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WW 502 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 032130Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 502 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado Western Kansas Southwest Nebraska * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing over eastern Colorado will spread eastward this evening into western Kansas. Locally damaging wind gusts are expected to be the main threat with these storms. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Mccook NE to 20 miles south of Springfield CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 501... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0501 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 501 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW AKO TO 30 SSE SNY TO 20 NE CDR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1525 ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC039-073-095-115-121-040040- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELBERT LINCOLN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON NEC005-009-015-017-029-031-041-049-063-069-071-075-085-089-091- 101-103-111-113-115-117-135-149-161-171-183-040040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD BROWN CHASE CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN GARFIELD GRANT HAYES HOLT HOOKER KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS ROCK SHERIDAN Read more

WW 501 SEVERE TSTM CO NE 031840Z - 040100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 501 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado The Nebraska Panhandle into Central Nebraska * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM until 700 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will initially pose a threat for large hail this afternoon. Some of the hail may be very large, with isolated hailstones up to 2-3 inches in diameter. Otherwise, severe/damaging winds around 60-75 mph should become an increasing concern late this afternoon and evening as thunderstorms potentially form into a small bowing cluster. A tornado or two also appears possible, mainly across north-central Nebraska. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles west northwest of Valentine NE to 15 miles west southwest of Imperial NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

MD 1525 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 501...502... FOR EAST-CENTRAL CO INTO FAR NORTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1525 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0528 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Areas affected...east-central CO into far northwest KS Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501...502... Valid 032228Z - 032330Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501, 502 continues. SUMMARY...The greatest risk for significant severe hail between 2-2.5 inches is anticipated through about 7 PM MDT over east-central Colorado near the I-70 corridor. An increase in severe wind potential is expected towards the northwest Kansas border. DISCUSSION...A pair of slow-moving supercells between Denver and Limon will have the greatest potential to produce large hail beyond 2 inches over the next 2-3 hours. These storms will move towards the peak buoyancy plume characterized by MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg along the CO/KS border area. With favorable westerly speed shear above 2 km AGL per the FTG/PUX VWP data, in conjunction with a modest increase in low-level south-southeasterly flow in the next few hours, intensification of these supercells is plausible. This will also include a risk for increasing severe wind gusts, as persistently indicated by recent WoFS guidance. ..Grams.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU... LAT...LON 39830361 39980274 39970215 39660166 39120175 38850206 38660292 38850368 39380403 39830361 Read more

Crop damage in the eastern Carolinas was irreversible for some crops. The director of the North Carolina Farm Service Agency stated that the corn crop may not be much. Some soybeans have died, and sweet potatoes were struggling. The tobacco was affected by the dry conditions, but it was not yet clear how the quality would be affected. SFN Today (Raleigh, N.C.), July 3, 2024

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 032306
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of
Mexico continue to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some further development of this
system during the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical
depression could form during that time. On Friday, the system is
forecast to move over cooler waters and development after that time
is not expected. The disturbance is forecast to move northward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium....60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi

WW 0504 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0504 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 504 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 032305Z - 040500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 504 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of North Central Kansas Central Nebraska * Effective this Wednesday night from 605 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of strong/severe storms over central Nebraska will track eastward through the evening, posing a risk of occasionally damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of Oneill NE to 15 miles east southeast of Hill City KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 501...WW 502...WW 503... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

MD 1524 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 501... FOR PARTS OF NE...FAR NORTHEAST CO...FAR SOUTHEAST SD
Mesoscale Discussion 1524 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0432 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Areas affected...parts of NE...far northeast CO...far southeast SD Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501... Valid 032132Z - 032300Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501 continues. SUMMARY...A mixed severe hail/wind threat may transition to a predominant strong to severe wind threat as storms further congeal from far northeast Colorado into north-central Nebraska. A downstream watch issuance may be needed as storms approach the east edge of WW 501. DISCUSSION...Initial supercells that produced large hail have largely congealed, especially with southwest extent across parts of north-central to southwest NE. The northern portion of this activity, embedded within slightly stronger mid-level flow will probably exit WW 501 first across parts of northeast NE into far southeast SD. While this activity will progressively move away from the peak buoyancy plume centered on the CO/KS border area, presence of a quasi-stationary front may aid in sustaining strong to isolated severe storms. Farther southwest, severe wind gust potential may increase as clusters further consolidate near the CO/KS/NE border area. These will probably merge with an agitated cu field over southwest NE and yield an increasing wind threat later into south-central NE. ..Grams/Hart.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 42859971 43059857 42959699 42649647 42289640 40979848 40529969 40410212 40670295 41350246 42859971 Read more

