SPC Apr 23, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are forecast over parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Texas today and tonight, with damaging winds and hail possible. ...Synopsis... A split flow regime will exist today with the northern storm track from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. To the south, stronger flow aloft will exist over much of Baja CA and Mexico, and across the Rio Grande Valley in TX. For much of the central CONUS, cool midlevel temperatures will persist, with modest westerly flow and marginal overall shear. At the surface, a trough will deepen during the day over West TX, with southerly winds maintaining 60s F dewpoints across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. The diurnally destabilizing and uncapped air mass will support clusters of storms from KS into northern OK, and along the surface trough over West TX. Sporadic strong storms will also be possible across North TX where instability will remain favorable. Farther north, a weak surface trough will provide a focus from IA into WI and toward Lake MI, with marginal hail possible. Elsewhere, widely scattered strong storms are expected over parts of the Southeast, with stronger instability over eastern GA and SC supporting locally strong gusts. ...OK...North TX...ArkLaTex... Clusters of storms may be ongoing over southern OK and North Texas early today as activity moves in from the northwest from the previous night. Heating ahead of any such activity will support over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE with weak but veering winds with height favoring south/east propagation. Locally strong gusts appear to be the main threat with any such activity. ...Central and southern Plains... Heating will lead to MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg from western KS into parts of West TX this afternoon. Heating near the surface trough should support isolated activity over TX with slow-moving storms producing large hail. Northern areas from western KS into northwest OK may experience one or more clusters or an MCS as storms over far southeast CO produce outflow and move into KS and the Panhandles though the evening. ...IA into southern WI and toward western/northern lower MI... Areas of heating along with a plume of 50s F dewpoints near the surface trough will support scattered storms during the day. Steep lapse rates aloft and favorable deep-layer shear will support marginal hail. ..Jewell/Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 23, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are forecast over parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Texas today and tonight, with damaging winds and hail possible. ...Synopsis... A split flow regime will exist today with the northern storm track from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. To the south, stronger flow aloft will exist over much of Baja CA and Mexico, and across the Rio Grande Valley in TX. For much of the central CONUS, cool midlevel temperatures will persist, with modest westerly flow and marginal overall shear. At the surface, a trough will deepen during the day over West TX, with southerly winds maintaining 60s F dewpoints across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. The diurnally destabilizing and uncapped air mass will support clusters of storms from KS into northern OK, and along the surface trough over West TX. Sporadic strong storms will also be possible across North TX where instability will remain favorable. Farther north, a weak surface trough will provide a focus from IA into WI and toward Lake MI, with marginal hail possible. Elsewhere, widely scattered strong storms are expected over parts of the Southeast, with stronger instability over eastern GA and SC supporting locally strong gusts. ...OK...North TX...ArkLaTex... Clusters of storms may be ongoing over southern OK and North Texas early today as activity moves in from the northwest from the previous night. Heating ahead of any such activity will support over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE with weak but veering winds with height favoring south/east propagation. Locally strong gusts appear to be the main threat with any such activity. ...Central and southern Plains... Heating will lead to MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg from western KS into parts of West TX this afternoon. Heating near the surface trough should support isolated activity over TX with slow-moving storms producing large hail. Northern areas from western KS into northwest OK may experience one or more clusters or an MCS as storms over far southeast CO produce outflow and move into KS and the Panhandles though the evening. ...IA into southern WI and toward western/northern lower MI... Areas of heating along with a plume of 50s F dewpoints near the surface trough will support scattered storms during the day. Steep lapse rates aloft and favorable deep-layer shear will support marginal hail. ..Jewell/Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 23, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are forecast over parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Texas today and tonight, with damaging winds and hail possible. ...Synopsis... A split flow regime will exist today with the northern storm track from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. To the south, stronger flow aloft will exist over much of Baja CA and Mexico, and across the Rio Grande Valley in TX. For much of the central CONUS, cool midlevel temperatures will persist, with modest westerly flow and marginal overall shear. At the surface, a trough will deepen during the day over West TX, with southerly winds maintaining 60s F dewpoints across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. The diurnally destabilizing and uncapped air mass will support clusters of storms from KS into northern OK, and along the surface trough over West TX. Sporadic strong storms will also be possible across North TX where instability will remain favorable. Farther north, a weak surface trough will provide a focus from IA into WI and toward Lake MI, with marginal hail possible. Elsewhere, widely scattered strong storms are expected over parts of the Southeast, with stronger instability over eastern GA and SC supporting locally strong gusts. ...OK...North TX...ArkLaTex... Clusters of storms may be ongoing over southern OK and North Texas early today as activity moves in from the northwest from the previous night. Heating ahead of any such activity will support over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE with weak but veering winds with height favoring south/east propagation. Locally strong gusts appear to be the main threat with any such activity. ...Central and southern Plains... Heating will lead to MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg from western KS into parts of West TX this afternoon. Heating near the surface trough should support isolated activity over TX with slow-moving storms producing large hail. Northern areas from western KS into northwest OK may experience one or more clusters or an MCS as storms over far southeast CO produce outflow and move into KS and the Panhandles though the evening. ...IA into southern WI and toward western/northern lower MI... Areas of heating along with a plume of 50s F dewpoints near the surface trough will support scattered storms during the day. Steep lapse rates aloft and favorable deep-layer shear will support marginal hail. ..Jewell/Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 23, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are forecast over parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Texas today and tonight, with damaging winds and hail possible. ...Synopsis... A split flow regime will exist today with the northern storm track from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. To the south, stronger flow aloft will exist over much of Baja CA and Mexico, and across the Rio Grande Valley in TX. For much of the central CONUS, cool midlevel temperatures will persist, with modest westerly flow and marginal overall shear. At the surface, a trough will deepen during the day over West TX, with southerly winds maintaining 60s F dewpoints across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. The diurnally destabilizing and uncapped air mass will support clusters of storms from KS into northern OK, and along the surface trough over West TX. Sporadic strong storms will also be possible across North TX where instability will remain favorable. Farther north, a weak surface trough will provide a focus from IA into WI and toward Lake MI, with marginal hail possible. Elsewhere, widely scattered strong storms are expected over parts of the Southeast, with stronger instability over eastern GA and SC supporting locally strong gusts. ...OK...North TX...ArkLaTex... Clusters of storms may be ongoing over southern OK and North Texas early today as activity moves in from the northwest from the previous night. Heating ahead of any such activity will support over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE with weak but veering winds with height favoring south/east propagation. Locally strong gusts appear to be the main threat with any such activity. ...Central and southern Plains... Heating will lead to MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg from western KS into parts of West TX this afternoon. Heating near the surface trough should support isolated activity over TX with slow-moving storms producing large hail. Northern areas from western KS into northwest OK may experience one or more clusters or an MCS as storms over far southeast CO produce outflow and move into KS and the Panhandles though the evening. ...IA into southern WI and toward western/northern lower MI... Areas of heating along with a plume of 50s F dewpoints near the surface trough will support scattered storms during the day. Steep lapse rates aloft and favorable deep-layer shear will support marginal hail. ..Jewell/Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 23, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are forecast over parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Texas today and tonight, with damaging winds and hail possible. ...Synopsis... A split flow regime will exist today with the northern storm track from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. To the south, stronger flow aloft will exist over much of Baja CA and Mexico, and across the Rio Grande Valley in TX. For much of the central CONUS, cool midlevel temperatures will persist, with modest westerly flow and marginal overall shear. At the surface, a trough will deepen during the day over West TX, with southerly winds maintaining 60s F dewpoints across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. The diurnally destabilizing and uncapped air mass will support clusters of storms from KS into northern OK, and along the surface trough over West TX. Sporadic strong storms will also be possible across North TX where instability will remain favorable. Farther north, a weak surface trough will provide a focus from IA into WI and toward Lake MI, with marginal hail possible. Elsewhere, widely scattered strong storms are expected over parts of the Southeast, with stronger instability over eastern GA and SC supporting locally strong gusts. ...OK...North TX...ArkLaTex... Clusters of storms may be ongoing over southern OK and North Texas early today as activity moves in from the northwest from the previous night. Heating ahead of any such activity will support over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE with weak but veering winds with height favoring south/east propagation. Locally strong gusts appear to be the main threat with any such activity. ...Central and southern Plains... Heating will lead to MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg from western KS into parts of West TX this afternoon. Heating near the surface trough should support isolated activity over TX with slow-moving storms producing large hail. Northern areas from western KS into northwest OK may experience one or more clusters or an MCS as storms over far southeast CO produce outflow and move into KS and the Panhandles though the evening. ...IA into southern WI and toward western/northern lower MI... Areas of heating along with a plume of 50s F dewpoints near the surface trough will support scattered storms during the day. Steep lapse rates aloft and favorable deep-layer shear will support marginal hail. ..Jewell/Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 23, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are forecast over parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Texas today and tonight, with damaging winds and hail possible. ...Synopsis... A split flow regime will exist today with the northern storm track from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. To the south, stronger flow aloft will exist over much of Baja CA and Mexico, and across the Rio Grande Valley in TX. For much of the central CONUS, cool midlevel temperatures will persist, with modest westerly flow and marginal overall shear. At the surface, a trough will deepen during the day over West TX, with southerly winds maintaining 60s F dewpoints across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. The diurnally destabilizing and uncapped air mass will support clusters of storms from KS into northern OK, and along the surface trough over West TX. Sporadic