Aggregator

WW 353 SEVERE TSTM TX 301950Z - 310200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 353 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 250 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of North-Central and East Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms should continue to develop and organize through the afternoon, as they generally move east-southeastward across the region. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Stephenville TX to 40 miles south southeast of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0352 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..05/31/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC009-021-037-041-059-310140- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CURRY HARDING QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION OKC025-139-310140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TEXAS TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-087-107-111-117-125-129-153-169-179- 189-191-195-205-211-219-233-263-279-295-303-305-341-345-357-359- 369-375-381-393-421-437-445-483-501-310140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302351
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu May 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
west of the coast of Central America is associated with a tropical
wave and accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible through the
weekend and early next week while it moves slowly westward well to
the south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

MD 1085 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 354... FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN AND TRANS-PECOS
Mesoscale Discussion 1085 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 Areas affected...The Permian Basin and Trans-Pecos Concerning...Tornado Watch 354... Valid 302338Z - 310115Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 354 continues. SUMMARY...A tornado, very large hail, and severe damaging wind threat continues across the tornado watch. DISCUSSION...Two confirmed tornadoes were recently reported very close to MAF and briefly Denver City, in addition to very large hail. The supercell near MAF continues to interact with the same outflow boundary, and remains in a favorable environment for additional tornadogensis cycles. The KMAF VAD indicated 0-1 km SRH around 250-350 m2/s2 when the tornado occurred, and recent mesoanalysis suggests a broad area within southeasterly surface flow just behind the modified outflow boundary of 150-200 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH. In addition, steep mid-level lapse rates are contributing large CAPE within the hail growth zone as depicted in local RAP soundings. Increasing low-level shear and moisture advection will continue through the evening hours as a LLJ slowly intensifies. A discrete storm mode is expected to continue (deep layer effective shear 55-60 kt normal to forcing) before mergers occur late this evening. ..Barnes.. 05/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 29800233 30020259 30360271 31090242 32320313 32770316 33070308 33100269 33070205 32840167 32290142 31700128 31030111 30620104 30030120 29750130 29770185 29800233 Read more

WW 0353 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 353 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N BWD TO 45 N CLL TO 30 NNW SHV. ..DEAN..05/30/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC005-027-041-051-073-093-099-145-193-225-281-289-313-331-333- 347-395-401-455-310040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA BELL BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL FALLS HAMILTON HOUSTON LAMPASAS LEON MADISON MILAM MILLS NACOGDOCHES ROBERTSON RUSK TRINITY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 353 SEVERE TSTM TX 301950Z - 310200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 353 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 250 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of North-Central and East Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms should continue to develop and organize through the afternoon, as they generally move east-southeastward across the region. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Stephenville TX to 40 miles south southeast of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Guyer Read more

789
ABPZ20 KNHC 302335
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu May 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
west of the coast of Central America is associated with a tropical
wave and accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible through the weekend
and early next week while it moves slowly westward well to the
south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

MD 1084 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR THE HIGH PLAINS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1084 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0541 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 Areas affected...The High Plains of southeast Colorado and southwestern Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 302241Z - 302345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms, including one or two transient supercells, may develop over the next 1-2 hours across portions of southeast CO and southwest KS. Large hail near 1.25-2.00" in diameter, wind gusts up to 65 mph, and a landspout or two will be possible. DISCUSSION...A couple of relatively robust thunderstorms have developed this afternoon in the lee of the Rockies near PUB, and along an outflow boundary and surface low intersection across far southwest KS. Additional towering CU are also beginning to develop east of PUB. Daytime heating and cooler mid-level temperatures aloft/steep mid-level lapse, combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s, have contributed to moderate MLCAPE around 1500-2500 J/kg. Although weaker mid to upper-level flow is only yielding around 25-30 kt of deep layer effective shear, a slow increase is anticipated through this evening. This environment could support transient supercells with a threat of large hail and localized severe wind gusts. In addition, enhanced surface vorticity combined with modest low-level cape may present an opportunity for a landspout tornado or two. However, limited thunderstorm coverage may preclude the need for a WW at this time. ..Barnes/Hart.. 05/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ... LAT...LON 36990338 37520403 38310472 38610472 38870408 39870274 39970195 39870098 38500031 38200021 37480020 37020001 36960332 36990338 Read more

