SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z ...Day 3-4/Saturday-Sunday... Elevated mid-level flow ahead of a an upper-level trough moving through the Northern Rockies will linger over the Intermountain West through the weekend. This will interact with a deep and well-mixed boundary layer over the Southwest to bring breezy winds amid low relative humidity amid dry fuels to support an ongoing fire weather threat across the region. A cold front will usher in cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity across much of the Great Basin on Day 4/Sunday, translating fire weather concerns eastward into the greater Four Corners region. Farther west, dry northerly flow in the wake of a cold front still supports a fire weather threat across the California Central Valley on Day 3/Saturday. ...Day 5-6/Monday-Tuesday... An upper-level trough will persist over the western U.S. early next week reinforcing daytime elevated winds across portions of the Upper Colorado River Basin and northern Arizona. Dry and breezy conditions will persist, with dry fuels aiding in increased wildfire spread potential. ...Day 7-8/Wednesday-Thursday... Synoptically driven dry and breezy conditions will wane across the western U.S. as the upper-level trough becomes more diffuse with weak mid and upper-level flow in its wake by midweek. In addition, model guidance consensus suggests moisture beginning to intrude into western New Mexico and southern Arizona as early as Day 5/Monday. Initial surge of moisture could bring a dry thunderstorm threat to the area where fuels are very dry but confidence remains low, precluding introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442 Status Reports

2 months 1 week ago
WW 0442 Status Updates
140- STATUS REPORT ON WW 442 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W HGR TO 25 SSW CXY TO 40 ENE CXY TO 10 WSW AVP. ..WENDT..06/19/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...RNK...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 442 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DEC001-003-005-192140- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX DCC001-192140- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035- 037-039-041-043-045-510-192140- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442 Status Reports

2 months 1 week ago
WW 0442 Status Updates
140- STATUS REPORT ON WW 442 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W HGR TO 25 SSW CXY TO 40 ENE CXY TO 10 WSW AVP. ..WENDT..06/19/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...RNK...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 442 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DEC001-003-005-192140- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX DCC001-192140- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035- 037-039-041-043-045-510-192140- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL Read more