Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.
¿Todavía tiene costos relacionados a un funeral a consecuencia de COVID-19?
Ver mas
Main navigation
Buscar
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 092000Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
FLORIDA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
Tornadoes (some strong) and damaging wind remain possible through
the afternoon and into the early evening from parts of Florida into
the Carolinas.
...20Z Update...
An extensive QLCS is ongoing this afternoon from the Carolinas into
north FL, with embedded supercell structures occasionally noted
within the line. Attempts at discrete, prefrontal supercell
development have also been noted near and just off of the SC coast.
Very strong deep-layer shear will continue to support organized
convection wherever buoyancy can increase above negligible levels,
with damaging wind and line-embedded tornadoes being the primary
hazards. Extreme low-level shear (with 0-1 km SRH near or above 500
m2/s2) could still support a strong-tornado risk with any prefrontal
supercells that can mature across the Carolinas, or perhaps with any
persistent embedded supercell within the primary QLCS.
The primary QLCS will likely persist until it reaches the Atlantic
coast, with some severe threat potentially spreading as far north as
southeast VA, and potentially into parts of east-central and south
FL into this evening. See WW 5, WW 6, WW 7, and the previous
discussion below for more information.
..Dean.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Southeast states...
A deep upper low is over the mid MS valley today, with an associated
100+ knot mid-level jet max rotating across the TN Valley. A line
of intense thunderstorms extends from northeast-southwest GA into
the FL panhandle and the eastern Gulf. These storms will progress
rapidly eastward today across FL and the Carolinas, where very
strong southerly low-level winds will advect an increasingly moist
and marginally unstable air mass northward.
The convective line is currently well-ahead of the primary cold
front. However, model guidance suggests that the front will
overtake the line through the afternoon, resulting in enhanced
forcing and likely contributing to thunderstorm intensification.
Instability ahead of the line will be marginal, but extremely strong
wind speeds and shear (850mb wind speeds of 80-90 knots) suggest the
risk of widespread strong to damaging wind gusts in vicinity of the
squall line. Also, numerous QLCS circulations and attendant risk of
tornadoes have been noted along the line this morning, and may at
least occasionally continue through the day in some corridors.
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0031
..THORNTON..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-015-017-027-049-053-055-057-069-071-075-081-095-097-101-
103-105-115-117-119-127-092040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS
DESOTO HARDEE HERNANDO
HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEE LEVY MANATEE
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK SARASOTA
SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA
AMZ550-552-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-092040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
WW 0007 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 7
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0032
..THORNTON..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK...MHX...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 7
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-017-019-033-037-047-051-061-063-065-069-077-079-081-083-
085-093-101-105-107-123-125-127-129-131-135-141-145-153-155-157-
163-165-181-183-185-191-195-092040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CASWELL CHATHAM COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN DURHAM
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GRANVILLE
GREENE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON
LEE LENOIR MONTGOMERY
MOORE NASH NEW HANOVER
NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PENDER
PERSON RICHMOND ROBESON
ROCKINGHAM SAMPSON SCOTLAND
VANCE WAKE WARREN
WAYNE WILSON
VAC007-011-025-029-031-037-041-049-053-081-083-111-117-135-143-
145-147-570-590-595-730-092040-
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 5
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E CTY TO
20 W JAX TO 30 WSW SAV TO 45 SE AGS TO 20 WSW OGB TO 15 NE CAE TO
40 NNE CLT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0033
..THORNTON..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-007-019-031-035-083-089-107-109-125-092040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BRADFORD CLAY
DUVAL FLAGLER MARION
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
UNION
GAC029-039-051-103-127-179-191-092040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CAMDEN CHATHAM
EFFINGHAM GLYNN LIBERTY
MCINTOSH
NCC007-025-057-067-151-159-167-179-092040-
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
MD 0033 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 4...5... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH FL AND COASTAL/SOUTHEAST GA
Mesoscale Discussion 0033
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1216 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Areas affected...Portions of north FL and coastal/southeast GA
Concerning...Tornado Watch 4...5...
Valid 091816Z - 091945Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 4, 5 continues.
SUMMARY...A tornado threat continues with small cells embedded
within a line of thunderstorms moving quickly eastward.
Severe/damaging winds also remain a concern.
DISCUSSION...The line of thunderstorms across southeast GA has
become a bit more broken recently, with a couple small cells noted.
Extremely strong low-level shear remains present along/downstream of
this activity across north FL and coastal/southeast GA, with recent
VWPs from KJAX showing around 50 kt of 0-1 km shear, and effective
SRH in excess of 500 m2/s2. Low-level rotation has been noted with
these small cells, and a tornado threat remains apparent given the
very favorable kinematic environment. With some modest daytime
heating also occurring (surface temperatures generally reaching into
the low to mid 70s), steepening low-level lapse rates should promote
efficient downward momentum transfer of the very strong flow just
off the surface. Severe/damaging downdraft winds will remain a
concern with the more linear structures as the overall line advances
quickly eastward through the afternoon.
