead to a wind threat, as well. For these reasons, a watch will be needed soon. ..Supinie/Hart.. 04/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX... LAT...LON 36658850 36558965 36878992 38048895 38938734 38768661 38358610 37338663 36788695 36658850 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more