Severe Storms

MD 0443 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 135...136... FOR WESTERN TENNESSEE...NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...NORTHERN ALABAMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0443 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0508 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Areas affected...Western Tennessee...northern Mississippi...northern Alabama Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135...136... Valid 102208Z - 110015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135, 136 continues. SUMMARY...Severe wind gusts and large hail are expected with convection as it spreads southeast this evening. DISCUSSION...Mid-level heights are falling across the Mid South this evening as a 500mb speed max digs across eastern KS toward northern MS. Left-exit region of this jet appears partly responsible for an expanding cluster of thunderstorms along the cold front over western TN. Additionally, while the boundary-layer lapse rates are quite steep across much of this region, surface temperatures are considerably warmer across northern MS into central AL where readings are in the lower 80s. As profiles cool aloft, the greatest buoyancy should focus across northern MS into northern AL. Frontal convection may continue to grow upscale due to the aforementioned exit region and thermodynamic profiles favor strong downdrafts, in addition to large hail. Severe storms should spread across northern MS and northern AL through mid evening. ..Darrow.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG... LAT...LON 35568848 34408557 33368609 34488907 35348937 35568848 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0137 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 137 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MARSH..04/10/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 137 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-011-013-015-035-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085- 089-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-139-143- 147-149-151-157-159-169-171-187-195-199-207-211-213-217-219-221- 223-227-231-233-237-241-247-255-257-281-285-291-295-297-311-313- 110040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BANKS BARROW BARTOW BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON COBB COWETA DADE DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER GORDON GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL HARALSON HART HEARD HENRY JACKSON JASPER JONES LAMAR LUMPKIN MADISON MERIWETHER MONROE MORGAN MURRAY NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS PIKE POLK Read more

WW 137 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC TN 102100Z - 110400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 137 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 500 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Georgia Far Southwest North Carolina Extreme Western South Carolina Eastern Tennessee * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 500 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered supercells should continue to pose some threat for severe hail up to 1-1.75 inches in diameter through the rest of the afternoon and into the evening. Damaging winds may also occur with any clusters that can form, before convection eventually weakens with eastward extent. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Knoxville TN to 30 miles south southeast of Atlanta GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 135...WW 136... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 31035. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0136 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 136 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MARSH..04/10/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 136 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-033-037-043-049-055-057-059- 063-065-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-105-107-111-115- 117-119-121-123-125-127-133-110040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COLBERT COOSA CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PERRY PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON ARC107-110040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 136 SEVERE TSTM AL AR MS TN 102035Z - 110400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 136 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Alabama Far Eastern Arkansas Northern and Central Mississippi Far Southern Middle Tennessee * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Robust thunderstorms will continue to develop this afternoon and spread southeastward through the evening. Supercells will pose a threat for large hail generally ranging from 1-2 inches in diameter. Scattered severe/damaging winds, with peak gusts up to 65-75 mph, should also occur as clusters form later this afternoon and evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles north northwest of Greenwood MS to 25 miles northeast of Anniston AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 135... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 31035. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N MSL TO 45 SSW BNA TO 20 SSE BNA TO 30 NE BNA TO 10 NW BWG. ..MARSH..04/10/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-053-057-061-085-087-099-169-171-207-227-110040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN CLINTON CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GRAYSON GREEN HART METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL WARREN TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-055-061-071-087-099-109-111-117- 133-137-141-149-159-165-169-175-177-185-189-110040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEDFORD CANNON CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND DE KALB FENTRESS GILES GRUNDY HARDIN JACKSON LAWRENCE MCNAIRY MACON MARSHALL OVERTON PICKETT PUTNAM RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER Read more

WW 135 SEVERE TSTM AR IL KY MO TN 101920Z - 110200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 135 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 220 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far Northeast Arkansas Far Southern Illinois Western and South-Central Kentucky Far Southeast Missouri Western and Middle Tennessee * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should gradually evolve east-southeastward this afternoon and evening while posing a threat for mainly scattered damaging winds. Peak gusts could reach up to 60-70 mph. Occasional severe hail generally ranging from 1-1.75 inches in diameter may also occur with any sustained supercell. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west northwest of Dyersburg TN to 70 miles east of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 31035. ...Gleason Read more