..Gleason.. 01/09/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 29898334 30918299 32518231 32618172 31878108 31138134
29618180 29898334
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
MD 0031 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FL PENINSULA
Mesoscale Discussion 0031
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1142 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Areas affected...Portions of the northern and central FL Peninsula
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 091742Z - 091945Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will move quickly eastward this
afternoon, posing a threat for severe/damaging winds and a few
tornadoes. Watch issuance is likely.
DISCUSSION...As of 1740Z, convection extends in a nearly continuous
line from the northeastern Gulf of Mexico into north FL and
southern/eastern GA ahead of a cold front. Strong deep-layer shear
associated with a powerful mid/upper-level cyclone will continue to
support updraft intensity and organization with this activity as it
approaches the FL Peninsula over the next couple of hours. A very
moist low-level airmass is already in place over much of the
northern/central FL Peninsula, with surface dewpoints generally in
the mid to upper 60s. Filtered diurnal heating with some cloud
breaks has allowed for modest boundary-layer destabilization so far,
even with poor lapse rates/residual capping noted in the 850-700 mb
layer from various RAP/NAM forecast soundings. While FL remains on
the southern extent of an enhanced low-level jet, around 50-60 kt of
south-southwesterly flow near/above 1 km has been estimated from the
KTBW and KMLB radars. Corresponding 0-1 km SRH of 200-300 m2/s2 will
be more than adequate to foster low-level rotation and some tornado
threat with circulations embedded within the line. Greater potential
for severe/damaging winds is evident given the mainly linear mode
expected and strength of the low-level flow. With the ongoing fast
eastward movement of the line, watch issuance will likely be needed
for parts of the northern/central FL Peninsula this afternoon.
..Gleason/Hart.. 01/09/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
LAT...LON 29478272 29198122 28738090 27728110 26778218 27538281
28118286 28718275 29148303 29478272
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
MD 0032 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 5... FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND FAR SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0032
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Areas affected...central and eastern South Carolina and far southern
North Carolina
Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...
Valid 091756Z - 091930Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5 continues.
SUMMARY...A squall line capable of damaging wind gusts and isolated
tornadoes is expected to continue through the afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Ahead of a squall line in western South Carolina and
eastern Georgia, instability remains weak, but sufficient for some
damaging wind threat. Strong southeasterly 15-25 kt surface winds
continue to advect significant low-level moisture northward which
will further destabilize areas ahead of the line. Given the very
strong wind profile (80 knots at 1km per CAE VWP), this line will
likely continue to produce damaging winds, even with meager
instability. In addition, strong shear with clockwise curved
hodographs will support some QLCS tornado threat, particularly
across southern South Carolina where mid-60s dewpoints have advected
onshore.
Additionally, a confluence band of showers has started to develop
off the South Carolina coast. As cooler air aloft overspreads this
region and low-level moisture continues to advect northward,
instability is expected to increase and may lead to some potential
for strong supercells and perhaps a greater threat for strong
tornadoes given the greater instability and discrete mode.
..Bentley.. 01/09/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 34348174 35268122 35498066 35467993 34327889 33647877
33077899 32297996 32198061 32348140 33298242 34348174
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
MD 0034 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN/CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0034
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1232 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Areas affected...Eastern/Central North Carolina and southern
Virginia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 091832Z - 091930Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...Strong southeasterly flow is destabilizing eastern North
Carolina and southern Virginia. This will increase the severe
weather threat this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Instability is currently weak across much of North
Carolina. However, southeasterly moisture advection is gradually
destabilizing the airmass. By later this afternoon, some damaging
wind threat is expected to materialize as the squall line moves into
more substantial Gulf Stream moisture. Given the very strong wind
field, even the current weak instability could support some damaging
wind gusts with the threat increasing through the afternoon. The
strong low-level speed and directional shear will support some
tornado threat, but mid 60s dewpoints will likely be needed for a
more substantial threat, which will not arrive until later this
afternoon across eastern North Carolina.
A watch will be issued soon to address this threat.
..Bentley/Hart.. 01/09/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...
LAT...LON 35618023 36108034 36448043 36758043 37017936 37117857
37007748 36317702 35737698 34917672 34677671 34517703
34247752 33807783 33677800 33687836 34707955 35618023
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the ongoing forecast.
..Wendt.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Synopsis...
Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast
period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US
quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain
over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry,
but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end
fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the
Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and
occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon.
However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively
limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns
should remain localized.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the ongoing forecast.
..Wendt.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Synopsis...
Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast
period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US
quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain
over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry,
but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end
fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the
Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and
occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon.
However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively
limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns
should remain localized.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the ongoing forecast.
..Wendt.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Synopsis...
Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast
period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US
quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain
over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry,
but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end
fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the
Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and
occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon.
However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively
limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns
should remain localized.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 7 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the ongoing forecast.
..Wendt.. 01/09/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/
...Synopsis...
Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast
period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US
quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain
over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry,
but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end
fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the
Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and
occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon.
However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively
limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns
should remain localized.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
Subscribe to Severe Storms feed