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4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO
35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127-
301340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE
YOUNG
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO
35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127-
301340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE
YOUNG
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO
35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127-
301340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE
YOUNG
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO
35 S SPS TO 40 ESE SPS TO 30 WSW ADM TO 25 NW ADM TO 10 S OKC.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-069-077-085-095-099-121-123-127-
301340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
TXC097-147-181-237-277-337-363-429-497-503-301340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO STEPHENS WISE
YOUNG
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 196 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 300555Z - 301300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest and South-Central Oklahoma
Northwest and North-Central Texas
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 1255 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to persist
throughout the night in the vicinity of an outflow boundary that
extends across the region. Hail will be the primary risk with this
more cellular development. There is also some potential for the
storms in west TX to evolve into an organized line segment that
could progress across the region later. Damaging gusts would be the
primary risk with this more linear activity.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south
southwest of Altus OK to 30 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194...WW 195...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Mosier
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0616 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 195...196... FOR NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0616
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0424 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Areas affected...northwest Texas into the Red River Valley and
across southern Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195...196...
Valid 300924Z - 301130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195, 196
continues.
SUMMARY...Damaging winds remain likely over parts of northwest into
northern Texas, including the Red River Valley and into far southern
Oklahoma.
DISCUSSION...The 850 theta-e advection regime persists early this
morning across TX and OK, fueling episodic MCSs. The primary
convective system currently extends from far southwest OK southward
into northwest TX, with strong reflectivity and respectable echo
tops. Severe gusts are likely occurring with this line, as seen in
recent Knox City observation with 69 mph reported. This line of
storms is straddling the east-west stationary front, and extra lift
near this boundary may support strengthening as it moves eastward
this morning.
Isolated storms well north of the boundary into southern OK have
produced gusts in excess of 50 kt as well, despite the more isolated
nature.
..Jewell.. 04/30/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 32190032 32889989 33569959 34019951 34579945 34859940
35279587 35179549 34669528 33969552 33509635 32639841
32190032
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S CDS TO
50 SE CDS TO 50 SSW LTS TO 25 SSW LTS TO 5 NNW LTS TO 10 SW CSM.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-065-067-069-075-085-095-099-
123-127-137-141-301140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS
TILLMAN
TXC009-023-077-097-147-181-237-275-277-337-363-429-485-487-497-
503-301140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK KNOX LAMAR
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S CDS TO
50 SE CDS TO 50 SSW LTS TO 25 SSW LTS TO 5 NNW LTS TO 10 SW CSM.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-065-067-069-075-085-095-099-
123-127-137-141-301140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KIOWA
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS
TILLMAN
TXC009-023-077-097-147-181-237-275-277-337-363-429-485-487-497-
503-301140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK KNOX LAMAR
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO STEPHENS
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-055-057-065-067-069-075-085-
095-099-123-127-137-141-300940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN
TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-237-275-277-337-363-429-485-
487-497-503-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN FOARD
GRAYSON HARDEMAN JACK
KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO STEPHENS WICHITA
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-031-033-049-055-057-065-067-069-075-085-
095-099-123-127-137-141-300940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KIOWA LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS TILLMAN
TXC009-023-077-097-147-155-181-197-237-275-277-337-363-429-485-
487-497-503-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
COOKE FANNIN FOARD
GRAYSON HARDEMAN JACK
KNOX LAMAR MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO STEPHENS WICHITA
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 195 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 300350Z - 301100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 195
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
West Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1050 PM
until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to redevelop
across the region the remainder of the evening into the overnight,
with large hail as the most common hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles south southwest
of Hobbs NM to 50 miles north of Abilene TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Valid 031200Z - 081200Z
...DISCUSSION...
A cold front will shift southward across the southern US at the
start of the extended period, scouring out much of the moisture
across the CONUS. An upper level ridge is expected to strengthen
across the central US while weak troughing continues in the
northeast. This pattern will limit severe potential across the CONUS
through the weekend.
As a surface high across the Plains strengthens and shifts eastward
into the Midwest, return flow from the Gulf will bring moisture back
in across the central and southern Plains starting D6/Monday. A
trough will strengthen across the western US D5/Sunday before
ejecting into the Plains sometime D7/Tuesday into D8/Wednesday. This
would likely bring a return to chances for severe storms across some
portion of the southern and central Plains. There is uncertainty in
how far northward moisture return will reach and where exactly
surface features will be during this time period. This precludes the
need to include areas at this time.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Valid 031200Z - 081200Z
...DISCUSSION...
A cold front will shift southward across the southern US at the
start of the extended period, scouring out much of the moisture
across the CONUS. An upper level ridge is expected to strengthen
across the central US while weak troughing continues in the
northeast. This pattern will limit severe potential across the CONUS
through the weekend.
As a surface high across the Plains strengthens and shifts eastward
into the Midwest, return flow from the Gulf will bring moisture back
in across the central and southern Plains starting D6/Monday. A
trough will strengthen across the western US D5/Sunday before
ejecting into the Plains sometime D7/Tuesday into D8/Wednesday. This
would likely bring a return to chances for severe storms across some
portion of the southern and central Plains. There is uncertainty in
how far northward moisture return will reach and where exactly
surface features will be during this time period. This precludes the
need to include areas at this time.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Valid 031200Z - 081200Z
...DISCUSSION...
A cold front will shift southward across the southern US at the
start of the extended period, scouring out much of the moisture
across the CONUS. An upper level ridge is expected to strengthen
across the central US while weak troughing continues in the
northeast. This pattern will limit severe potential across the CONUS
through the weekend.
As a surface high across the Plains strengthens and shifts eastward
into the Midwest, return flow from the Gulf will bring moisture back
in across the central and southern Plains starting D6/Monday. A
trough will strengthen across the western US D5/Sunday before
ejecting into the Plains sometime D7/Tuesday into D8/Wednesday. This
would likely bring a return to chances for severe storms across some
portion of the southern and central Plains. There is uncertainty in
how far northward moisture return will reach and where exactly
surface features will be during this time period. This precludes the
need to include areas at this time.
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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