MD 0442 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN TENNESSEE...NORTHERN GEORGIA...EXTREME WESTERN CAROLINAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0442 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Areas affected...eastern Tennessee...northern Georgia...extreme western Carolinas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 102045Z - 102245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered storms, a few of which may be severe, are likely to affect parts of northern Georgia and eastern Tennessee, and possibly into the far western Carolinas by early evening. DISCUSSION...Storms continue to increase across TN, beneath the cooler midlevel temperatures. Meanwhile, a midlevel cloud band has moved out of the region, allowing heating behind. Given this expected destabilization via heating and advection out of the west, cells moving into the region are expected to remain strong or severe, producing hail and localized wind gusts. The greatest risk of damaging hail will be over southern areas, including northern GA, where temperatures have warmed substantially and lapse rates are quite steep. ..Jewell/Gleason.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX... LAT...LON 33858534 34798555 35278534 35838515 36238490 36508420 36538299 36438240 36048216 35258250 34328322 33618497 33858534 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

MD 0441 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PRIMARILY FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ALABAMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0441 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0256 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Areas affected...primarily from northern Mississippi into central and northern Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 101956Z - 102230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms are expected to develop later this afternoon and evening, with large hail and localized damaging gusts likely. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a boundary/wind shift moving south across AR and toward the MS River. Ahead of this boundary, west/southwest winds are helping to maintain a plume of mid 50s F dewpoints which now extend into AL. Meanwhile, strong heating continues. The southerly periphery of the midlevel cooling is evident on visible imagery, indicated by the CU fields from northeast AR into TN. As this cooling aloft rapidly pushes southeast, corridors of thunderstorm development are expected. The combination of strong cooling aloft overspreading the surface theta-e plume should result in corridors of severe storms. Long hodographs, cold temperatures aloft, and favorable time of day coincident with peak heating will favor both large hail and localized wind damage. Isolated significant hail cannot be ruled out with the strongest cells. ..Jewell/Gleason.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN... LAT...LON 33088987 33809069 34479082 34899082 35159058 35249007 35078922 34958795 34788597 34648553 34198505 33378491 32868515 32548548 32378640 32578804 33088987 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0137 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 137 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0443 ..MARSH..04/10/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 137 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-011-013-015-035-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085- 089-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-139-143- 147-149-151-157-159-169-171-187-195-199-207-211-213-217-219-221- 223-227-231-233-237-241-247-255-257-281-285-291-295-297-311-313- 102340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BANKS BARROW BARTOW BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON COBB COWETA DADE DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER GORDON GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL HARALSON HART HEARD HENRY JACKSON JASPER JONES LAMAR LUMPKIN MADISON MERIWETHER MONROE MORGAN MURRAY NEWTON Read more

WW 0136 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 136 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW MEM TO 10 E MEM TO 25 ENE MEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0443 ..MARSH..04/10/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 136 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-033-037-043-049-055-057-059- 063-065-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-105-107-111-115- 117-119-121-123-125-127-133-102340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COLBERT COOSA CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN PERRY PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON ARC035-037-077-107-111-123-102340- Read more

WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MKL TO 55 NNW MSL TO 45 WSW BNA TO 20 WNW BNA TO 25 ENE CKV. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0443 ..MARSH..04/10/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-031-053-057-061-085-087-099-141-169-171-183-207- 213-227-102340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN BUTLER CLINTON CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GRAYSON GREEN HART LOGAN METCALFE MONROE OHIO RUSSELL SIMPSON WARREN MOC143-102340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW MADRID TNC003-015-021-023-027-031-035-037-041-043-047-049-055-061-069- Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z An upper-level trough traversing through the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains combined with a modest subtropical jet support, south of the trough should promote a broad area of stronger winds across the Desert Southwest portions of the Central and Southern High Plains over the weekend. Combined with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer, a Critical fire weather probability of 70 percent was introduced into portions New Mexico and into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles over the weekend (day 3/day 4). Lee cyclone development and eastward translation of the upper-level trough is expected to bring gusty winds behind a dry, post-frontal environment supporting a 40 percent probability of a Critical fire weather threat for portions of the Central Plains on day 5/Monday. ...Day 3/Saturday - Day 4/Sunday: Desert Southwest and adjacent High Plains... Gusty west-southwest surface winds aided by an increase in a broad but modest subtropical jet aloft combined with a very dry boundary layer is expected to result in Critical fire weather conditions across northeastern New Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on day 3/Saturday. A southward shift and acceleration in mid-level flow along with leeward cyclone development in the southern High Plains, should support a broad area of increased surface winds amid dry fuels and very low relative humidity on day 4/Sunday. This threat will be concentrated across southern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more