strong storms will also be possible across North TX where instability will remain favorable. Farther north, a weak surface trough will provide a focus from IA into WI and toward Lake MI, with marginal hail possible. Elsewhere, widely scattered strong storms are expected over parts of the Southeast, with stronger instability over eastern GA and SC supporting locally strong gusts. ...OK...North TX...ArkLaTex... Clusters of storms may be ongoing over southern OK and North Texas early today as activity moves in from the northwest from the previous night. Heating ahead of any such activity will support over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE with weak but veering winds with height favoring south/east propagation. Locally strong gusts appear to be the main threat with any such activity. ...Central and southern Plains... Heating will lead to MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg from western KS into parts of West TX this afternoon. Heating near the surface trough should support isolated activity over TX with slow-moving storms producing large hail. Northern areas from western KS into northwest OK may experience one or more clusters or an MCS as storms over far southeast CO produce outflow and move into KS and the Panhandles though the evening. ...IA into southern WI and toward western/northern lower MI... Areas of heating along with a plume of 50s F dewpoints near the surface trough will support scattered storms during the day. Steep lapse rates aloft and favorable deep-layer shear will support marginal hail. ..Jewell/Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 23, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are forecast over parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Texas today and tonight, with damaging winds and hail possible. ...Synopsis... A split flow regime will exist today with the northern storm track from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast. To the south, stronger flow aloft will exist over much of Baja CA and Mexico, and across the Rio Grande Valley in TX. For much of the central CONUS, cool midlevel temperatures will persist, with modest westerly flow and marginal overall shear. At the surface, a trough will deepen during the day over West TX, with southerly winds maintaining 60s F dewpoints across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley. The diurnally destabilizing and uncapped air mass will support clusters of storms from KS into northern OK, and along the surface trough over West TX. Sporadic strong storms will also be possible across North TX where instability will remain favorable. Farther north, a weak surface trough will provide a focus from IA into WI and toward Lake MI, with marginal hail possible. Elsewhere, widely scattered strong storms are expected over parts of the Southeast, with stronger instability over eastern GA and SC supporting locally strong gusts. ...OK...North TX...ArkLaTex... Clusters of storms may be ongoing over southern OK and North Texas early today as activity moves in from the northwest from the previous night. Heating ahead of any such activity will support over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE with weak but veering winds with height favoring south/east propagation. Locally strong gusts appear to be the main threat with any such activity. ...Central and southern Plains... Heating will lead to MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg from western KS into parts of West TX this afternoon. Heating near the surface trough should support isolated activity over TX with slow-moving storms producing large hail. Northern areas from western KS into northwest OK may experience one or more clusters or an MCS as storms over far southeast CO produce outflow and move into KS and the Panhandles though the evening. ...IA into southern WI and toward western/northern lower MI... Areas of heating along with a plume of 50s F dewpoints near the surface trough will support scattered storms during the day. Steep lapse rates aloft and favorable deep-layer shear will support marginal hail. ..Jewell/Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE 6R6 TO 40 W JCT TO 40 SW ABI TO 45 E LBB TO 40 E PVW TO 15 E LTS. ..BROYLES..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC095-101-125-151-207-263-267-269-307-319-327-345-411-433-447- 230640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO COTTLE DICKENS FISHER HASKELL KENT KIMBLE KING MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MOTLEY SAN SABA STONEWALL THROCKMORTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE 6R6 TO 40 W JCT TO 40 SW ABI TO 45 E LBB TO 40 E PVW TO 15 E LTS. ..BROYLES..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC095-101-125-151-207-263-267-269-307-319-327-345-411-433-447- 230640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO COTTLE DICKENS FISHER HASKELL KENT KIMBLE KING MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MOTLEY SAN SABA STONEWALL THROCKMORTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE 6R6 TO 40 W JCT TO 40 SW ABI TO 45 E LBB TO 40 E PVW TO 15 E LTS. ..BROYLES..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC095-101-125-151-207-263-267-269-307-319-327-345-411-433-447- 230640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO COTTLE DICKENS FISHER HASKELL KENT KIMBLE KING MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MOTLEY SAN SABA STONEWALL THROCKMORTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE 6R6 TO 40 W JCT TO 40 SW ABI TO 45 E LBB TO 40 E PVW TO 15 E LTS. ..BROYLES..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC095-101-125-151-207-263-267-269-307-319-327-345-411-433-447- 230640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO COTTLE DICKENS FISHER HASKELL KENT KIMBLE KING MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MOTLEY SAN SABA STONEWALL THROCKMORTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW ABI TO 30 SSW LBB TO 25 SW PVW TO 30 E CDS. WW 159 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 230400Z. ..SQUITIERI..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC095-101-105-107-125-151-153-169-189-263-267-269-303-305-307- 319-327-345-411-413-433-435-443-465-230400- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO COTTLE CROCKETT CROSBY DICKENS FISHER FLOYD GARZA HALE KENT KIMBLE KING LUBBOCK LYNN MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MOTLEY SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STONEWALL SUTTON TERRELL VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW ABI TO 30 SSW LBB TO 25 SW PVW TO 30 E CDS. WW 159 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 230400Z. ..SQUITIERI..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC095-101-105-107-125-151-153-169-189-263-267-269-303-305-307- 319-327-345-411-413-433-435-443-465-230400- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO COTTLE CROCKETT CROSBY DICKENS FISHER FLOYD GARZA HALE KENT KIMBLE KING LUBBOCK LYNN MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MOTLEY SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STONEWALL SUTTON TERRELL VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 522

