National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

Issued at 800 AM MST Sun Jun 08 2025 785 WTPZ43 KNHC 081434 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Three-E Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032025 800 AM MST Sun Jun 08 2025 Showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of low pressure well southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico have shown considerable improvement this morning. Well-organized curved bands have been present during the last 6-12 hours with deep convection building near the low-level center. The latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB came in at 1.5/25 kt and 2.0/30 kt, respectively. Additionally, overnight satellite-derived wind data showed 30 kt winds in the northwest quadrant of the low pressure area. Given the improved convective organization and data suggesting maximum sustained winds of 30 kt, Tropical Depression Three-E has now formed with the initial intensity set at 30 kt. The initial motion of Tropical Depression Three-E is set at 310/07 kt. This general motion is expected to continue today and tonight, followed by a much more uncertain motion Monday through mid-week due to the expected interaction with Tropical Storm Barbara. This interaction will likely result in a decrease in forward speed and a more northward to northeastward motion on Monday, followed by an increase in forward speed and a shift back to the northwest by Tuesday. The track forecast generally follows the consensus guidance, which is in between the two extremes of the GFS and ECMWF models. Tropical Depression Three-E is forecast to remain in a low to moderate vertical wind shear environment with warm sea surface temperatures of 27 to 28C and abundant deep layer moisture during the next couple days. This should allow for steady strengthening, and the system will likely become a tropical storm later today. By Monday night, the tropical cyclone will begin to move over much cooler water below 26C, and this in combination with the interaction with Barbara should result in rather rapid weakening, with the system becoming a post-tropical remnant low by Thursday morning. The intensity forecast is roughly a split of the statistical and dynamical consensus guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 12.6N 110.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 09/0000Z 13.3N 111.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 09/1200Z 14.2N 112.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 10/0000Z 14.7N 113.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 10/1200Z 15.2N 114.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 11/0000Z 15.7N 113.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 11/1200Z 16.9N 113.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 12/1200Z 18.3N 114.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Cangialosi

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUN 08 2025 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 081433 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032025 1500 UTC SUN JUN 08 2025 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) 15N 115W 34 X 6( 6) 41(47) 13(60) 3(63) X(63) X(63) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/CANGIALOSI

Issued at 800 AM MST Sun Jun 08 2025 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 081433 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Three-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032025 800 AM MST Sun Jun 08 2025 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DEVELOPS WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 110.6W ABOUT 715 MI...1145 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 110.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight, followed by a decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the northeast on Monday. A turn back to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is then expected Monday night and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the system is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Cangialosi

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DEVELOPS WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 8:00 AM MST Sun Jun 08 the center of Three-E was located near 12.6, -110.6 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUN 08 2025 012 WTPZ23 KNHC 081433 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032025 1500 UTC SUN JUN 08 2025 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 110.6W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 110.6W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 13.3N 111.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 14.2N 112.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.7N 113.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.2N 114.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.7N 113.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.9N 113.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 18.3N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 110.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/CANGIALOSI

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071740
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a little more than 150 miles south of the southern coast of
Mexico have continued to become more organized during the past few
hours. Although the system does not yet appear to have a
well-defined circulation, further development is anticipated and a
tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form later today
or tonight. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward near
15 mph today, then continue in that general direction at a slightly
slower forward speed through early next week. Locally heavy rains
are possible along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico
during the next couple of days, and interests there should monitor
the progress of this system. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is
still expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form late
this weekend or early next week while it moves slowly northward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

408
ABPZ20 KNHC 071138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized near a
low pressure area located about 150 miles off the coast of
southern Mexico. However, recent satellite data suggest that the
system does not yet have a well-defined circulation. Environmental
conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day
or two as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
Locally heavy rains are possible along portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next couple of days, and interests there
should monitor the progress of this system. For additional
information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the southwestern
coast of Mexico have increased a little, but remain disorganized.
Continued gradual development of this system is expected, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early
next week while it moves northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized near a
low pressure area located about 150 miles off the coast of
southern Mexico. However, recent satellite data suggest that the
system does not yet have a well-defined circulation. Environmental
conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day
or two as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
Locally heavy rains are possible along portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next couple of days, and interests there
should monitor the progress of this system. For additional
information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the southwestern
coast of Mexico have increased a little, but remain disorganized.
Continued gradual development of this system is expected, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early
next week while it moves northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

638
ABPZ20 KNHC 070504
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec
continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions
are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
or tropical storm is expected to form this weekend as the system
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Locally heavy rains are
possible along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during
the next couple of days, and interests there should monitor the
progress of this system. For additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern
coast of Mexico have changed little in organization for much of
the day. However, gradual development of this system is expected,
and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or
early next week while the system moves northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Berg

894
ABPZ20 KNHC 062350
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (92E):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are showing
signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm
is likely to form this weekend as the system moves
west-northwestward. Interests in southern and southwestern Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (91E):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure south of southwestern Mexico are beginning to show some
signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is
expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
weekend or early next week while the system moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Jelsema

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 062350
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (92E):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are showing
signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm
is likely to form this weekend as the system moves
west-northwestward. Interests in southern and southwestern Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (91E):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure south of southwestern Mexico are beginning to show some
signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is
expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
weekend or early next week while the system moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Jelsema

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061704
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually increasing in association
with a trough of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development, and a short-lived tropical depression is likely to form
over the weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward
just off the coast of Mexico. Interests in southern and
southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (91E):
A low pressure system located several hundred miles south of
southwestern Mexico is gradually becoming better defined, but the
associated showers and thunderstorms are limited. Gradual
development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system
moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Jelsema

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061142
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms have increased a little on the eastern
side of a broad trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred
miles south of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for additional development, and a short-lived tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves
generally west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico.
Interests in southern and southwestern Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure has formed along the western side of
the elongated trough south of Mexico. Continued gradual development
of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to
form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves
generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hogsett

782
ABPZ20 KNHC 051128
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jun 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
several hundred miles south of southern Mexico is associated with a
broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041136
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated
with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles offshore of the
coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves generally
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

615
ABPZ20 KNHC 040504
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and
a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 032304
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and
a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031719
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and
a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031135
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be marginally conducive for gradual development of this
system, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend as it
moves generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

711
ABPZ20 KNHC 021139
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 2 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci