Aggregator

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W BWD TO 20 NNE CDS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0592 ..WEINMAN..04/29/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-073- 075-081-083-085-087-099-109-119-123-125-133-137-141-149- 290240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER GARVIN GRADY GREER HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN MURRAY OKLAHOMA PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA TXC009-023-059-077-155-197-207-237-275-337-417-429-447-485-487- 503-290240- TX Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0812 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MN...NORTHERN IA...WESTERN WI... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from the Upper Midwest into the central and southern Plains. Tornadoes, large hail, and severe gusts all remain possible, including some strong-tornado potential. ...Upper Midwest... Convection has generally evolved into a linear mode from northern IA into southeast MN and western WI, though with occasional embedded supercells noted. The environment farther south across IA and downstream of the ongoing storms remains very favorable for organized convection, with moderate to strong buoyancy and very favorable low-level and deep-layer shear. Development of more discrete storms is uncertain, however. There remains potential for a couple sustained supercells to develop and pose a threat for all severe hazards, including conditional strong-tornado potential. Otherwise, the ongoing cluster will continue to pose a threat for damaging winds, hail, and embedded tornadoes as it moves eastward through the evening. Farther west, a couple small supercells may continue in the vicinity of the cold front this evening near the IA/MN border region, before weakening later tonight. ...Northeast KS into northwest MO and vicinity... A cluster of supercells is ongoing across northeast KS this evening, with earlier reports of large to very large hail. Given the ongoing clustering of storms, some upscale growth will be possible with time this evening, with a threat of damaging wind and hail. Increasing low-level flow with time and eastward extent will also support a tornado threat with any supercells that can persist through the evening. ...Southern Plains into southern KS/MO... Widely scattered supercells have developed from northwest TX into southwest OK, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. These cells will continue to pose a threat of large to very large hail and localized severe gusts through the evening. There will also be a window of opportunity this evening for an increasing tornado threat, including localized strong-tornado potential, as a strengthening nocturnal low-level jet substantially increases effective SRH. See MCD 592 for more information in this area. Additional storm development and eventual evolution of one or more clusters will be possible later tonight from north TX into OK, south-central/southeast KS, and possibly southern MO, due to the increasing low-level jet and eventual approach of a cold front from the north. The late-night convection could pose a continued threat for hail and damaging winds, and possibly a tornado for any storms that can remain surface based. ..Dean.. 04/29/2025 Read more

WW 0185 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0185 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0590 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 182... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0590 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0603 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025 Areas affected...Portions of western North Texas into southwest Oklahoma Concerning...Tornado Watch 182... Valid 282303Z - 290030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 182 continues. SUMMARY...Initial supercells will pose mainly a risk of very large hail and locally severe wind gusts. The tornado risk will increase into the evening as the low-level jet strengthens (00-01Z time frame). DISCUSSION...Initial discrete supercell has developed immediately south of the Red River in western North TX, where convergence is maximized near the dryline amid an uncapped air mass (per 21Z special NSSL sounding from Quanah, TX). Strong surface-based inability (3000 J/kg MLCAPE), driven by a warm/moist boundary layer beneath very steep midlevel lapse rates, will favor continued rapid updraft intensification. Around 50 kt of effective shear oriented oblique to the low-level convergence will support discrete/semi-discrete supercells. The initial hodograph (sampled by FDR VWP) depicts weak winds in the 1-2-km AGL layer, despite favorable deep-layer shear for supercells. This should initially favor some splitting supercells with a risk of very large hail. However, as the low-level jet rapidly increases, storms should intensify into dominant right-movers with an increasing supercell tornado risk. Current indications are that this evolution will occur in the 00-01Z time frame. The strong buoyancy, discrete/ semi-discrete mode, and increasing streamwise vorticity (around 400 m2/s2 effective SRH), will support a strong/intense tornado threat. ..Weinman.. 04/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 34099985 34499972 34979935 35139892 35119860 34949830 34619826 33899867 33669906 33649952 33809982 34099985 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN Read more