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0522 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 159... FOR MUCH OF WESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0522 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0853 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 Areas affected...Much of western Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159... Valid 230153Z - 230330Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat should continue for a few more hours. Severe wind and hail remain the primary concerns. DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells and multicells persist across western TX, several of which have a history of producing severe hail/gusts. Nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization is underway, which will contribute to gradual diminishing buoyancy and increasing MLCINH. While the severe threat should wane into the evening, enough buoyancy remains to support a continued severe wind/hail threat for at least a few more hours. ..Squitieri.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 29960228 31060269 32840275 33640253 34140223 34740119 34620054 33530026 32500020 31370024 30460055 29870119 29960228 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 159 SEVERE TSTM TX 222015Z - 230400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 159 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 315 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop and increase in coverage through the afternoon and evening across much of west Texas, in an increasingly moist and unstable environment. The strongest cells are expected to produce large hail and damaging wind gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of Amarillo TX to 35 miles east of Dryden TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Hart Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 160 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0160 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 160 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-015-033-053-077-079-095-105-113-115-151-155-159-167- 169-173-185-191-230440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON BUTLER COMANCHE ELLSWORTH HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION PRATT RENO RICE RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER OKC003-009-011-015-031-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-073- 075-093-129-141-149-151-153-230440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO COMANCHE CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT GREER HARMON HARPER JACKSON KINGFISHER Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 160 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0160 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 160 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-015-033-053-077-079-095-105-113-115-151-155-159-167- 169-173-185-191-230440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON BUTLER COMANCHE ELLSWORTH HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION PRATT RENO RICE RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER OKC003-009-011-015-031-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-073- 075-093-129-141-149-151-153-230440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO COMANCHE CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT GREER HARMON HARPER JACKSON KINGFISHER Read more

SPC MD 521

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0521 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0521 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0820 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 Areas affected...Northeast Kansas into northwest Missouri Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 230120Z - 230315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A few strong/severe thunderstorms are possible this evening. Hail is the primary risk. DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery suggests a weak, low amplitude short-wave trough is located over the central Plains. This feature is translating east and may provide some encouragement for isolated convective development along/near a frontal zone that currently extends from south of CNK-north of STJ. 00z sounding from TOP exhibited very steep lapse rates, but notable capping was evident near 2km, and surface-based convection may struggle to develop as nocturnal cooling increases. However, large-scale ascent ahead of the short wave may cool/moist mid levels such that an elevated parcel is more likely to freely convect over the next few hours. This activity could briefly attain severe levels, but longevity/coverage may not warrant a severe thunderstorm watch. ..Darrow/Mosier.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 39129752 40389460 40389345 39709364 38139657 39129752 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE CVS TO 35 NE CDS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..SQUITIERI..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-045-075-079-081-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-151-153- 165-169-173-189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335- 345-353-371-383-413-415-431-433-435-443-445-451-461-465-501- 230340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE CHILDRESS COCHRAN COKE COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD IRION KENT KING LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON TERRELL TERRY TOM GREEN UPTON VAL VERDE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0159 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE CVS TO 35 NE CDS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..SQUITIERI..04/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 159 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-045-075-079-081-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-151-153- 165-169-173-189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335- 345-353-371-383-413-415-431-433-435-443-445-451-461-465-501- 230340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE CHILDRESS COCHRAN COKE COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD IRION KENT KING LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON TERRELL TERRY TOM GREEN UPTON VAL VERDE Read more
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5 years 11 months ago
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