National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

...HENRIETTE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 the center of Henriette was located near 21.4, -116.1 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 13 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 131431 TCMEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092019 1500 UTC TUE AUG 13 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 116.1W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 116.1W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 115.6W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.8N 117.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 22.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 116.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131141
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Henriette, located a few hundred
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1100 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are
associated with an elongated trough of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development
during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to
form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or
southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico late this week.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of the system over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 13 Aug 2019 08:33:37 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 13 Aug 2019 15:24:25 GMT

...HENRIETTE WEAKENING QUICKLY... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 the center of Henriette was located near 21.1, -115.2 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 130522
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 12 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Henriette, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1100 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are
associated with an elongated trough of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development
during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to
form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or
southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico late this week.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of the system over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 13 Aug 2019 02:51:26 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 13 Aug 2019 03:24:23 GMT

Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 130250 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092019 900 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 Scatterometer data and visible satellite imagery indicate that Henriette has maintained a robust, compact low-level circulation despite the pulsing convection. In fact, three earlier ASCAT passes between 1613Z and 1728Z indicated reliable wind speeds of 37-38 kt, suggesting that Henriette could have been near 40 kt prior to those times. However, since 1800Z, northeasterly vertical wind shear and dry air intrusions have reduced and confined the overall convective pattern to just intermittent bursts in the southwestern quadrant. The initial intensity is being maintained at 35 kt based on the shear pattern, a UW-CIMSS ADT intensity estimate of T2.4/34 kt, and allowing for some slight spin down of the low-level vortex. The initial motion remains 290/11 kt. A west-northwestward motion is forecast to continue for the next 24 hours so, followed by a turn toward the west by early Wednesday as the weakening cyclone becomes vertically shallow and gets steered by the low-level easterly tradewind flow. The new NHC forecast track remains essentially unchanged and is just an extension of the previous advisory, and lies about midway between the consensus models HCCA and TVCE. Although the official intensity forecast calls for steady weakening, it is possible that Henriette could remain a tropical storm in 12 h due to the cyclone coming out of the convective maximum period and still located over SSTs between 26C and 26.5 deg C. However, by 18 h and beyond, the cyclone will be moving over sub-26C SSTs and into a drier environment, which is expected to result in significant weakening, with Henriette degenerating into a remnant low by late Tuesday and dissipating by late Wednesday. The official intensity forecast is identical to previous advisory and closely follows the IVCN and HCCA consensus intensity forecast models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 20.7N 114.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/1200Z 21.2N 116.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 14/0000Z 21.8N 118.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/1200Z 22.3N 121.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 13 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 130250 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092019 0300 UTC TUE AUG 13 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 13 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 130250 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092019 0300 UTC TUE AUG 13 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 114.3W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 114.3W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.2N 116.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.8N 118.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 22.3N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 114.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 130250 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092019 900 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 ...HENRIETTE STILL A TROPICAL STORM BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 114.3W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 114.3 West. Henriette is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight, followed by a turn to the west on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Henriette is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by late Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

...HENRIETTE STILL A TROPICAL STORM BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ON TUESDAY... As of 9:00 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 the center of Henriette was located near 20.7, -114.3 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

410
ABPZ20 KNHC 122351
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 12 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Henriette, located a few hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located just over 1000 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are
associated with a elongated trough of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development
during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to
form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Henriette are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Henriette are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 12 Aug 2019 20:53:20 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 12 Aug 2019 21:24:23 GMT

Issued at 300 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 122052 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092019 300 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 Dry air and northeasterly shear have been steadily eroding the deep convection around the center of Henriette today. The low-level center is exposed and the only deep convection remaining is confined to the western semicircle. Despite the degradation in the satellite presentation, a recent ASCAT pass showed that tropical- storm- force winds are still occuring in a small area near the center of the compact storm. Based on this data, the initial intensity remains 35 kt. The initial motion is 290/11 kt. This motion will continue through tonight while the cyclone is steered by a mid-level ridge to its north. A turn to the west is expected on Tuesday as the system weakens and becomes steered by the low-level flow. The official forecast is very near the previous one, and is close to the corrected consensus HCCA which lies on the southern side of the other consensus aids. Dry, stable air and ongoing shear should limit convection over the cyclone while the circulation remains over marginally favorable SSTs. This lack of convection should cause a weakening trend to commence very soon. By Tuesday, Henriette will move over SSTs below 26 C, which, combined with the other unfavorable environmental conditions, should cause the cyclone to degenerate into a remnant low by late Tuesday. The official forecast calls for a little faster weakening of Henriette than the previous one, and is near the various multi-model consensus solutions. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/2100Z 20.3N 113.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 20.9N 114.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 13/1800Z 21.6N 117.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/0600Z 22.1N 119.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch

Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 12 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 122051 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092019 2100 UTC MON AUG 12 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH

Issued at 300 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 122051 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Henriette Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092019 300 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2019 ...HENRIETTE HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM BUT SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 113.1W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henriette was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 113.1 West. Henriette is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this motion is expected continue through tonight, with a turn to the west on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Henriette is expected to begin weakening by tonight and degenerate into a remnant low on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch

...HENRIETTE HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM BUT SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... As of 3:00 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 the center of Henriette was located near 20.3, -113.1 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 12 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 122051 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092019 2100 UTC MON AUG 12 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.1W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.1W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 20.9N 114.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 21.6N 117.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.1N 119.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 113.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121744
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 12 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Henriette, located a few hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located just over 1000 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are
associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for some development during the next
few days, and a tropical depression could form later this week while
the system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Henriette are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Henriette are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Pasch