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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z No updates to the forecast. See previous discussion. ..Halbert/Lyons.. 07/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... Northwesterly mid-level flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest into the central and northern Rockies as a 40-50 kt mid-level jet maximum pivots around an anticyclone, centered just off of the California coastline tomorrow (Thursday). Deep-layer north-northwesterly flow will overspread the central California Valley region through the day, promoting Elevated conditions for wildfire spread, particularly in the San Joaquin Valley. By afternoon, at least a few hours will exist where 15 mph sustained northerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread. Portions of the Great Basin into the central Rockies will also see widespread dry conditions (i.e. 10-15 percent RH) amid negligible rainfall, so fuels should continue to cure. Latest guidance consensus suggests that large-scale surface wind fields are too weak to support Elevated highlights this outlook. However, at least localized wildfire-spread conditions will exist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0501 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0501 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0501 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0501 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

No watches are valid as of Wed Jul 3 18:05:01 UTC 2024.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031732
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of
Mexico have become a little better organized this morning.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some further
development of this system during the next day or so, and a
short-lived tropical depression could form during that time. On
Friday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and
development after that time is not expected. The disturbance is
forecast to move northward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph,
remaining offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown