SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO 35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127- 301340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO 35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127- 301340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO 35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127- 301340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO 35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127- 301340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 196 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 300555Z - 301300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest and South-Central Oklahoma Northwest and North-Central Texas * Effective this Wednesday morning from 1255 AM until 800 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to persist throughout the night in the vicinity of an outflow boundary that extends across the region. Hail will be the primary risk with this more cellular development. There is also some potential for the storms in west TX to evolve into an organized line segment that could progress across the region later. Damaging gusts would be the primary risk with this more linear activity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Altus OK to 30 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194...WW 195... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier Read more

SPC MD 616

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0616 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 195...196... FOR NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0616 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0424 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Areas affected...northwest Texas into the Red River Valley and across southern Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195...196... Valid 300924Z - 301130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195, 196 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging winds remain likely over parts of northwest into northern Texas, including the Red River Valley and into far southern Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...The 850 theta-e advection regime persists early this morning across TX and OK, fueling episodic MCSs. The primary convective system currently extends from far southwest OK southward into northwest TX, with strong reflectivity and respectable echo tops. Severe gusts are likely occurring with this line, as seen in recent Knox City observation with 69 mph reported. This line of storms is straddling the east-west stationary front, and extra lift near this boundary may support strengthening as it moves eastward this morning. Isolated storms well north of the boundary into southern OK have produced gusts in excess of 50 kt as well, despite the more isolated nature. ..Jewell.. 04/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT... LAT...LON 32190032 32889989 33569959 34019951 34579945 34859940 35279587 35179549 34669528 33969552 33509635 32639841 32190032 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S CDS TO 50 SE CDS TO 50 SSW LTS TO 25 SSW LTS TO 5 NNW LTS TO 10 SW CSM. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-065-067-069-075-085-095-099- 123-127-137-141-301140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN TXC009-023-077-097-147-181-237-275-277-337-363-429-485-487-497- 503-301140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S CDS TO 50 SE CDS TO 50 SSW LTS TO 25 SSW LTS TO 5 NNW LTS TO 10 SW CSM. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-065-067-069-075-085-095-099- 123-127-137-141-301140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN TXC009-023-077-097-147-181-237-275-277-337-363-429-485-487-497- 503-301140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON JACK KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-055-057-065-067-069-075-085- 095-099-123-127-137-141-300940- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN GREER HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-237-275-277-337-363-429-485- 487-497-503-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FANNIN FOARD GRAYSON HARDEMAN JACK KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WICHITA Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-055-057-065-067-069-075-085- 095-099-123-127-137-141-300940- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN GREER HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-237-275-277-337-363-429-485- 487-497-503-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY COOKE FANNIN FOARD GRAYSON HARDEMAN JACK KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS WICHITA Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..04/30/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-300940- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219- 227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441- 445-447-495-501-300940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 195 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 300350Z - 301100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 195 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast New Mexico West Texas * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1050 PM until 600 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to redevelop across the region the remainder of the evening into the overnight, with large hail as the most common hazard. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles south southwest of Hobbs NM to 50 miles north of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Apr 30, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0303 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A cold front will shift southward across the southern US at the start of the extended period, scouring out much of the moisture across the CONUS. An upper level ridge is expected to strengthen across the central US while weak troughing continues in the northeast. This pattern will limit severe potential across the CONUS through the weekend. As a surface high across the Plains strengthens and shifts eastward into the Midwest, return flow from the Gulf will bring moisture back in across the central and southern Plains starting D6/Monday. A trough will strengthen across the western US D5/Sunday before ejecting into the Plains sometime D7/Tuesday into D8/Wednesday. This would likely bring a return to chances for severe storms across some portion of the southern and central Plains. There is uncertainty in how far northward moisture return will reach and where exactly surface features will be during this time period. This precludes the need to include areas at this time. Read more

SPC Apr 30, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0303 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A cold front will shift southward across the southern US at the start of the extended period, scouring out much of the moisture across the CONUS. An upper level ridge is expected to strengthen across the central US while weak troughing continues in the northeast. This pattern will limit severe potential across the CONUS through the weekend. As a surface high across the Plains strengthens and shifts eastward into the Midwest, return flow from the Gulf will bring moisture back in across the central and southern Plains starting D6/Monday. A trough will strengthen across the western US D5/Sunday before ejecting into the Plains sometime D7/Tuesday into D8/Wednesday. This would likely bring a return to chances for severe storms across some portion of the southern and central Plains. There is uncertainty in how far northward moisture return will reach and where exactly surface features will be during this time period. This precludes the need to include areas at this time. Read more

SPC Apr 30, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

4 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0303 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A cold front will shift southward across the southern US at the start of the extended period, scouring out much of the moisture across the CONUS. An upper level ridge is expected to strengthen across the central US while weak troughing continues in the northeast. This pattern will limit severe potential across the CONUS through the weekend. As a surface high across the Plains strengthens and shifts eastward into the Midwest, return flow from the Gulf will bring moisture back in across the central and southern Plains starting D6/Monday. A trough will strengthen across the western US D5/Sunday before ejecting into the Plains sometime D7/Tuesday into D8/Wednesday. This would likely bring a return to chances for severe storms across some portion of the southern and central Plains. There is uncertainty in how far northward moisture return will reach and where exactly surface features will be during this time period. This precludes the need to include areas at this time. Read more
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