MD 1523 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1523 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Areas affected...eastern Colorado into western Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 032057Z - 032300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms capable of large hail and damaging wind to continue through the evening. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed across eastern Colorado this afternoon along a lee trough located in the central high Plains, with additional development expected through the rest of the afternoon and evening. Ahead of this activity, portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas have destabilized with daytime heating. MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg is observed in mesoanalysis amid deep layer shear of 40-50 kts. Storm mode will initially favor supercells with potential for large hail, damaging wind, and perhaps a tornado. Through the evening, cells may attempt to merge along outflow with risk of damaging wind increasing. A watch may be needed in the next couple of hours. ..Thornton/Gleason.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 39710420 40370325 40220041 39299951 38429955 37540002 37190043 37040084 37090232 37090373 37330419 37960422 39710420 Read more

The Fauquier County Water and Sanitation Authority implemented mandatory outdoor water restrictions for all customers. Drought conditions, heat and excessive outdoor watering have strained water supplies. Lawn watering with a sprinkler or irrigation system was prohibited. FauquierNow (Warrenton, Va.), July 3, 2024

WW 0503 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 503 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 503 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS SDC007-033-047-071-102-103-032340- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT CUSTER FALL RIVER JACKSON OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0502 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 502 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 502 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-071-089-099-125-032340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS YUMA KSC023-039-055-063-065-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-137-153- 171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-032340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY GOVE GRAHAM GRANT GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY LANE LOGAN MORTON NORTON RAWLINS SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA Read more

WW 0501 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 501 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE CYS TO 30 SSW AIA TO 20 NE CDR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1524 ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC039-073-075-095-115-121-032340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELBERT LINCOLN LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON NEC005-009-017-029-031-033-041-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-103- 111-113-115-117-135-149-161-171-032340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE CUSTER DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT HAYES HOOKER KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS ROCK SHERIDAN THOMAS Read more

WW 0503 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0503 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 1522 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR FAR EASTERN WYOMING INTO WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1522 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0240 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Areas affected...far eastern Wyoming into western South Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 031940Z - 032145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development will continue into the evening with potential for damaging wind and large hail. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity has been ongoing across portions of eastern Wyoming into western South Dakota this afternoon. A recent 18z sounding from UNR shows meager instability with MLCAPE < 250 J/kg and MUCAPE around 500 J/kg. Low-level moisture is also meager, with dew points generally in the mid 40s to 50s. Despite meager moisture, ample deep layer shear around 40-45 kts remains in place across eastern Wyoming into western South Dakota. Instability does increase near the Nebraska border south of the surface boundary. In this region, transient elevated supercells have been ongoing. Confidence in a sustained severe threat remains uncertain, given generally poor thermodynamics. This area will be monitored for trends and potential for watch issuance should additional storms intensify. ..Thornton/Gleason.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...UNR...CYS... LAT...LON 43530431 43640498 44190578 44550589 44960575 44990502 44820276 43929961 43329975 43079972 43000097 43030276 43070311 43420366 43530431 Read more

WW 0502 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0502 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

The City of Saluda issued a Stage 1 water shortage advisory on July 3, current conditions could lead to a shortage. The public was encouraged to voluntarily curb their water use and increase water use efficiency. WLOS (Asheville, N.C.), July 3, 2024

The Augusta County Sheriff’s Office issued a warning about using fireworks during the drought, with projectile-type fireworks to be avoided. Some of the illegal fireworks included firecrackers, skyrockets, torpedoes, and fireworks that explode, travel laterally, rise into the air, or fire projectiles. Open burning was also prohibited. The News Leader (Staunton, Va.), July 3, 2024

WW 0501 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 501 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE CYS TO 25 SSW AIA TO 20 NE CDR. ..MOORE..07/03/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC075-095-115-032240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK NEC005-009-017-029-031-033-041-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-103- 111-113-115-117-135-149-161-171-032240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE CUSTER DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT HAYES HOOKER KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS ROCK SHERIDAN THOMAS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more