Aggregator

WW 176 TORNADO AR OK TX 262145Z - 270300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 176 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 445 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Arkansas Southeast Oklahoma Far Northeast Texas * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Environment will remain sufficiently favorable for some supercell storms through at least early evening across the region, which includes some tornado potential. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles south southwest of Mcalester OK to 40 miles south of Hot Springs AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 175... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0177 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0177 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0176 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 176 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/26/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 176 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC019-027-057-061-073-081-091-097-099-103-109-113-127-133- 262340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC005-023-029-077-079-089-121-127-262340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA CHOCTAW COAL LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA TXC037-387-262340- TX Read more

WW 0175 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 175 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/26/25 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 175 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC005-009-011-015-019-025-037-041-047-262340- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES CURRY DE BACA EDDY GUADALUPE LEA QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL TXC003-165-262340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS GAINES THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Apr 26 21:58:07 UTC 2025.

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day 5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day 5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and southern extent of cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest. ...Far Northern Plains... Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term. ...Florida Peninsula... A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more opportunities for precipitation late week. ..Williams.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more