Severe Storms

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Apr 26 21:58:07 UTC 2025.

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more