Aggregator

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061704
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually increasing in association
with a trough of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development, and a short-lived tropical depression is likely to form
over the weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward
just off the coast of Mexico. Interests in southern and
southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (91E):
A low pressure system located several hundred miles south of
southwestern Mexico is gradually becoming better defined, but the
associated showers and thunderstorms are limited. Gradual
development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system
moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Jelsema

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more