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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Eastern U.S.... An upper-level trough and associated surface low will translate eastward from the Great Plains on Day 3/Wednesday to the eastern Seaboard through the weekend Day 6-7/Saturday-Sunday. Widespread rainfall is expected across much of the eastern U.S. as the trough and associated cold front interact with a broad moisture plume through the weekend. In addition to rainfall, accelerating green-up should mitigate fire spread potential into early next week (Days 7-8/Sunday-Monday). ...Southwest... A short wave-trough with an associated mid-level jet will move into the Southern High Plains for Day 3/Wednesday. This will overrun a dry/well-mixed boundary layer supporting low relative humidity and gusty west winds across southeastern New Mexico into far West Texas. A subtle mid-level wave moving into the Southwest along with antecedent mid-level moisture could bring isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northern Arizona and New Mexico on Day 5. However, some uncertainty exists with evolution of expected precipitation primarily north of the Interstate 40 corridor from Days 2-4/Tuesday-Thursday. This could prevent higher lightning ignition efficiency so no isolated dry thunderstorms probabilities were introduced. A larger scale upper-level trough and strong mid-level jet could bring broad fire weather threat to areas of the Southwest as early as Day 5/Saturday lasting into early next week for Day 8/Monday. 40 percent critical probabilities were maintained across southeastern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico for Days 5-6/Friday-Saturday. Some timing uncertainty exists in eastward ejection of upper-trough and associated dynamics into the Southern Plains so extension of Critical probabilities into Day 6 was withheld for portions of the Southwest for Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday. ..Williams.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0183 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0183 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

The taste and smell of tap water in Victoria has changed as the city drew more water from city reservoirs and less from the Guadalupe River. The water treatment process was being adjusted to deal with the concerns about taste and odor. Crossroads Today (Victoria, Texas), April 28, 2025

MD 0586 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST MN...WESTERN WI...NORTHERN IA
Mesoscale Discussion 0586 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Areas affected...central/southeast MN...western WI...northern IA Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 281925Z - 282130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential will increase through late afternoon. All severe hazards, including tornadoes (some strong), very large hail (to 3 inch diameter) and damaging gusts (to 70 mph) are possible. DISCUSSION...A line of convection along a surface front across southwest MN into northwest IA will continue to shift east/northeast this afternoon. Ahead of this convection, the downstream airmass across central/southeast MN, northern IA and western WI continues to moisten and destabilize. Surface dewpoints have increased into the low to mid 60s as far north as the Minneapolis metro area, with upper 50s to near 60 F to the north and east. Continued northward moisture transport on a 50+ kt low level jet should continue to aid in further destabilization over the next few hours as large-scale ascent overspreads the region. Region VWP data from KMPX/KDMX/KARX already show impressive vertical shear favorable for supercells. Enlarged, curved low-level hodographs amid the strengthening low-level jet is aiding in 0-1 km SRH greater than 250 m2/s2. As weak MLCIN continues to erode, convection moving into this environment is likely to become better organized, with an increase in storm coverage expected into northern IA. Intense convection is expected to move across the MCD from late this afternoon into this evening, posing an all-hazards severe risk. A tornado watch will likely be needed in the next 1-2 hours. ..Leitman/Hart.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX... LAT...LON 42299364 42419255 42649166 42859095 43209086 44389096 45279158 45589193 45799230 45909268 45879316 45779350 45579402 45119422 44129443 42629478 42519477 42349412 42299364 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0182 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0182 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0182 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 182 TORNADO OK TX 282100Z - 290400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 182 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 400 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western Oklahoma West-Central Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify rapidly this afternoon in a very unstable environment. Very large hail and damaging winds are the primary threat. However, there is some concern for a few tornadoes during the early evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles south southeast of Big Spring TX to 40 miles north of Oklahoma City OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 180...WW 181... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Read more