1 month 3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020501
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
644
ABPZ20 KNHC 012322
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
900
ABPZ20 KNHC 011714
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011714
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011100
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally
conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 010501
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat May 31 2025
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
next week while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312328
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat May 31 2025
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
next week while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
580
ABPZ20 KNHC 302321
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri May 30 2025
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Alvin, located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.
Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by the middle part of next week
offshore of the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of
this system thereafter while it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 30 May 2025 20:45:50 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 30 May 2025 21:21:12 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
Issued at 200 PM MST Fri May 30 2025 748
WTPZ41 KNHC 302044
TCDEP1
Tropical Storm Alvin Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012025
200 PM MST Fri May 30 2025
The satellite presentation of Alvin has gradually degraded today.
Alvin is entering an environment of strong south-southwesterly wind
shear. Although much of the convection has been pushed off to the
north and become elongated, the low-level center still appears to be
underneath the southernmost portion of the central dense overcast.
A pair of recent ASCAT passes missed the center, but still provided
useful information that shows somewhat larger 34-kt radii, so these
have been been expanded a bit. The ASCAT data show winds up to 40
kt about 50 n mi east of the center, but there is a good chance that
stronger winds are still occurring slightly closer to the center
where there was a gap in ASCAT data. The latest subjective intensity
estimates from TAFB and SAB are T-2.5/35 kt, and the latest
objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are in the 41-47 kt
range. The intensity is held at 45 kt for this advisory since the
low-level center has not emerged from underneath the central dense
overcast yet, and based on the ASCAT data.
The initial motion is estimated to be north-northwest, or 335/9 kt.
Alvin is forecast to turn northward tonight as it moves through a
weakness in the subtropical ridge, toward the east side of a
mid-level cutoff low located just west of Baja California. Little
change is made to the previous NHC track prediction, which lies down
the middle of the consensus model envelope.
Alvin will continue moving into an increasingly hostile environment
of very strong wind shear, dry air, and sea-surface temperatures
that will drop below 26C along Alvin's path in about 6 hours.
These conditions should lead to Alvin losing its convection on
Saturday, which is depicted by the GFS and ECMWF simulated
satellite imagery. There are no significant changes to the NHC
intensity forecast, and Alvin is forecast to degenerate to a
remnant low in about 24 hours, with dissipation predicted to
occur in about 2 days.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 30/2100Z 18.1N 109.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 31/0600Z 19.4N 109.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 31/1800Z 20.8N 109.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 01/0600Z 22.4N 109.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 30 2025 284
FOPZ11 KNHC 302043
PWSEP1
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012025
2100 UTC FRI MAY 30 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 110W 34 11 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
Issued at 200 PM MST Fri May 30 2025 564
WTPZ31 KNHC 302043
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Alvin Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012025
200 PM MST Fri May 30 2025
...TROPICAL STORM ALVIN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
...LARGE SWELL AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN
MAINLAND MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 109.0W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alvin was
located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 109.0 West. Alvin is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn
toward the north is expected tonight, and this motion should
continue through the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Alvin is expected to degenerate to
a remnant low on Saturday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Alvin will affect portions of the coasts
of west-central and southwestern Mexico and the southern Baja
California Peninsula through the weekend. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
...TROPICAL STORM ALVIN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... ...LARGE SWELL AND RIP CURRENTS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE WEEKEND... As of 2:00 PM MST Fri May 30 the center of Alvin was located near 18.1, -109.0 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 30 2025 088
WTPZ21 KNHC 302043
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012025
2100 UTC FRI MAY 30 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 109.0W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 109.0W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 108.9W
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.4N 109.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 20.8N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.4N 109.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 109.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292318
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu May 29 2025
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Alvin, located several hundred miles off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by the middle part of next week
offshore of the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of
this system thereafter while it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 May 2025 20:35:58 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 May 2025 21:21:59 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
Issued at 200 PM MST Thu May 29 2025 808
WTPZ41 KNHC 292033
TCDEP1
Tropical Storm Alvin Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012025
200 PM MST Thu May 29 2025
Satellite imagery depicts that Alvin has continued to become better
organized throughout the day, showing convective banding and a
central dense overcast with cold cloud tops near -75C located over
the low-level center. An earlier scatterometer pass shows wind
speeds around 45 kt. Given the improving convective structure since
that pass, and increasing objective satellite intensity estimates,
the initial intensity has increased to 50 kt for this advisory.
The initial motion is 320/10 kt. The storm is expected to continue
moving toward the northwest today, then begin turning toward the
north-northwest tomorrow as it moves around a ridge centered over
central Mexico. By tomorrow night, Alvin will begin moving northward
as it is influenced by a mid-level cut-off low. The NHC track
forecast is very near the previous one.
The storm will remain within a favorable environment of warm sea
surface temperatures and low wind shear over the next 12 hours or
so. Given the latest convective trends and conducive conditions, the
peak intensity forecast has increased this cycle to 60 kt. Tomorrow,
Alvin will begin to move into a hostile environment with cooler
SSTs, higher wind shear, and a drier mid-level airmass which will
induce weakening. Latest model derived IR imagery from both the
ECMWF and GFS depict the system becoming devoid of convection, and
the latest NHC forecast depicts the system becoming a remnant low in
48 h. Thus, there is high confidence that the system will weaken to
a remnant low before it nears the Baja California Peninsula.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 29/2100Z 15.1N 107.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 16.0N 108.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 30/1800Z 17.6N 108.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 31/0600Z 19.1N 109.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 31/1800Z 20.5N 109.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 01/0600Z 22.0N 109.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Kelly/Mora
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
Issued at 2100 UTC THU MAY 29 2025 000
FOPZ11 KNHC 292032
PWSEP1
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012025
2100 UTC THU MAY 29 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 105W 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MANZANILLO 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 110W 34 8 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
20N 110W 34 3 3( 6) 7(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
$$
FORECASTER MORA/KELLY
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
Issued at 200 PM MST Thu May 29 2025 000
WTPZ31 KNHC 292032
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Alvin Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012025
200 PM MST Thu May 29 2025
...TROPICAL STORM ALVIN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 107.2W
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alvin was
located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 107.2 West. Alvin is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue through today, followed by a
northward turn tomorrow and Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected through
early tomorrow, but weakening is expected to begin by late Friday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Alvin will affect portions of the coast of
west-central Mexico and the coast of the southern Baja California
Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.
$$
Forecaster Kelly/Mora
NHC Webmaster
1 month 3 weeks ago
...TROPICAL STORM ALVIN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... As of 2:00 PM MST Thu May 29 the center of Alvin was located near 15.1, -107.2 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 9 months ago
Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific
Subscribe to National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map feed