Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The primary synoptic-scale midlevel troughing and related enhanced flow aloft will generally be confined to the eastern half of the CONUS on Thursday. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry and windy conditions across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0614 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 195... FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0614 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1142 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Areas affected...Southern Plains Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195... Valid 300442Z - 300645Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195 continues. SUMMARY...Robust convection will continue to regenerate across the southern Plains into the pre-dawn hours. Hail is the primary risk with this activity. DISCUSSION...Large-scale forcing appears to be increasing across the southern High Plains late this evening ahead of a short-wave trough that is ejecting into this region. LLJ is strengthening across southwest/west TX ahead of this feature, and VWP data supports this with 40-50kt 1km south-southeasterly flow. Of particular concern is the near-stationary boundary that is draped from south of ADM-north of ABI-MAF. This front is not expected to move appreciably through sunrise and strong low-level warm advection will prove efficient in generating elevated convection north of the wind shift. Hail should be common with this activity as modest MUCAPE/steep lapse rates exist well north of the front. Latest thinking is multiple elevated thunderstorm clusters will evolve over the TX South Plains over the next several hours, then spread northeast into southern OK. ..Darrow.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 33010305 33830109 34609906 34379691 33509693 32050095 32090272 33010305 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough will cross the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the day. Within the base of the trough, moderate-strong deep-layer westerly flow will overspread a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass across southeast NM into the Trans-Pecos. Sustained westerly surface winds around 20 mph coupled with 10 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Farther east, breezy easterly surface winds (around 10-15 mph) will develop amid 30 percent RH across parts of southern and central FL during the afternoon -- along the southwestern periphery of the Bermuda High. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Dry/offshore flow is expected across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today, which may promote locally elevated fire-weather conditions. However, a modest pressure gradient and marginal surface winds (around 10-15 mph) should generally limit the fire-weather risk. ..Weinman.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more