WW 0354 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 354 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..05/30/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 354 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-310040- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-081-103-105-115-135-165-173-227-235-317-329-335-371- 383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-475-495-310040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN COKE CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON VAL VERDE WARD WINKLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 354 TORNADO NM TX 302030Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 354 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Far Southeast New Mexico West/Southwest Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms including supercells will develop across the region through late afternoon and early evening, including near a dryline as well as an outflow boundary, near where the greatest concern for a tornado risk exists. Large hail and severe-caliber wind gusts can otherwise be expected through the evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles south southwest of Wink TX to 10 miles east southeast of San Angelo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...WW 353... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0352 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..05/30/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC009-021-037-041-059-310040- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CURRY HARDING QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION OKC025-139-310040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TEXAS TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-107-111-117-125-129-153-169-179-189- 191-195-205-219-233-263-279-303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-381- 393-421-437-445-501-310040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN Read more

WW 352 SEVERE TSTM NM OK TX 301925Z - 310300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 352 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern New Mexico Oklahoma Panhandle Texas Panhandle and South Plains * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms will continue to develop initially across northeast New Mexico and the western Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles, with additional development through late afternoon southward along the dryline. Large hail and locally damaging winds are the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of Clayton NM to 50 miles south of Lubbock TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0355 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 355 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..05/30/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 355 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-017-031-069-081-085-119-310040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO DE SOTO NATCHITOCHES RED RIVER SABINE WEBSTER TXC203-365-403-405-419-310040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HARRISON PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 355 SEVERE TSTM LA TX 302235Z - 310300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 355 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 535 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Louisiana Northeast Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 535 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms over northeast Texas will track eastward across the watch area this evening, posing a risk of locally damaging winds and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles southwest of Shreveport LA to 15 miles north northeast of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...WW 353...WW 354... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Hart Read more

MD 1083 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EAST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1083 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0503 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 Areas affected...Portions of Central/East TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353... Valid 302203Z - 302330Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353 continues. SUMMARY...Severe threat will spread across southern and eastern portions of ww353 over the next several hours. DISCUSSION...Leading edge of long-lived MCS has progressed across north-central TX and now arcs from the northeast corner of the watch into McLennan County in central TX. Numerous updrafts along this corridor are likely producing hail to near 1 inch along with gusty winds. This activity will continue advancing southeast into an air mass weakly inhibited and amply buoyant for sustaining strong/severe convection. ..Darrow.. 05/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 30839848 32269849 32569446 31119444 30839848 Read more

MD 1082 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR ARKLATEX REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 1082 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0439 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024 Areas affected...Arklatex Region Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 302139Z - 302315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Convection will spread across the Arklatex region over the next few hours. Gusty winds along with marginally severe hail are expected. Some consideration is being given to a new watch immediately downstream of ww0353. DISCUSSION...Remnants of pre-dawn MCS that developed over the southern High Plains have propagated downstream into the Arklatex region. Diurnal heating and weak inhibition have contributed to renewed development along the leading edge of this long-lived MCS. Surface temperatures have warmed into the lower 80s ahead of this activity across northern LA/southern AR which is contributing to MLCAPE on the order of 1500-2000 J/kg within a modestly sheared environment. Additionally, latest water-vapor imagery/model guidance suggest a weak short-wave trough is associated with this convection which should encourage further advancement downstream into an air mass that will support robust updrafts. Current thinking is marginally severe hail is possible along with gusty winds. Some consideration is being given to a new watch immediately downstream of ww0353. ..Darrow/Hart.. 05/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV... LAT...LON 32779466 33179319 32719260 32209309 32199456 32779466 Read more

WW 0354 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 354 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..05/30/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 354 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-302340- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-081-103-105-115-135-165-173-227-235-317-329-335-371- 383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-475-495-302340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN COKE CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON VAL VERDE WARD WINKLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0352 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..05/30/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC009-021-037-041-059-302340- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CURRY HARDING QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION OKC025-139-302340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TEXAS TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-107-111-117-125-129-153-169-179-189- 191-195-205-219-233-263-279-303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-381- 393-421-437-445-501-302340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN Read more

WW 0353 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 353 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE BWD TO ACT TO 40 SSW TXK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1083 ..DEAN..05/30/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-005-027-041-051-073-093-099-145-161-183-193-225-281-289- 293-309-313-331-333-347-395-401-423-455-459-302340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL BRAZOS BURLESON CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL FALLS FREESTONE GREGG HAMILTON HOUSTON LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MILLS NACOGDOCHES ROBERTSON RUSK SMITH TRINITY UPSHUR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0355 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0355 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more