Aggregator

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z The D2 Elevated was expanded further south and west into central Kansas and far north-central Oklahoma. Latest guidance shows high confidence in sustained Elevated conditions in these regions. These areas have not received very little rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with 30 day precipitation totals well below normal. Fuel data indicates fuels in this region have experienced drying as a result and will likely support fire growth. ..Thornton.. 04/10/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Thursday, a deepening cyclone will move into the Great Lakes with significant wetting rain across much of the eastern CONUS. Dry/northerly flow is expected in the Plains. Moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread this region which will support 20 to 25 mph surface winds and relative humidity around 20 percent. Fuels have started to dry across southeast Nebraska and northern Kansas where minimal precipitation has fallen over the past 2 weeks. Therefore elevated fire weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0103 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 103 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC005-031-045-061-067-069-109-102040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBOUR COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON PIKE FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-129-131-133-102040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF HOLMES JACKSON LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-037-061-087-095-099-131-177-201-205-239-243-253-273- 102040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0103 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 103 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC005-031-045-061-067-069-109-102040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBOUR COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON PIKE FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-129-131-133-102040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF HOLMES JACKSON LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-037-061-087-095-099-131-177-201-205-239-243-253-273- 102040- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 103 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW PFN TO 10 NNW PFN TO 25 SW MAI TO TLH. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 103 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 11/01Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0417. ..KERR..04/11/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-045-077-129-133-110100- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GULF LIBERTY WAKULLA WASHINGTON GMZ750-752-110100- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GPT TO 20 SSW PNS TO 20 ENE GZH TO 15 S TOI. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC039-102040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COVINGTON FLC091-113-102040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ634-635-636-650-655-102040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GPT TO 20 SSW PNS TO 20 ENE GZH TO 15 S TOI. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC039-102040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COVINGTON FLC091-113-102040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ634-635-636-650-655-102040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GPT TO 20 SSW PNS TO 20 ENE GZH TO 15 S TOI. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC039-102040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COVINGTON FLC091-113-102040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ634-635-636-650-655-102040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GPT TO 20 SSW PNS TO 20 ENE GZH TO 15 S TOI. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC039-102040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COVINGTON FLC091-113-102040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ634-635-636-650-655-102040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GPT TO 20 SSW PNS TO 20 ENE GZH TO 15 S TOI. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC039-102040- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COVINGTON FLC091-113-102040- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ634-635-636-650-655-102040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY Read more

WW 102 TORNADO AL FL CW 101455Z - 102200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 102 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 955 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 955 AM until 500 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...Conditions will become increasingly favorable for severe storms as tornadoes as additional moistening and destabilization occurs, with storms increasing ahead of a squall line, potentially leading to multiple rounds of severe storms in some areas through mid into late afternoon. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Mobile AL to 35 miles east of Evergreen AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 101... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Guyer Read more

MD 0415 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0415 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1235 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Areas affected...southeast Alabama...southwest Georgia and the Florida Panhandle Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 101735Z - 101900Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Severe potential is expected to increase from the Florida Panhandle northward across far southeast Alabama into southwest Georgia this afternoon. Damaging gusts and tornadoes will be possible as convection develops/spreads east into these areas. DISCUSSION...Stronger surface heating is noted across the MCD area amid diffuse upper clouds and increasing midlevel clouds. While boundary-layer dewpoints are modest in the low to mid 60s F, some minor increases in moisture also are possible over the next few hours. This should result in modest destabilization amid strong deep-layer shear as the bow echo currently near Mobile Bay continues to shift east this afternoon. With time, low-level shear is expected to increase. This will result in more favorable/enlarged low-level hodographs supporting tornadoes, in addition to damaging wind potential, both along the apex of the bow and with any cells ahead of/merging into the bow. A tornado watch will likely be needed within the hour across portions of the MCD area. ..Leitman/Guyer.. 04/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 31978622 31948499 31778405 30998397 30168415 29498442 29458510 29648564 29998643 31978622 Read more

WW 0102 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW MOB TO 30 WSW PNS TO 15 WSW GZH TO 15 NW TOI. ..LEITMAN..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 102 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC013-035-039-041-053-101940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUTLER CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA FLC033-091-113-101940- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA GMZ633-634-635-636-650-655-101940- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE PERDIDO BAY AREA Read more

WW 0103 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0103 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more