SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 177 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0177 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 177 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/27/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 177 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC103-135-301-329-371-389-461-475-495-270240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRANE ECTOR LOVING MIDLAND PECOS REEVES UPTON WARD WINKLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 176 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0176 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 176 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N SHV TO 15 E TXK TO 20 NNE DEQ TO 10 ESE FSM. ..HALBERT..04/27/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 176 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC019-027-057-061-073-097-099-103-109-113-127-270240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LAFAYETTE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE POLK SCOTT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into west/central TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from east-central NM into the TX Permian Basin region, near and to the south of a remnant outflow boundary that earlier moved into the region from the east. MLCINH will increase through the evening across the region, and the eastward advance of the NM storms may be limited by a less unstable and increasingly capped airmass to the cool side of the remnant outflow. However, a modest increase in low-level flow through the evening may help to maintain a couple of these supercells, which will tend to propagate southeastward along the instability gradient. Backed low-level flow and modestly enlarged hodographs may continue to support tornado potential with these cells for as long as they persist and remain surface-based. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain a threat with the strongest storms. Farther east, an isolated strong storm or two may yet develop within a persistent cumulus field across parts of central TX. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear could support at least briefly organized storms if initiation occurs, with a threat of isolated hail and strong gusts. ...Western/central AR and vicinity... Moderate instability and modestly enhanced midlevel flow attendant to an MCV over eastern OK have supported occasional supercell structures early this evening from western AR into the ArkLaTex region. A few stronger cells may persist through dusk, accompanied by a threat of hail, isolated damaging wind, and possibly a tornado or two. A gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening after the onset of nocturnal cooling, though relatively rich low-level moisture may delay this process somewhat and allow for some severe threat to spread into parts of central AR with time. ...Parts of the Carolinas/southeast VA... Widely scattered storms are ongoing this evening from the eastern Carolinas into southeast VA, along/ahead of a cold front. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support occasionally strong storms with potential for locally gusty/damaging winds, before storms weaken later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/27/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into west/central TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from east-central NM into the TX Permian Basin region, near and to the south of a remnant outflow boundary that earlier moved into the region from the east. MLCINH will increase through the evening across the region, and the eastward advance of the NM storms may be limited by a less unstable and increasingly capped airmass to the cool side of the remnant outflow. However, a modest increase in low-level flow through the evening may help to maintain a couple of these supercells, which will tend to propagate southeastward along the instability gradient. Backed low-level flow and modestly enlarged hodographs may continue to support tornado potential with these cells for as long as they persist and remain surface-based. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain a threat with the strongest storms. Farther east, an isolated strong storm or two may yet develop within a persistent cumulus field across parts of central TX. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear could support at least briefly organized storms if initiation occurs, with a threat of isolated hail and strong gusts. ...Western/central AR and vicinity... Moderate instability and modestly enhanced midlevel flow attendant to an MCV over eastern OK have supported occasional supercell structures early this evening from western AR into the ArkLaTex region. A few stronger cells may persist through dusk, accompanied by a threat of hail, isolated damaging wind, and possibly a tornado or two. A gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening after the onset of nocturnal cooling, though relatively rich low-level moisture may delay this process somewhat and allow for some severe threat to spread into parts of central AR with time. ...Parts of the Carolinas/southeast VA... Widely scattered storms are ongoing this evening from the eastern Carolinas into southeast VA, along/ahead of a cold front. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support occasionally strong storms with potential for locally gusty/damaging winds, before storms weaken later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/27/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into west/central TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from east-central NM into the TX Permian Basin region, near and to the south of a remnant outflow boundary that earlier moved into the region from the east. MLCINH will increase through the evening across the region, and the eastward advance of the NM storms may be limited by a less unstable and increasingly capped airmass to the cool side of the remnant outflow. However, a modest increase in low-level flow through the evening may help to maintain a couple of these supercells, which will tend to propagate southeastward along the instability gradient. Backed low-level flow and modestly enlarged hodographs may continue to support tornado potential with these cells for as long as they persist and remain surface-based. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain a threat with the strongest storms. Farther east, an isolated strong storm or two may yet develop within a persistent cumulus field across parts of central TX. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear could support at least briefly organized storms if initiation occurs, with a threat of isolated hail and strong gusts. ...Western/central AR and vicinity... Moderate instability and modestly enhanced midlevel flow attendant to an MCV over eastern OK have supported occasional supercell structures early this evening from western AR into the ArkLaTex region. A few stronger cells may persist through dusk, accompanied by a threat of hail, isolated damaging wind, and possibly a tornado or two. A gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening after the onset of nocturnal cooling, though relatively rich low-level moisture may delay this process somewhat and allow for some severe threat to spread into parts of central AR with time. ...Parts of the Carolinas/southeast VA... Widely scattered storms are ongoing this evening from the eastern Carolinas into southeast VA, along/ahead of a cold front. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support occasionally strong storms with potential for locally gusty/damaging winds, before storms weaken later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/27/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into west/central TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from east-central NM into the TX Permian Basin region, near and to the south of a remnant outflow boundary that earlier moved into the region from the east. MLCINH will increase through the evening across the region, and the eastward advance of the NM storms may be limited by a less unstable and increasingly capped airmass to the cool side of the remnant outflow. However, a modest increase in low-level flow through the evening may help to maintain a couple of these supercells, which will tend to propagate southeastward along the instability gradient. Backed low-level flow and modestly enlarged hodographs may continue to support tornado potential with these cells for as long as they persist and remain surface-based. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain a threat with the strongest storms. Farther east, an isolated strong storm or two may yet develop within a persistent cumulus field across parts of central TX. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear could support at least briefly organized storms if initiation occurs, with a threat of isolated hail and strong gusts. ...Western/central AR and vicinity... Moderate instability and modestly enhanced midlevel flow attendant to an MCV over eastern OK have supported occasional supercell structures early this evening from western AR into the ArkLaTex region. A few stronger cells may persist through dusk, accompanied by a threat of hail, isolated damaging wind, and possibly a tornado or two. A gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening after the onset of nocturnal cooling, though relatively rich low-level moisture may delay this process somewhat and allow for some severe threat to spread into parts of central AR with time. ...Parts of the Carolinas/southeast VA... Widely scattered storms are ongoing this evening from the eastern Carolinas into southeast VA, along/ahead of a cold front. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support occasionally strong storms with potential for locally gusty/damaging winds, before storms weaken later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/27/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into west/central TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from east-central NM into the TX Permian Basin region, near and to the south of a remnant outflow boundary that earlier moved into the region from the east. MLCINH will increase through the evening across the region, and the eastward advance of the NM storms may be limited by a less unstable and increasingly capped airmass to the cool side of the remnant outflow. However, a modest increase in low-level flow through the evening may help to maintain a couple of these supercells, which will tend to propagate southeastward along the instability gradient. Backed low-level flow and modestly enlarged hodographs may continue to support tornado potential with these cells for as long as they persist and remain surface-based. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain a threat with the strongest storms. Farther east, an isolated strong storm or two may yet develop within a persistent cumulus field across parts of central TX. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear could support at least briefly organized storms if initiation occurs, with a threat of isolated hail and strong gusts. ...Western/central AR and vicinity... Moderate instability and modestly enhanced midlevel flow attendant to an MCV over eastern OK have supported occasional supercell structures early this evening from western AR into the ArkLaTex region. A few stronger cells may persist through dusk, accompanied by a threat of hail, isolated damaging wind, and possibly a tornado or two. A gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening after the onset of nocturnal cooling, though relatively rich low-level moisture may delay this process somewhat and allow for some severe threat to spread into parts of central AR with time. ...Parts of the Carolinas/southeast VA... Widely scattered storms are ongoing this evening from the eastern Carolinas into southeast VA, along/ahead of a cold front. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support occasionally strong storms with potential for locally gusty/damaging winds, before storms weaken later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/27/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into west/central TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from east-central NM into the TX Permian Basin region, near and to the south of a remnant outflow boundary that earlier moved into the region from the east. MLCINH will increase through the evening across the region, and the eastward advance of the NM storms may be limited by a less unstable and increasingly capped airmass to the cool side of the remnant outflow. However, a modest increase in low-level flow through the evening may help to maintain a couple of these supercells, which will tend to propagate southeastward along the instability gradient. Backed low-level flow and modestly enlarged hodographs may continue to support tornado potential with these cells for as long as they persist and remain surface-based. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain a threat with the strongest storms. Farther east, an isolated strong storm or two may yet develop within a persistent cumulus field across parts of central TX. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear could support at least briefly organized storms if initiation occurs, with a threat of isolated hail and strong gusts. ...Western/central AR and vicinity... Moderate instability and modestly enhanced midlevel flow attendant to an MCV over eastern OK have supported occasional supercell structures early this evening from western AR into the ArkLaTex region. A few stronger cells may persist through dusk, accompanied by a threat of hail, isolated damaging wind, and possibly a tornado or two. A gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening after the onset of nocturnal cooling, though relatively rich low-level moisture may delay this process somewhat and allow for some severe threat to spread into parts of central AR with time. ...Parts of the Carolinas/southeast VA... Widely scattered storms are ongoing this evening from the eastern Carolinas into southeast VA, along/ahead of a cold front. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support occasionally strong storms with potential for locally gusty/damaging winds, before storms weaken later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/27/2025 Read more

SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into west/central TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from east-central NM into the TX Permian Basin region, near and to the south of a remnant outflow boundary that earlier moved into the region from the east. MLCINH will increase through the evening across the region, and the eastward advance of the NM storms may be limited by a less unstable and increasingly capped airmass to the cool side of the remnant outflow. However, a modest increase in low-level flow through the evening may help to maintain a couple of these supercells, which will tend to propagate southeastward along the instability gradient. Backed low-level flow and modestly enlarged hodographs may continue to support tornado potential with these cells for as long as they persist and remain surface-based. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain a threat with the strongest storms. Farther east, an isolated strong storm or two may yet develop within a persistent cumulus field across parts of central TX. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear could support at least briefly organized storms if initiation occurs, with a threat of isolated hail and strong gusts. ...Western/central AR and vicinity... Moderate instability and modestly enhanced midlevel flow attendant to an MCV over eastern OK have supported occasional supercell structures early this evening from western AR into the ArkLaTex region. A few stronger cells may persist through dusk, accompanied by a threat of hail, isolated damaging wind, and possibly a tornado or two. A gradual weakening trend is expected later this evening after the onset of nocturnal cooling, though relatively rich low-level moisture may delay this process somewhat and allow for some severe threat to spread into parts of central AR with time. ...Parts of the Carolinas/southeast VA... Widely scattered storms are ongoing this evening from the eastern Carolinas into southeast VA, along/ahead of a cold front. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support occasionally strong storms with potential for locally gusty/damaging winds, before storms weaken later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/27/2025 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 176 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0176 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 176 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/27/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 176 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC019-027-057-061-073-081-091-097-099-103-109-113-127-133- 270140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC089-270140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MCCURTAIN TXC037-387-270140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 175 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0175 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 175 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0573 ..HALBERT..04/27/25 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 175 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC005-009-011-015-019-025-037-041-047-270140- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES CURRY DE BACA EDDY GUADALUPE LEA QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL TXC003-165-270140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS GAINES THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 177 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0177 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 177 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/27/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 177 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC103-135-301-329-371-389-461-475-495-270140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRANE ECTOR LOVING MIDLAND PECOS REEVES UPTON WARD WINKLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 572

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0572 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 176... FOR WESTERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0572 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Areas affected...Western Arkansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 176... Valid 262318Z - 270045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 176 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters will propagate east this evening. Some risk for a brief tornado, or hail/wind gusts can be expected. DISCUSSION...Remnants of a long-lived MCV are tracking into northeast OK early this evening. This feature appears to be weakening within a broader corridor of convection that is now spreading across eastern OK into western AR. Scattered supercells have been common along the southern fringe of this complex of storms, enhanced by low-level warm advection along the northern-most extent of higher buoyancy. Latest MRMS data suggests hail is common with the strongest updrafts, especially over southern Little River County AR. With the LLJ expected to increase across the southern High Plains later this evening, MCV may continue to weaken as it progresses into northwest AR. Until then, the greatest risk for severe storms will be across southwest Arkansas. ..Darrow.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA... LAT...LON 33179372 34169418 35109440 34999359 33609278 33179372 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC MD 572

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0572 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 176... FOR WESTERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0572 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Areas affected...Western Arkansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 176... Valid 262318Z - 270045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 176 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters will propagate east this evening. Some risk for a brief tornado, or hail/wind gusts can be expected. DISCUSSION...Remnants of a long-lived MCV are tracking into northeast OK early this evening. This feature appears to be weakening within a broader corridor of convection that is now spreading across eastern OK into western AR. Scattered supercells have been common along the southern fringe of this complex of storms, enhanced by low-level warm advection along the northern-most extent of higher buoyancy. Latest MRMS data suggests hail is common with the strongest updrafts, especially over southern Little River County AR. With the LLJ expected to increase across the southern High Plains later this evening, MCV may continue to weaken as it progresses into northwest AR. Until then, the greatest risk for severe storms will be across southwest Arkansas. ..Darrow.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA... LAT...LON 33179372 34169418 35109440 34999359 33609278 33179372 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 177 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0177 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 177 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/26/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 177 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC103-135-301-329-371-389-461-475-495-270040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRANE ECTOR LOVING MIDLAND PECOS REEVES UPTON WARD WINKLER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 571

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0571 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR FAR WEST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0571 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0516 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Areas affected...Far West Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262216Z - 262345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch may be needed as a pair of supercells have developed along the dryline in the vicinity of the Trans-Pecos mountains. These storms will be capable of 2.00+ inch hail and 60-70 MPH wind gusts, though a tornado cannot be ruled out. DISCUSSION...Supercell thunderstorms have developed along a dryline in the vicinity of the Trans-Pecos mountains, with 2500+ J/kg of MLCAPE to the east, and 45-50 kts of deep layer shear. Given boundary perpendicular shear vectors, supercell storm mode is likely to be maintained into the early evening hours. Primarily straight-line hodographs should favor splitting of supercells capable of large hail and damaging winds, particularly with left splits. Some meager low-level curvature of the hodograph from forecast proximity profiles, along with ML LCL heights around 1100-1300 meters, could support tornado occurrence as well, especially as the nocturnal low-level jet increases low-level shear into the evening. However, the primary threat will be for 2.00+ inch hail and 60-70 MPH winds. ..Halbert/Guyer.. 04/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 30030231 30250309 30650367 31140408 31720444 32050438 32310375 32390292 32330247 32160179 31860156 31310137 30880137 30430145 30210152 30040173 30030231 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 177

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 177 SEVERE TSTM TX 262245Z - 270300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 177 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 545 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Texas * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 545 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated supercells will pose mainly a large hail risk through early/mid-evening across the region. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of Wink TX to 40 miles southeast of Midland TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 175...WW 176... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 175 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0175 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 175 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/26/25 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 175 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC005-009-011-015-019-025-037-041-047-270040- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES CURRY DE BACA EDDY GUADALUPE LEA QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL TXC003-165-270040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS GAINES THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 175

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 175 TORNADO NM TX 262050Z - 270300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 175 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 250 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern New Mexico West Texas * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until 900 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop this afternoon into the evening. Supercells capable of large to very large hail and possibly a couple of tornadoes will be the primary hazards. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Tucumcari NM to 45 miles south southwest of Hobbs NM. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 27020. ...Smith Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 176 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0176 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 176 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E DUA TO 30 S MKO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572 ..HALBERT..04/26/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 176 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC019-027-057-061-073-081-091-097-099-103-109-113-127-133- 270040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE POLK SCOTT SEVIER OKC023-077-079-089-127-270040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHOCTAW LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA TXC037-387-270040- Read more