Severe Storms

WW 0138 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW LEX TO 25 W JKL TO 15 N JKL TO 30 S HTS TO 30 ESE HTS TO 15 ESE CRW TO 35 N SSU TO 15 W SHD TO 10 ENE CHO TO 30 ESE CHO. ..BENTLEY..04/15/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC025-071-115-119-129-131-133-153-159-175-189-193-195-197-237- 150240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREATHITT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LEE LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL WOLFE VAC005-009-011-017-021-023-027-029-045-051-071-121-155-161-163- 185-530-580-678-750-770-775-150240- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHANY AMHERST APPOMATTOX BATH BLAND BOTETOURT BUCHANAN BUCKINGHAM CRAIG DICKENSON GILES MONTGOMERY PULASKI ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE Read more

WW 0138 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW LEX TO 25 W JKL TO 15 N JKL TO 30 S HTS TO 30 ESE HTS TO 15 ESE CRW TO 35 N SSU TO 15 W SHD TO 10 ENE CHO TO 30 ESE CHO. ..BENTLEY..04/15/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC025-071-115-119-129-131-133-153-159-175-189-193-195-197-237- 150240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREATHITT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LEE LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL WOLFE VAC005-009-011-017-021-023-027-029-045-051-071-121-155-161-163- 185-530-580-678-750-770-775-150240- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHANY AMHERST APPOMATTOX BATH BLAND BOTETOURT BUCHANAN BUCKINGHAM CRAIG DICKENSON GILES MONTGOMERY PULASKI ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE Read more

WW 0138 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW LEX TO 25 W JKL TO 15 N JKL TO 30 S HTS TO 30 ESE HTS TO 15 ESE CRW TO 35 N SSU TO 15 W SHD TO 10 ENE CHO TO 30 ESE CHO. ..BENTLEY..04/15/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC025-071-115-119-129-131-133-153-159-175-189-193-195-197-237- 150240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREATHITT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LEE LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL WOLFE VAC005-009-011-017-021-023-027-029-045-051-071-121-155-161-163- 185-530-580-678-750-770-775-150240- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHANY AMHERST APPOMATTOX BATH BLAND BOTETOURT BUCHANAN BUCKINGHAM CRAIG DICKENSON GILES MONTGOMERY PULASKI ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE Read more

WW 138 SEVERE TSTM KY OH PA VA WV 141925Z - 150300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 138 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Kentucky Southern Ohio Far Southwestern Pennsylvania Southwestern Virginia West Virginia * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms coverage is expected to increase over the next few hours along and ahead of a cold front pushing eastward across the region. Environmental conditions support strong to severe storms. An initially cellular mode will favor large hail and damaging gusts before a transition to a more linear storm mode favors primarily damaging gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of Lexington KY to 60 miles north northeast of White Sulphur Springs WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Mosier Read more

MD 0451 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 138... FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...AND FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0451 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0718 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Areas affected...eastern Kentucky...southern West Virginia...and far western Virginia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 138... Valid 150018Z - 150145Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 138 continues. SUMMARY...A large hail/damaging wind threat will persist for a few more hours this evening. DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells across central West Virginia has weakened over the past hour, but are still capable of some large hail and damaging wind gusts for a few more hours. The greatest threat will likely be with new development farther south and west where a deeply-mixed airmass is present with greater instability. However, even in this area the threat will likely only persist for a few more hours given the loss of daytime heating. ..Bentley.. 04/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK... LAT...LON 37278519 37788380 38008289 38578182 38457979 37977916 37357993 37098212 36998474 37008512 37278519 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms will continue this evening across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, with severe wind gusts and large hail as the primary threats. ...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... The latest water vapor imagery shows a ridge along the Atlantic Seaboard and a trough in the mid Missouri Valley. A plume of mid-level moisture extends east-northeastward from the trough along a fetch of west-southwesterly flow from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Northeast. At the surface, a trough is located in the lee of the Appalachians, with a cold front moving southeastward through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F, and instability is weak with MLCAPE in the 500 to 1000 J/kg range, analyzed by the RAP. Within this pocket of weak instability, scattered severe storms are ongoing from eastern Kentucky into West Virginia, and western Virginia. At 500 mb, a broad belt of 60 to 80 knots of flow is located across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which is contributing to strong deep-layer shear. This shear combined with the weak instability will continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening. The more intense discrete cells could be supercellular with a potential for large hail. The stronger storms will also be capable of producing wind damage. If a short bowing line segment can organize, then the potential for severe wind gusts could increase...see MCDs 451 and 452. ..Broyles.. 04/15/2025 Read more

WW 0138 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW LEX TO 20 NW JKL TO 25 NNE JKL TO 20 E HTS TO 30 ENE CRW TO 20 SSW EKN TO 20 ESE EKN TO 40 E EKN. ..BENTLEY..04/15/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC019-025-051-063-065-071-109-115-119-125-127-129-131-133-153- 159-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-237-150140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOYD BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLOYD JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE WOLFE VAC005-009-011-017-021-023-027-029-045-051-071-121-155-161-163- 185-530-580-678-750-770-775-150140- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHANY AMHERST APPOMATTOX BATH BLAND BOTETOURT Read more

WW 0139 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0139 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0138 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ENE BWG TO 30 SSE LEX TO 20 NNW JKL TO 20 SW HTS TO 25 NW CRW TO 20 WSW EKN TO 5 SSE EKN TO 35 ENE EKN. ..BENTLEY..04/14/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...PBZ...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-009-019-021-025-045-051-063-065-071-079-087-099-109-115- 119-123-125-127-129-131-133-137-151-153-155-159-165-169-175-189- 193-195-197-199-203-207-217-237-150040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR BARREN BOYD BOYLE BREATHITT CASEY CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLOYD GARRARD GREEN HART JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT LARUE LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE LESLIE LETCHER LINCOLN MADISON MAGOFFIN MARION MARTIN MENIFEE METCALFE MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL TAYLOR WOLFE VAC005-009-011-017-021-023-027-029-045-051-071-121-155-161-163- 185-530-580-678-750-770-775-150040- Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Apr 14 23:55:04 UTC 2025.

MD 0450 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR BLUE RIDGE INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN VIRGINIA...WESTERN/CENTRAL MARYLAND...WASHINGTON DC
Mesoscale Discussion 0450 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Areas affected...Blue Ridge into central/northern Virginia...western/central Maryland...Washington DC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 142148Z - 142345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A threat for damaging winds and large hail will persist into the Blue Ridge and eastward this evening. A watch is likely in the next hour. DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms, including a supercell with a history of large to very-large hail, continue to move quickly (45-50 kts) eastward late this afternoon. Dewpoints near and ahead of these storms are in the low 50s F. Models have continued to suggest some amount of upscale growth is expected with this activity. Even if this does not occur, these fast moving cells/linear segments will be capable of swaths of damaging winds and large hail. From the Blue Ridge eastward, dewpoints have slowly climbed into the low 50s F over the last couple of hours. Based off of current observations, dewpoints could increase another 1-2 F prior to storm arrival. There will be at least a narrow window where storms could remain surface based in the Blue Ridge vicinity. Farther east dewpoints and temperatures are lower. With some additional surface cooling expected, storms will have greater potential to be slightly elevated with eastward extent. However, forecast soundings show a dry sub-cloud layer that would support a continued risk of damaging downburst winds even with elevated storms. A watch will likely be needed in the next hour. ..Wendt/Gleason.. 04/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK... LAT...LON 39347923 39647877 39557757 39057689 38407673 37557679 37447706 37277796 37257910 37497942 39347923 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 138 SEVERE TSTM KY OH PA VA WV 141925Z - 150300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 138 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Kentucky Southern Ohio Far Southwestern Pennsylvania Southwestern Virginia West Virginia * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms coverage is expected to increase over the next few hours along and ahead of a cold front pushing eastward across the region. Environmental conditions support strong to severe storms. An initially cellular mode will favor large hail and damaging gusts before a transition to a more linear storm mode favors primarily damaging gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of Lexington KY to 60 miles north northeast of White Sulphur Springs WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Mosier Read more

WW 0139 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0139 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more