SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather concern across parts of the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. The gradual breakdown of the Four Corners ridge will not only continue to promote thunderstorm chances, but will also mute surface pressure-gradient winds across the region. A gradual moistening trend noted in recent upper-air and satellite observations is forecast to continue into Tuesday across the Great Basin and central Rockies with PWAT values above 0.75 inch becoming more common. Recent forecast soundings and ensemble QPF solutions suggest that moistening will be greatest from AZ/NM into CO, WY, and perhaps parts of ID. Areas west of this axis will continue to see PWAT values around or below 0.75 inch and the potential for dry thunderstorms. In the absence of wetting rainfall over the next 24 hours, fuels across this region should remain receptive as thunderstorms initiate Tuesday afternoon. In addition to the potential for new fire starts from dry lightning, outflow winds from decaying thunderstorms will continue to pose a localized fire weather concern for ongoing fires across the region. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a fire weather threat. ..Moore.. 07/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more