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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...Day 1 Update... Minor modifications were made to Elevated highlights across New Mexico. Southeast surface winds are expected to persist today across southeastern New Mexico, inhibiting drier downslope flow off the Sacramento Mountains from mixing out the shallow moist layer in place. A very dry boundary layer across the Southwest combined with increasing southwest winds is still expected to bring elevated fire weather conditions to far eastern Arizona and western New Mexico where dry fuels/drought remains. ..Williams/Weinman.. 04/25/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025/ ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...Day 1 Update... Minor modifications were made to Elevated highlights across New Mexico. Southeast surface winds are expected to persist today across southeastern New Mexico, inhibiting drier downslope flow off the Sacramento Mountains from mixing out the shallow moist layer in place. A very dry boundary layer across the Southwest combined with increasing southwest winds is still expected to bring elevated fire weather conditions to far eastern Arizona and western New Mexico where dry fuels/drought remains. ..Williams/Weinman.. 04/25/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025/ ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...Day 1 Update... Minor modifications were made to Elevated highlights across New Mexico. Southeast surface winds are expected to persist today across southeastern New Mexico, inhibiting drier downslope flow off the Sacramento Mountains from mixing out the shallow moist layer in place. A very dry boundary layer across the Southwest combined with increasing southwest winds is still expected to bring elevated fire weather conditions to far eastern Arizona and western New Mexico where dry fuels/drought remains. ..Williams/Weinman.. 04/25/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025/ ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...Day 1 Update... Minor modifications were made to Elevated highlights across New Mexico. Southeast surface winds are expected to persist today across southeastern New Mexico, inhibiting drier downslope flow off the Sacramento Mountains from mixing out the shallow moist layer in place. A very dry boundary layer across the Southwest combined with increasing southwest winds is still expected to bring elevated fire weather conditions to far eastern Arizona and western New Mexico where dry fuels/drought remains. ..Williams/Weinman.. 04/25/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025/ ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...Day 1 Update... Minor modifications were made to Elevated highlights across New Mexico. Southeast surface winds are expected to persist today across southeastern New Mexico, inhibiting drier downslope flow off the Sacramento Mountains from mixing out the shallow moist layer in place. A very dry boundary layer across the Southwest combined with increasing southwest winds is still expected to bring elevated fire weather conditions to far eastern Arizona and western New Mexico where dry fuels/drought remains. ..Williams/Weinman.. 04/25/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025/ ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...Day 1 Update... Minor modifications were made to Elevated highlights across New Mexico. Southeast surface winds are expected to persist today across southeastern New Mexico, inhibiting drier downslope flow off the Sacramento Mountains from mixing out the shallow moist layer in place. A very dry boundary layer across the Southwest combined with increasing southwest winds is still expected to bring elevated fire weather conditions to far eastern Arizona and western New Mexico where dry fuels/drought remains. ..Williams/Weinman.. 04/25/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1244 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025/ ...Synopsis... As a mid-level trough approaches the U.S. west coast, and associated southwest flow overspreads the Four Corners into the Great Basin, dry and windy conditions are forecast across much of the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains. ...Central New Mexico into Far Eastern Arizona... Relative humidity of 10-20% and 15-20 MPH winds are expected across much of central and western New Mexico into eastern Arizona this afternoon into the early evening, where current fuels guidance has ERCs at or exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles. Some locally Critical conditions may exist where local topography provides an enhancement of surface winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more