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Bears have been more of a problem than usual in La Plata County this summer because the area was in drought, which reduced the amount of natural food available for the bruins, so they wandered into inhabited areas in search of food. Experts also note a mix of environmental factors, inefficient bear-management plans, funding cuts and uninformed residents and visitors as reasons for the increase. The Cortez Journal (Colo.), Aug 28, 2025

The lowest section of Lolo Creek between U.S. Highway 93 and the confluence with the Bitterroot River has gone dry, killing hundreds of fish. Beaver dams were the only places where fish and frogs were still able to live. Minks and other animals were feasting on brown trout, rainbow trout, whitefish, and crayfish. Missoula Current (Mont.), Aug 28, 2025

Stage 1 fire restrictions took effect for the Medicine Bow National Forest and Thunder Basin National Grassland on Aug. 22 due to hot, dry conditions and heightened wildfire danger. News Letter Journal (Newcastle, Wyo.), Aug 28, 2025

Corn in Pickaway County was stressed from the lack of rain. Kernels did not develop to the end of the ears. Soybeans that were planted a bit late were short. WSYX-TV (Columbus, Ohio), Aug 27, 2025

Fields in Casey County that normally produce 1,500 bales of hay have made just 500 this year after recent weeks have been quite dry. The farmer began feeding his cattle hay two months early as the pasture was not growing well. The corn wasn’t thriving either. WDKY FOX56 TV (Lexington, Ky.), Aug 28, 2025

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 28 Aug 2025 02:39:11 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 28 Aug 2025 02:39:11 GMT

Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 280238 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 Satellite imagery shows that Juliette’s low-level circulation is now fully exposed southwest of a diminishing area of convection, which has been fading quickly under persistent southwesterly shear and a dry mid- to upper-level environment. A 1719 UTC ASCAT-C pass indicated peak winds near 40 kt, consistent with the latest objective and subjective intensity estimates, so the initial intensity is held at 40 kt for this advisory. Further weakening is anticipated as Juliette remains embedded in increasing shear, cool waters, and a stable, dry environment. The system is expected to transition into a remnant low late Thursday and dissipate within a couple of days. Juliette is moving north-northwestward, or 330/8 kt, into a weakness in the subtropical ridge. The forecast track has been nudged slightly to the left of the previous advisory and lies close to the consensus aids. As Juliette degenerates into a shallow system, most of the global models indicate the remnant low will gradually bend leftward while becoming steered primarily by the low-level flow by the weekend. Global models also suggest that residual mid- to upper-level moisture associated with Juliette will lift northeastward over portions of northwestern Mexico and the southwestern United States, potentially increasing rainfall chances. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/0300Z 24.6N 120.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 28/1200Z 25.9N 121.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 29/0000Z 26.9N 121.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 29/1200Z 27.3N 121.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2025 104 FOPZ15 KNHC 280237 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2025 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 097 WTPZ35 KNHC 280237 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Juliette Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102025 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025 ...JULIETTE GRADUALLY WEAKENING OVER COOLER WATERS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 120.7W ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Juliette was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 120.7 West. Juliette is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn to the north and a reduction in forward speed is expected over next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Juliette is expected to degenerate into a remnant low late Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

...JULIETTE GRADUALLY WEAKENING OVER COOLER WATERS... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 the center of Juliette was located near 24.6, -120.7 with movement NNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2025 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 280236 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102025 0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 120.7W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 4 M SEAS.... 75NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 120.7W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 120.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.9N 121.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.9N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.3N 121.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 120.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)

No watches are valid as of Thu Aug 28 02:15:02 UTC 2025.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Aug 28 02:15:02 UTC 2025.

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible across parts of the central High Plains early this evening. ...01z Update... Scattered convection persists across much of the western United States early this evening, primarily driven by strong boundary-layer heating. Much of this activity will gradually weaken as the evening progresses. A corridor of modest instability persists across the central High Plains and a few small clusters are noted across eastern Colorado into southwest Kansas. Weak low-level warm advection will maintain this activity into the mid-evening hours, with some upscale growth possible downstream later tonight as LLJ strengthens. Even so, most of this convection should remain sub-severe. ..Darrow.. 08/28/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible across parts of the central High Plains early this evening. ...01z Update... Scattered convection persists across much of the western United States early this evening, primarily driven by strong boundary-layer heating. Much of this activity will gradually weaken as the evening progresses. A corridor of modest instability persists across the central High Plains and a few small clusters are noted across eastern Colorado into southwest Kansas. Weak low-level warm advection will maintain this activity into the mid-evening hours, with some upscale growth possible downstream later tonight as LLJ strengthens. Even so, most of this convection should remain sub-severe. ..Darrow.. 08/28/2025 Read more